Dry Start to the Workweek. Florence’s Remnants Arrive Tuesday…

 

Synopsis:

High pressure will move off the coast today. This will allow moisture to move up from the South. Partly sunny skies will give way to mostly cloudy conditions by afternoon. It’ll become more humid.

Florence, which is now an area of low pressure located over the central Appalachians, will move toward the Northeast tonight and Tuesday. Showers are possible late tonight. On and off rain and possible storms are likely on Tuesday. The rain could be torrential at times. One to two inches of rain is possible. If the bands of rain setup farther South into our area higher rain amounts would occur (map above).

Fine September weather will follow Wednesday through Friday.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Any morning sun will give way to mostly cloudy skies. Becoming humid. Highs around 80º. Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with scattered showers. Muggy. Lows in the lower 70s in the City, the upper 60s inland. Light Southeast to South wind.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain and thunderstorms. Humid. Locally heavy rain possible. There will be dry times. Highs in the upper 70s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Much warmer. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

Sunny Sunday. Remnants of Florence on the Way Tuesday…

 

Synopsis:

Any patchy early morning fog will give way to sunny skies.  High pressure will be in control over the Northeast. Temperatures will be a few degrees above the average of 78º. It will be a spectacular day. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely will continue to be an issue.

Tropical Storm Florence has weakened to a depression. Extreme rainfall amounts will continue to occur over parts of North and South Carolina. A catastrophic flooding event has occurred. 20″-40″ of rain has and will fall in spots.

Florence will then turn up the spin of the Appalachians Monday. The remnants of Florence will affect the area on Tuesday. Periods of rain and scattered thunderstorms are possible. Torrential rain is possible at times.

Fine September weather will follow Wednesday through Friday.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Patchy early morning fog, otherwise, mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. The upper 50s well inland. Light Southeast wind.

Monday:

Any morning sun will give way to clouds. Becoming humid. Highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain and thunderstorms. Humid. Locally heavy rain possible. There will be dry times. Highs in the upper 70s.

Wednesday:

Sunny. Highs around 80º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

AM Clouds to Sun. Finally a Bright, Weekend…

 

Synopsis:

Clouds will give way to partly sunny skies today. The weekend looks decent with seasonal temperatures and a fair amount of sunshine as high pressure finally takes control over the Northeast and dries the atmosphere out. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue because of Tropical Storm Florence.

Tropical Storm Florence continues to drift West through Eastern South Carolina.

Florence will continue to weaken and will be downgraded to a tropical depression tonight. Extreme rainfall amounts will occur over parts of North and South Carolina. A catastrophic flooding event is likely. 20″-40″ of rain will fall in spots.

Florence will then turn up the spin of the Appalachians Monday. The remnants of Florence will most likely affect the area on Tuesday. Periods of rain and scattered thunderstorms are possible.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Morning clouds and patchy fog. Becoming mostly sunny. Highs around 80º. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy with areas of fog. Lows in the 60s. Light East wind.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Monday:

Sun giving way to clouds. Highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain and thunderstorms. Humid. Locally heavy rain possible. Highs in the upper 70s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

Grey Friday. Patchy Drizzle. Decent Weekend…

 

 

Synopsis:

Moisture trapped at the surface will be responsible for our grey, damp day. High pressure over New England should bring somewhat drier air into our area this afternoon. Skies may brighten for a time this afternoon.

The weekend, at this time, looks decent with seasonal temperatures and a fair amount of sunshine. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue because of Hurricane Florence.

Hurricane Florence has made landfall near Wilmington, North Carolina and continues to drift South and West. Florence, as of this writing, is a now Category 1 status with winds of 80mph.

The models will continue to steer Florence in a very unusual direction-to the Southwest through Saturday into  South Carolina. This is due to extensive high pressure to the North of the storm pushing it in that direction. Extreme rainfall amounts will occur over parts of North and South Carolina. A catastrophic flooding event is possible. 20″-40″ of rain is likely.

The remnants of Florence will most likely affect the area on Tuesday. Periods of rain and scattered thunderstorms are possible.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Areas of patchy drizzle, otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. East to Northeast wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the 60s. Light East to Northeast wind.

Saturday:

Morning clouds and patchy fog. Becoming partly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Monday:

Sun giving way to clouds. Highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain and thunderstorms. Humid. Highs in the upper 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

AM Patchy Fog. Mostly Cloudy. Spot Shower. Humid…

 

 

Synopsis:

Grey, damp  conditions will continue as a light flow off the ocean and trough of low pressure remains over the area. Scattered showers are possible but much of the time will be dry. Humidity levels will be high.

By Friday high pressure over New England should bring somewhat drier air into our area. A mix of clouds and sun is expected. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm, if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.

The weekend at this time looks decent with seasonal temperatures and a decent amount of sunshine.

There are now 4 storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene and newly formed Subtropical Storm Joyce. Florence obviously is the story (2nd map above).

Hurricane Florence is approaching the North Carolina coast. Florence, as of this writing, is a now a Category 2 status with winds of 110mph. A piece of good news, the hurricane has weakened some. With that said, it still we be a dangerous category storm when it reaches the coast.

The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the North Carolina’s later today into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty (map above). The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a day after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. The models have the hurricane moving in a very unusual direction-to the Southwest Friday into Saturday. This is due to extensive high pressure to the North of the storm pushing it in that direction. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A catastrophic flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Thursday:

Cloudy. Spotty showers. Humid. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. East to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light East to Northeast wind.

