Category: Weather Updates

Synopsis:

The last weekend of Winter will be like the majority of the season- tranquil. Both days will feature a mix of sun and clouds. Today will be the milder of the two days. Sunday will be the cooler half as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning and mid portion of the upcoming week will make most smile. Near seasonable readings are anticipated for Monday as high pressure begins to modify. Monday is the beginning of Spring! The Vernal Equinox occurs at 5:24pm EDT. This is the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays are over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

By Tuesday and Wednesday, readings will once again go above the average high of around 50º with the strong March sun and lack of cold air in the East.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. West to Northwest winds at 8-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Colder then recent nights. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the 20s inland. West to Northwest winds at 8-15mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Sunny. Mild.  Highs in the upper 50s to around 60º.

Synopsis:

The luck of the Irish will be with us on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of clouds and some sun is expected with Springtime readings continuing. A spot shower is possible with an approaching front.

A cool front will pass through the region tpnight basically moisture starved. No rain is expected.

The weekend looks bright. Saturday will owe the Midler of the two days. Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning of the week looks tranquil with near seasonable readings as high pressure begins to modify. Monday is the beginning of Spring! The Vernal Equinox occurs at 5:24pm EDT. This is the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays are over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

By Tuesday, readings will once again go above the average high of around 50º with the strong March sun and lack of cold air in the Northeast.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Southeast to Southwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s along the urban corridor, the 30s inland. Southwest to Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs in the mid 50s.

Synopsis:

A more tranquil day is expected today. Bright skies and mild readings are anticipated as high pressure over the Southeast dominates. Yes, it’ll feel like Spring. That season arrives on Monday!

The luck of the Irish will be with us on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with Springtime readings continuing. A spot shower is possible.

Showers are likely Friday night with an approaching cool front.

The weekend looks bright. Saturday will owe the Midler of the two days. Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning of the week looks tranquil with near seasonable readings as high pressure begins to modify.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest to West winds at 8-12mph with higher gusts during the afternoon.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Milder than recent nights. Lows in the mid 40s along the urban corridor, the 30s inland. Light West to Southeast winds.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the region a wide range in snow amounts from nothing over parts of Central & Southern NJ to 15″to 18″ over the highest elevations of the Lower Hudson Valley is finally losing its grip on the area. Winds will be strong around the intense storm East of Maine. Gusts over 40mph are possible out of the Northwest. The sun will dominate the sky. Temperatures will be several degrees below the average high of the upper 40s.

Thursday will be more tranquil. Bright skies and mild readings are anticipated as high pressure works in.

The luck of the Irish will be around on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with Springtime readings. A spot shower is possible.

Showers are likely Friday night with an approaching cool front.

Morning clouds on Saturday, otherwise the sun will return with above average readings.

Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Tonight:

Clear, breezy and cold. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the 20s well inland. Northwest winds at 15-30mph diminishing late.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds, afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the region a wide range in snow amounts from nothing over parts of Central & Southern NJ to 15″to 18″ over the highest elevations of the Lower Hudson Valley is finally losing its grip on the area. Any leftover snow will end early tonight. Skies will become partly cloudy late. Winds will will strong around the intense storm East of Maine. Gusts over 45mph are possible out of the Northwest.

Wednesday the sun will dominate and winds will continue to be busy as the storm moves farther out to sea.

Thursday will be more tranquil, bright and mild as high pressure works in.

The luck of the Irish will be around on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with Springtime readings. A spot shower is possible.

Showers are likely Friday night with an approaching cool front.

Morning clouds on Saturday, otherwise the sun will return with above average readings.

Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Evening areas of snow ending. Mostly cloudy. Windy. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the upper 20s well inland. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds, afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Synopsis:

An intensifying offshore storm will continue to affect the region through today. The lack of Arctic high pressure will be one of the several reasons this will not be a significant snow for the Southern 2/3rd’s of the region.

The upper levels (jet stream level) will have a deepening cutoff low that will move from Southern NJ this morning to East of Long Island by this evening. . This will do two things: Strengthen the first surface low and also bring down colder air from the upper levels of the atmosphere. The second low over Eastern low over Eastern Long Island will consolidate with the main storm. The ocean storm will move onshore over Eastern Massachusetts and do a loop then move back over the Atlantic.

There will be intermittent snow throughout today from all of these systems. Our region is on the Southwest side of the snow bands- the backside of the storm if you will. Since the storm will be consolidating and slowing down the on and off snow will last into this evening. Some of it will come down light at other times it may come down at a fairly good clip.  These total snow amounts will be elevation driven. If you live in a county with drastic changes in elevation within a couple of miles that will result in the difference of a couple of inches of snow. Pavement and concrete surfaces will have a significantly lower slushier amount or none at all.

The winds will also pick up out of the Northwest and gust to over 40mph at times.

