Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

A low over the area this evening will cause rain, heavy at times for the evening commute. Since most area rivers are near bankfull and the ground is complete saturated any additional heavy rain will cause another round of flooding issues. For this reason a Flood Watch has been posted for much of the tri-state area into early tonight. Between 0.5″ and 1.5″ of rainfall is expected by midnight tonight. The heaviest rain looks to fall North and East of the City. The rain will taper off from Southwest to Northeast through the evening hours.

Coastal flooding is possible at times of high tide early tonight for Long Island Sound. Winds will be strong at the coast through early tonight.

We’ll get to dry out fo the rest of the week. It’ll be storm-free and chilly as a persistent dry Northwest wind takes hold due to an strong upper level low over the Northeast and Eastern Canada. Readings will be several degrees below the average high of 50º.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Rain tapering off later in the evening. Becoming partly cloudy late. Lows in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. East to West winds at 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds at 15-25mph with higher gusts.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, windy and colder. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Saturday:

Morning sun. Chance of afternoon rain. Highs in the upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A low over the Eastern Great lakes will spawn a secondary low over Washington, DC today. This low will move over the area by evening. Rain will develop from mid-morning to early afternoon from Southwest to Northeast. There could be a period of heavy rain later in the day just in time for the PM commute. Since most area rivers are near bankfull and the ground is complete saturated any additional heavy rain will cause another round of flooding issues. For this reason a Flood Watch has been posted for much of the tri-state area. The second and third maps above are the European and GFS models respectively. Both show between 0.5″ and 1.5″ of rainfall by midnight tonight. The heaviest rain looks to fall North and East of the City. Coastal flooding is possible at times of high tide this afternoon and tonight for Long Island Sound.

We’ll get to dry out fo the rest of the week. It’ll be storm-free and chilly as a persistent dry Northwest wind takes hold due to an strong upper level low over the Northeast and Eastern Canada. Readings will be several degrees below the average high of 50º.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy. Rain developing by late morning or midday. The rain could be heavy at times late. Highs around 50º. East winds increasing to 10-20mph during the afternoon with gusts 30mph-40mph at the coast by late day.

Tonight:

Rain tapering off later in the evening. Becoming partly cloudy late. Lows in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. East to West winds at 10-20mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, windy and colder. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the area a deluge last night is moving off Cape Cod. Weak high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic will supply the sun and mild readings to close the holiday weekend. The weather will cooperate for travelers returning home. A far cry from how the Thanksgiving weekend started- in the ice box.

Unfortunately more rain is on the way for Monday. Another low will move up the Atlantic Piedmont. Rain will move in during the mid to late morning hours. There could be a period of heavy rain later in the day. Something we don’t need after the 1″-3″ of rain that just fell.

The rest of the week will be storm-free and chilly as a persistent dry Northwest wind takes hold. Readings will be several degrees below the average high of 50º.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny and mild. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. Northwest to Northeast winds less than 5mph.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, windy and colder. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area tonight. Rain will develop by late afternoon. The small, but potent storm looks to give the area a punch at night as it skirts the coastline. Most areas will receive a period of heavy rain. Above, in order, are the European and GFS rainfall totals. One to two inches of rain is possible. These amounts could cause flooding of streams, creeks and smaller rivers. Highway and street flooding is also possible.

The storm will move offshore early Sunday morning. Any predawn rain will end out East, otherwise skies will be partly sunny. The weather will cooperage for return home from the holiday weekend. Temperature will be a few degrees above average. The average high is 50º.

Another low will move up the Atlantic Piedmont  on Monday resulting in another round of rain.

The rest of the week will be storm-free and chilly.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

A period of steady and heavy rain. Breezy. Gusty winds at the coast. Lows in the 40s in the City, the 30s inland. East to Northwest winds at 15-25mph with gust to 35mph at the coast.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and mild. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area later today. Clouds will thicken this morning. Scattered showers will develop from mid-afternoon on. The small, but potent storm looks to give the area a punch at night as it skirts the coastline. Most areas will receive a period of heavy rain. Above, in order, are the European and GFS rainfall totals. One to two inches of rain is possible. These amounts could cause flooding of streams, creeks and smaller rivers. Highway and street flooding is also possible.

The storm will move offshore early Sunday morning. Any predawn rain will end out East, otherwise skies will be partly sunny. The weather will cooperage for return home from the holiday weekend. Temperature will be seasonal-in the lower 50s.

Another low will move up the Atlantic Piedmont  on Monday resulting in another round of rain.

The rest of the week will be storm-free and chilly.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Thickening clouds. Showers are likely by mid-afternoon. Much milder. Highs around 50º. Winds becoming East at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

A period of steady and heavy rain. Breezy. Gusty winds at the coast. Lows in the 40s in the City, the 30s inland. East to Northwest winds at 15-25mph with gust to 35mph at the coast.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and mild. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs around 40º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

I can’t remember a time when readings were in the single digits and teens in November. That’s what occurred this morning! Arctic high pressure sat right over the tri-state area. The record low for the date for Central Park is 14º. We missed it by one degree as the temperatures dipped to 15º.

Black Friday will be cold and sunny skies as the mammoth high moves off the coast. Temperatures will touch the freezing mark.

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area later Saturday. Sun will give way to clouds. Rain is likely Saturday afternoon and night. Sunday now l0oks to be dry under partly sunny skies as many travel home from their destination. Readings will be mild both days reaching the lower to mid 50s.

