Familiar Forecast Tuesday. Added Bonus-More Wind…

 

Synopsis:

A storm over the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure over the Tennessee Valley will cause the pressure gradient to be tight today. All this means in layman terms is the wind will be busy and will add a bite as readings will be hard pressed to reach 40º. Skies will start off grey but the sun will win the battle by afternoon.

Tonight will be mainly clear with all readings below freezing. Winds will diminish.

A weak disturbance will move out of the Eastern Great Lakes and through our region on Wednesday. This will result in more clouds and possible flurries. The sun will shine more so later in the day.

By Thursday, temperatures will finally get just above average with abundant sun as a West to Southwest wind develops as high pressure moves over the Southeastern states. Hanukkah begins at sundown Thursday.

Friday also looks like a winner with readings a few degrees above the average high of 48º.

The weekend will start off mild with a mix of sun and clouds.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

A strong La Nina pattern will be occurring this Winter. I’m not the biggest fan of long range, but thought I’d share with you a couple of graphics. Yes, snowfall is typical below below average, but all it takes is that “right” setup for a snowstorm.

Today:

Mostly sunny and breezy. High around 40º in urban areas,  the 30s inland.  Wind chills near freezing. Northwest winds at 10-20mph with gusts to 25mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cold. Lows around 30º in the City, the 18º to 25º inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Clouds and sun with scattered flurries. High in the lower 40s.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny. Milder. Highs near 50º.

Friday:

Sunny. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid 50s.

Cold Sun Monday…

 

Synopsis:

Cold sunshine is expected through midweek as a persistent Northwesterly flow continues. A storm will develop off the Carolinas today and not affect areas up the coast. High pressure will dominate much of the week.

By Thursday temperatures will finally get just above average with abundant sun as a West to Southwest wind develops. Hanukkah begins at sundown Thursday.

Friday also looks like a winner with readings a few degrees above the average high of 48º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

A strong La Nina pattern will be occurring this Winter. I’m not the biggest fan of long range, but thought I’d share with you a couple of graphics. Yes, snowfall is typical below below average, but all it takes is that “right” setup for a snowstorm.

Today:

Mostly sunny. Chilly. High around 40º. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cold. Lows around 30º in the City, the 20º to 28º inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny. High around 40º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. High in the lower to mid 40s.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny. Milder. Highs near 50º.

Friday:

Sunny. Highs around 50º.

Sun is Back. Breezy & Cold…

 

Synopsis:

Today will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. It will be cold and breezy. Readings will be below average. The average high is 48º.

Tranquil, but chilly conditions are expected through midweek as a Northwesterly flow dominates and high pressure develops over the Southern States.

By Thursday temperatures will finally get just above average with abundant sun as a West to Southwest wind develops. Hanukkah begins at sundown Thursday.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. High around 40º in urban areas the 30s inland. Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cold with diminishing winds. Lows around 30º in the City, the 20º to 28º inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. High around 40º.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny. High around 40º.

Wednesday:

Sunny. High in the lower to mid 40s.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny. Milder. Highs near 50º.

Storm Moves Up Coast Saturday. Rain/Wind/Few Flakes…

Synopsis:

A storm will move from off the NJ coast this morning to Cape Cod by late afternoon and intensify quite rapidly. Rain, some of it heavy this morning with taper off by late morning or midday over Western areas. There will be a sharp cutoff from heavy rainfall totals to lighter amounts North and West (2nd map above). One to two inches of coastal rainfall is expected with much lighter amounts as you go North and West. Some wet snow may mix in especially to the North and East of the City during the afternoon. The sun may shine West of the City sometime during the afternoon, with rain continuing East of the City until sunset. It will be windy with gusts between 30-45mph out of the North and Northwest behind the departing strengthening storm.

Clear and cold conditions are expected tonight. Winds will diminish some but still add a bite.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Tranquil but chilly conditions are expected early next week. Readings will be several degrees below the average high of the upper 40s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Rain. Rain tapering off midday West of the City. The rain will continue to the East through the afternoon. A bit of wet snow may mix in over Northern and Eastern areas later in the morning and afternoon. Some afternoon sun is possible West of the City. Windy. High in the upper 30s to lower 40s. North to Northwest winds at 15-25mph with gusts to 45mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Clear, breezy and cold. Lows around freezing in the City, the 20s inland. Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the lower 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. High in the lower 40s.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny. High in the lower 40s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. High in the mid 40s.

Clouds Rule. Spotty AM Showers to Light PM Rain…

Synopsis:

Today moisture will begin to build in from the South. This will increase our clouds. Spotty showers are possible this morning. A band of light rain will develop during the afternoon. Areas to the North may remain dry (1st map above).

Rain will develop tonight ahead of a developing low over the Southern Appalachians.

On Saturday the low will  intensify as it moves up the Piedmont and off the Maryland coast during the afternoon. Rain is expected. The models have come into agreement that the storm will have a sharp cutoff from heavy rainfall totals to lighter amounts North and West (2nd map above). One to two inches of coastal rainfall is expected with much lighter amounts as you go North and West. Also, the low threat of any period of wet snow has diminished. That’s not to say the some wet snow may mix in especially to the North and East of the City during the afternoon. The rain will also taper off over Western sections during the day and around the NYC vicinity toward sunset. The day may end with an appearance from the sun, especially from the City and the the West.

Winds will be gusty. The strongest winds will be along the coast. Possible gusts over 40mph are possible, mainly to the East of the City.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Tranquil but chilly conditions are expected early next week. Readings will be a few degrees below the average high of the upper 40s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Spotty morning showers. Afternoon light rain likely in most areas.  Highs around 50º. Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Rain developing. Lows around 40º in urban areas, the  30s inland. Southwest to North winds diminishing at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Rain likely. Rain tapering off during the afternoon. Some afternoon sun especially West. Breezy. High in the 40s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the lower 40s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. High in the lower 40s.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny. High in the lower 40s.