Any evening snow will taper off and end. Skies will become partly cloudy overnight and the winds will be strong.

Wednesday the sun will dominate and winds will continue to be busy as the storm moves farther out to sea.

Thursday will be more tranquil, bright and mild as high pressure works in.

The luck of the Irish will be around on St. Patrick’s. A mix of sun and clouds are expected with Springtime readings.

A few morning showers are expected on Saturday, otherwise the sun will return with above average readings.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tuesday:

On and off snow (rain out East, changing to snow) deepening on location. Windy. Highs in the 30s. West to Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Tonight:

Evening areas of snow ending. Mostly cloudy. Windy. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the upper 20s well inland. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Morning showers, afternoon sun. Highs in the mid 50s.

 

Synopsis:

The highly advertised storm is on the map for today and Tuesday as low pressure develops off the coast of Virginia. The potential track of the storm is above. The latest guidance has the storm a bit farther to the East. The first part of the storm is straight forward. There isn’t a cold high to supply the cold air for the start of the event. For this reason, rain will develop and not snow for today for much of the region. Well to the North wet snow or a mix is likely.

Now, this is where the fun part begins (for meteorologists anyway) for Monday night and Tuesday. The upper levels (jet stream level) will have a deepening cutoff low that will slide Southeast from the Great Lakes to NJ. At the same time surface low pressure will strengthen rapidly off the Virginia coast and move to just to the East of the classic bench mark of 40º North Latitude, 70º West Longitude, South East of Montauk Point Long Island. All the models have the storm coming to a halt then doing a loop near Cape Cod.

A second low looks to develop near the NYC vicinity and then traverse East across Long Island with the upper level cutoff. Depending on where this exactly happens will determine the Western extent of the heavy snow band that will accompany the backside of the storm into NJ and NY State. This is known as the deformation zone. The area of heavy snow. Where the two enhanced areas of heavy snow set up to the the North and West of both surfaces storms will mean all the difference in snow amounts. A full fledge snowstorm is likely where this bands sit. The latest models have moved the sharp cutoff of precipitation to the Northeast. This would most likely result in not much snow accumulation in the City, Long Island and much of the stretch of the 1-95 corridor through NJ. Potential snow amounts above. The last two maps is what JMW is leaning towards.

In summary, the potential has increased for a snowstorm North of NYC. It has become clearer that the sharp cutoff of heavy precipitation will be moved 20 to 30 miles to the Northeast drastically keeping snow amounts quite low. Winds will increase Tuesday as the two storms combine and bomb near Cape Cod.

Wednesday will be bright but windy. Thursday the sun will dominate and winds will abate.

St. Patrick’s day will  be very mild under a mix of sun and clouds.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Monday:

Rain. A mix well North. Highs in the mid 40s. East winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Rain for the I-95 corridor. Mix to snow well inland. Lows around in the mid 30s along the urban corridor, near freezing well inland. East to North winds at 10-20mph.

Tuesday:

Heavy snow Northwest. Rain, mix to some snow at coast.  Windy. Highs 30º-35º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs around 50º.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Synopsis:

The highly advertised storm is on the map for Monday and Tuesday as low pressure develops off the coast of Virginia. The potential track of the storm is above. This is a classic text book track for a heavy snowfall for our area, if all the ingredients are there. We have to remember this is mid March and many ingredients need to be perfect for a snowstorm here. The first part of the storm is straight forward. There isn’t a cold high to supply the cold air for the start of the event. For this reason, rain will develop and not snow on Monday for much of the region. Well to the North wet snow or a mix is likely.

Now, this is where the fun part begins (for meteorologists anyway) for Monday night and Tuesday. The upper levels (jet stream level) will have a deepening cutoff low that will slide Southeast from the Great Lakes to NJ. At the same time surface low pressure will strengthen rapidly off the Virginia coast and move to the classic bench mark of 40º North Latitude, 70º West Longitude, South East of Montauk Point Long Island. All the models have the storm coming to a halt then doing a loop over Cape Cod.

A new development in the evolving situation-a second low looks to develop near the NYC vicinity and then traverse East across Long Island with the upper level cutoff. Depending on where this exactly happens will determine the Western extent of the heavy snow band that will accompany the backside of the storm into NJ and NY State. This is known as the deformation zone. The area of heavy snow. Where the two enhanced areas of heavy snow set up to the the North and West of both surfaces storms will mean all the difference in snow amounts. A full fledge snowstorm is likely where this bands sit. The potential snow amounts-First Guess are above. These amounts are a generalization at this time. A low confidence snow prediction continues for the circled area. It could be MUCH higher.

In summary, the potential has increased for a snowstorm North of NYC where the Winter Storm Watches and Warning are up. A few big questions still need to be answered for immediate NYC vicinity. Winds will increase Tuesday as the two storms combine and bomb near Cape Cod.