Friday:

Clouds, some sun. Highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Warmer, More Humid. Sct’d Showers/Storms Today…

 

 

Synopsis:

Grey, damp  conditions will continue through today as a  light flow off the ocean and trough of low pressure remains over the area. Scattered showers and storms are possible just about anytime. There will be areas of drizzle and fog through the morning hours. Humidity levels will be high.

For Thursday into Friday high pressure over New England should bring somewhat drier air into our area. A mix of sun and clouds is expected. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm, if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.

There are currently three storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene (2nd map above).

Hurricane Florence is in the Atlantic between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Florence as of this writing is a Category 4 hurricane with winds of over 130mph. The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the Carolina’s later Thursday into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty (map above). The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A major flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Areas of morning fog and drizzle, otherwise mainly cloudy, warm and humid. Spotty showers and storms are possible during the afternoon. Highs in the 70s to around 80º. Northeast wind at 5mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Scattered showers or storms in the evening. Areas of drizzle and fog. Muggy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light East to Northeast wind.

Thursday:

Morning fog. More clouds than sun. Warm and humid. Highs around 80º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Unsettled Into Midweek. Warmer and More Humid…

 

 

Synopsis:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms are possible Today and Wednesday as a light southeast flow and trough of low pressure remains over the area. There will be dry times.

For Thursday into Friday our area should have a mix of sun and clouds. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.

There are currently three storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene.

Hurricane Florence is in the Atlantic well South of Bermuda. Florence as of this writing is a Category 4 hurricane with winds of over 140mph. The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the Carolina’s later Thursday into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A major flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Areas of morning fog. Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Areas of morning drizzle and fog. Scattered showers and storms are possible this afternoon. Highs near 80º. Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Scattered showers. Muggy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light Southeast wind.

Wednesday:

Areas of morning fog. Mostly cloudy, warm and humid. Spotty showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Thursday:

More clouds than sun. Chance of showers and storms. Warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Wet, Cool Start to the Workweek…

 

 

Synopsis:

Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada will continue to provide a cool flow off the Northern Atlantic. A complex low pressure system will move into and through the region today. This combination will keep on and off rain in the forecast through today. There will be dry times. The rain could come down heavy at times, especially North and West of the City. A Flood Watch remains in effect through today for much of NJ. Total rainfall will range from 1″-3″. The highest totals will be over Northwestern NJ. It’ll be windy at the coast with gusts up to 40mph. The winds will abate later this afternoon. Minor coastal flooding and rough seas are expected through tonight.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday as moist flow and weakness remains over the area.

Hurricane Florence continues to rapidly strengthen in the Atlantic well South of Bermuda. Florence will once again become a major hurricane today and Category 4 status or higher is imminent (Winds above 131mph). The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the Carolina’s later Thursday into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer.. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A major flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Periods of rain. There will be dry times. Cool. Windy at the coast. Highs in the upper 60s. East to Northeast winds at 15-25mph with gust  to 40mph at the coast. Winds will abate during the afternoon.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Scattered showers. Becoming humid.  Lows in the 60s throughout. East wind at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Spotty storms. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Feeling Like Mid-October. Periods of Rain…

 

Synopsis:

It’ll feel more like mid October today as Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada provides a cool flow off the Northern Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep rain in the forecast through Monday. Periods of heavy rain may occur later tonight into a part of Monday. A Flood Watch has been posted for much of NJ into Monday. 1″-3″ of rain could fall. The heaviest rainfall will occur North and West of the City. Minor coastal flooding and rough seas are expected through Monday.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday. Unsettled times to say the least.

Tropical Storm Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. The storm should regain hurricane strength and has a high chance to become a “major” status-Category 3 or higher hurricane by Monday. Many of today’s models have come in close proximity to the SouthEast coast-Thursday into Friday. We’ll continue to track. The Carolina’s, at this time, have the greatest threat of a strike (map above). Please don’t concentrate on the exact line, but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with periods of rain. Fall-like. Highs in the mid 60s. The average high for the date is 78º. Northeast winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Periods of rain. Rain maybe heavy at times inland. Breezy at the coast.  Lows in the upper 50s throughout. Northeast wind at 15-25mph.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Rain maybe heavy early. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Fall-like Weekend. Spotty Showers Today. Steadier Rain Sunday…

 

Synopsis:

The weekend right now looks much cooler-it’ll be a Fall preview for sure. Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada will provide a cool flow off the Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep skies more grey than bright. There’s a chance of spotty showers this morning. Much of the afternoon should be dry for maybe the exception of Southern NJ.  A swath of moisture will move into the region on Sunday. Intermittent rain in the morning will turn to a steadier rain by afternoon.  Periods of heavy rain may occur later Sunday into a part of Monday. A Flood Watch has been posted for much of NJ into Monday. 1″-3″ of rain could fall.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday. Unsettled times to say the least.

Tropical Storm Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. The storm should regain hurricane strength and has a decent chance to become a “major” status-Category 3 or higher hurricane. Many of today’s models have come in close proximity to the SouthEast coast- 6 days from now. It is way too early for any prognostication on the specific track. Focusing on one model run/track is scientifically indefensible. We’ll continue to track. Confidence has grown that the storm will not turn out to sea between Bermuda and the US mainland. The Carolina’s, at this time, have the greatest threat of a strike (map above). You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in spots this morning. A few peeks of sun are possible this afternoon. Showers may continue over parts of Ocean county throughout the day. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 70s. North to Northeast winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Lows in the upper 50s in the City. The mid 50s inland. Northeast wind at 10-15mph.

Sunday:

Cloudy with intermittent rain becoming steadier during the afternoon. Fall-like. Highs in the mid 60s. The average high for the date is 79º.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.