Sunny, Seasonal Thursday…

Synopsis:

The sun will dominate today with seasonal readings as high pressure over the Southeast dominates.

Tonight will be partly cloudy and not as cold in urban areas. Inland readings will be below freezing.

On Friday, moisture will begin to build in from the South. This will increase our clouds. Showers will develop during the afternoon.

Low pressure will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Saturday morning and intensify as it moves up the Piedmont and off the Maryland coast during the afternoon. Rain is expected. The European and GFS model are robust in the storm’s strength. This would provide enough cold air to mix down and create a rain to wet snow mix scenario North and West, especially over the higher elevations. This is a low potential right now (any accumulation prediction, if any at all would be ridiculous). The NAM model is more offshore in it’s solution resulting in a sharp cutoff between the heavy rain swath at the coast and lighter rain North and West. No matter the strength of the storm most of Saturday will be wet. The storm may pull away far enough to the North and East to allow the rain to taper off during the afternoon.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s. West to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s in urban areas, the 20s and 30s inland. Southwest winds diminishing to 5mph.

Friday:

Increasing clouds. Afternoon showers likely. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Rain likely. Low potential of a some wet snow inland. Rain tapering off during the afternoon. High in the 40s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. High in the lower to mid 40s.

Clouds to Increasing Sunshine. Breezy & Chilly…

Synopsis:

There will be in a nip in the air today as a Northwesterly wind prevails around an area of low pressure in Eastern Canada. Clouds will give way to increasing sunshine today. Readings will be a few degrees below the average high of 49º. The wind will add a bite.

Tonight will be mainly clear and cold with most readings near or below freezing.

Tranquil conditions are expected through late week as high pressure dominates. The sun will dominate Thursday with seasonal readings. On Friday, moisture will begin to build in from the South. This will increase our clouds.

Low pressure will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Saturday morning and intensify as it moves up the Piedmont. Rain is expected. A few of the models have the storm quite strong over the region, while others have a weaker system. No matter the strength, Saturday will be wet. It looks to warm at this time for any snow, although the far Northwestern regions at the higher elevations have a low potential of seeing some of the white stuff.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Clouds to sun. Breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds at 15-25mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and cold. Highs in the mid 30s in urban areas, the 20s inland. West winds diminishing to 5mph.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Increasing clouds. Spot shower possible late. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Rain likely. High in the 40s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the 40s.

More Clouds Than Sun Today. Spot Shower. Breezy…

Synopsis:

December’s debut will be cooler with any sun giving way to mostly cloudy skies. Spotty showers are possible as a potent upper level low moves through the Northeast. It’ll be breezy with readings still a few degrees above the average high of 49º.

Tonight will be colder than recent nights under partly cloudy skies.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for Friday and Saturday. The forecast is one of low confidence as some of the computer models develop a storm to our South and move it North into our region during Saturday. This will be fine tuned later today. Temperatures will be near seasonal levels for early December.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

More clouds than sun. Spotty showers are possible. Breezy. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West to Southwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 35º in the City, around 30º inland. West to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Spot shower possible late. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

Tornado Watch Until 7PM for Central & Southern NJ…

Synopsis:

***Tornado Watch until 7PM for Central and Southern NJ (map above)*** Any thunderstorms that develop have the potential to produce an isolated tornado. A “Watch” means we watch the situation. A “Warning” means that radar has indicated rotation in the thunderstorm or spotters have witnessed a funnel. Keep an eye to the sky for threatening weather.

Periods of heavy rain and strong gusts winds can be expected through this aftrernoon. One to two inches of rain is possible and winds have the potential to gust to over 50mph at the coast. Temperatures today will be at least ten to twelve degrees above the average high of 49º. A wild November finale to say the least.

Any leftover showers will end this evening. Skies will clear overnight and the wind will diminish dramatically. It will still be mild.

December’s debut on Tuesday will be cooler with any sun giving way to spotty showers as a potent upper level low moves through the Northeast.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for Friday. Some of the computer models have a weak low developing along the coast. At this time I am keeping it dry.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Rain developing during the morning. A period of heavy rain is likely along with increasing winds through mid-afternoon. Balmy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph inland. Gusts to over 50mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Early evening scattered showers ending, otherwise becoming mostly clear with diminishing winds. Remaining mild. Lows around 50º in the City, the 40s inland. South to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Sun will give way to mainly cloudy skies with spotty showers. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Highs around 50º.

Quick Hitting Storm. Heavy Rain & Gusty Winds. Balmy…

 

Synopsis:

Rain will develop this morning as a storm over the Southern Appalachians moves North. The track will take it to our West which is a balmy, wet scenario for the East coast. The brunt of the storm will be from mid morning through mid-afternoon. Periods of heavy rain and strong gusts winds can be expected. One to two inches of rain is possible and winds have the potential to gust to over 50mph at the coast. Temperatures today will be at least ten to twelve degrees above the average high of 49º. A wild November finale to say the least.

Any leftover showers will end this evening. Skies will clear overnight and the wind will diminish dramatically. It will still be mild.

December’s debut on Tuesday will be cooler with any sun giving way to spotty showers as a potent upper level low moves through the Northeast.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for Friday. Some of the computer models have a weak low developing along the coast. At this time I am keeping it dry.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Rain developing during the morning. A period of heavy rain is likely along with increasing winds through mid-afternoon. Balmy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph inland. Gusts to over 50mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Early evening scattered showers ending, otherwise becoming mostly clear with diminishing winds. Remaining mild. Lows around 50º in the City, the 40s inland. South to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Sun will give way to mainly cloudy skies with spotty showers. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Highs around 50º.