Wednesday will be bright but windy. Thursday the sun will dominate and winds will abate.

St. Patrick’s day will  be very mild under a mix of sun and clouds.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Cloudy. A bit of light rain possible late. Lows around in the mid 30s along the urban corridor, near freezing well inland. Southeast to East winds at 5mph.

Monday:

Rain. A mix well North. Highs in the mid 40s. East winds at 8-12mph.

Tuesday:

Potential of snow. Heavy Northwest. Rain, mix to snow at coast.  Windy. Highs 30º-35º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs around 50º.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Synopsis:

Tonight skies will become partly cloudy. We “Spring Ahead” tonight. Eastern Standard Time Ends, Daylight Saving Time begins at 2am. Don’t forget to set your clocks ahead one hour before hitting the hay. It’s also a reminder to change the batteries in your smoke and carbon monoxide detectors.

Sunday definitely will be the better half of the weekend with brighter skies and seasonable readings as high pressure influences the region. It will be a brief break, unfortunately.

The next storm is on the map for Monday and Tuesday as low pressure develops off the coast. The potential track of the storm is above. This is a classic text book track for a heavy snowfall for our area, if all the ingredients are there. We have to remember this is mid March and many ingredients need to be perfect for a snowstorm here. The first part of the storm is straight forward. There isn’t a cold high to supply the cold air for the start of the event. For this reason, rain will develop and not snow on Monday for much of the region. Well to the North wet snow or a mix is likely.

Now, this is where the fun part begins (for meteorologists anyway) for Monday night and Tuesday. The upper levels (jet stream level) will have a deepening cutoff low that will slide Southeast from the Great Lakes. At the same time surface low pressure will strengthen rapidly off the Virginia coast and move to the classic bench mark of 40º North Latitude, 70º West Longitude, South East of Montauk Point Long Island. All the models have the storm coming to a halt then doing a loop over Cape Cod or East of Long Island. Depending on where this exactly happens will determine the Western extent of the heavy snow band that will accompany the backside of the storm. This is known as the deformation zone. The area of heavy snow. As of this writing the potential for this band to reach the lower Hudson Valley and parts of CT is there for late Monday night into Tuesday. Meaning a full fledge snowstorm is possible here. Farther South into the immediate NYC vicinity, Long Island and Northern NJ it’s a big question mark at this time. Some snow is quite possible on Tuesday (rain going over to snow over the City and parts of Long Island during the morning with an accumulation. Amounts also may be cut down because of a warm fetch farther East on the Island and parts of CT. South and West of 287 in NJ may also have much lighter amounts because they maybe too far from the heavier snows. Winds will be strong with the storm.

In summary, the potential has increased for a snowstorm North of NYC where the Winter Storm Watch is up. Many questions still need to be answered.

Wednesday will be bright but windy. Thursday the sun will dominate and winds will abate.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Becoming partly cloudy. Lows around in the mid 30s along the urban corridor, the upper 20s inland. North winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and breezy. Late day clouds. Highs in the mid 40s. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Monday:

Rain developing, a mix well North. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Potential of snow. Heavy North. Rain, mix to snow at coast.  Windy. Highs 30º-35º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Sunny. Mild Highs around 50º.

 

Synopsis:

Low pressure will continue to deepen off the NJ coast today. Areas of rain and snow will continue this morning and taper off toward midday. The accumulations that occurred were on the lighter side of the potential amounts above. The atmosphere as expected was just too warm elsewhere. Also as stated this was an elevation driven accumulation.

Tonight skies will become partly cloudy.

Sunday definitely will be the better half of the weekend with brighter skies and seasonable readings as high pressure influences the region. It will be a brief break, unfortunately.

The next potential storm is on the map for Monday and Tuesday as low pressure develops off the coast. The track and all the typical questions still need to be answered. This system will be a stronger low that is affecting the region now, but where will those affects be felt? Rain will develop for most areas during the morning Monday. The rain could possibly change to snow Monday night as the storm bombs out off the coast. Again, this is a potential. Much can change in the next few days. I just want you to be aware of the possible scenario. If the storm is too far off the coast lighter precipitation will fall.

Tuesday will feature the intense storm somewhere in the Cape Cod vicinity with some potential morning precipitation giving way to late day sun and gusty winds.

Winds will be busy under a mainly sunny sky on Wednesday behind the departing storm.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Saturday:

AM Snow or rain depending on location. Remaining mainly cloudy during the afternoon. Breezy. Highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s. North/Northeast winds at 10-20mph with gusts to 30mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows around in the mid 30s along the urban corridor, the upper 20s inland. North winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Potential for rain, a mix well inland. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday :

Potential morning mix or snow. Some PM sun. Windy. Highs around 40º.

Wednesday :

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs around 40º.