Another round of rain will occur on Monday.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing. Winds becoming South at 5mph.

Tonight:

Clear to partly cloudy. Not as cold as last night. Readings will remain steady in urban areas, hovering around freezing. Inland temperatures will plummet to the teens and 20s and then rise slowly in the wee hours of the morning. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Saturday:

Any morning sun will give way to afternoon rain. Much milder. Highs around 50º.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and mild. Highs in the mid 50s.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

The coldest airmass of the season has moved in as strong high pressure makes its home for a day over the Northeast from Canada. Highs today will remain in the mid to upper 20s. The temperature dipped  to 19º this morning at Central Park, making it a tie for the second coldest Thanksgiving on record! The second graphic above shows the stats on the top five coldest Thanksgivings on record. At least the sun will shine.

Tonight will be frigid with the high right over the region. Winds will go calm, skies will be clear. This is the making for coldest night of the season so far. Readings inland will plummet to the single digits, the teens along the coast. The record low for the date for Central Park is 14º. I think that record will stand for one more year.

Black Friday will be cold under sunny skies.

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area later Saturday. Sun will give way to clouds. Rain is likely later Saturday afternoon and night. Sunday now l0oks to be dry under partly sunny skies as many travel home from their destination.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

I would like to wish all of my followers a Happy Thanksgiving!

Thanksgiving:

Sunny, breezy and frigid . Highs only in the mid to upper 20s.  Northwest winds at 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph. Wind chills in the single digits and teens.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid with diminishing winds. Lows in the mid to upper teens in urban areas, the single digits inland. North to Northwest winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Saturday:

Morning sun will give way to afternoon rain. Much milder. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and mild. Highs in the mid 50s.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs around 50º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

An Arctic front will move through this evening with an isolated snow showers. A snow squall is possible especially North and West of the City. Visibility in a squall can go down to zero in heavy and blowing snow for a few minutes. A coating is possible where the squall occurs. Skies will then clear with reading plummeting into the mid to upper teens by late tonight.

This front will allow the coldest airmass of the season to pour in from Canada on Thanksgiving. Highs on Thursday will remain in the mid to upper 20s. If the temperature dips to 19º at any point during Thursday in NYC; it’ll be go down as the second coldest Thanksgivings on record! The second graphic above shows the stats on the top five coldest Thanksgiving on record. We will definitely reach the top five coldest. At least the sun will shine.

Black Friday will be cold under sunny skies.

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area later Saturday. Sun will give way to clouds. Rain is likely later Saturday afternoon and night. Sunday now l0oks to be dry under partly sunny skies as many travel home from their destination.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

An isolated evening snow shower or squall, otherwise mostly clear, windy and frigid.  Lows in the teens to around 20º to the South. Northwest 15-30mph. Wind chills in the single digits by morning.

Thanksgiving:

Sunny, breezy and frigid . Highs only in the mid to upper 20s.  Northwest winds at 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph. Wind chills in the teens.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Saturday:

Morning sun will give way to afternoon rain. Much milder. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and mild. Highs in the mid 50s.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs around 50º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Top 5 Coldest Thanksgivings on Record:

Synopsis:

Low pressure off the New England will be responsible for the clouds today. High pressure will nose in later this afternoon with the sun making an appearance. A colder push of air will work in tonight.

Getaway Wednesday be bright and chilly. An Arctic front will move through Wednesday night. This will allow the coldest airmass of the season to pour in from Canada on Thanksgiving. Highs on Thursday may remain in the upper 20s. If the temperature dips to 23º at any point during Thursday; it’ll be go down as the top five coldest Thanksgivings on record (graphic above)!  At least the sun will shine.

Black Friday will be cold under partly sunny skies.

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area later Saturday. Rain is possible later Saturday afternoon and night. Sunday if were lucky, will be dry.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. The sun may make an appearance later today. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the City, the 20s inland. Northwest to West winds at 8-12mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Chilly . Highs around 40º.

Thanksgiving:

Sunny, breezy and frigid . Highs only in the upper 20s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Saturday:

Morning sun will give way to afternoon rain. Highs around 50º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Top 5 Coldest Thanksgivings on Record:

Synopsis:

A weak area of low pressure will develop just to our South and moves off the coast tonight into Tuesday morning. Scattered showers will be with us tonight into Tuesday morning. The swath of steadiest precipitation will be to our North. There is a slim chance that light snow may fall well inland. If this is the case a coating of snow could fall by Tuesday Morning. It won’t be a big deal. The sun will return soon after.

Getaway Wednesday be bright and chilly. An Arctic front will move through Wednesday night. This will allow the coldest airmass of the season to pour in from Canada on Thanksgiving. Highs on Thursday may remain in the upper 20s. If the temperature dips to 23º at any point during Thursday; it’ll be go down as the top five coldest Thanksgivings on record (graphic above)!  At least the sun will shine.

Black Friday will be cold under partly sunny skies.

A low will trek out of the Southern states and toward the area later Saturday. Rain is possible later Saturday afternoon and night. Sunday if were lucky, will be dry.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Cloudy with showers likely. A bit of wet snow may fall well North and West of the City. Lows in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Morning rain or (snow showers well North), otherwise becoming partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Chilly . Highs around 40º.

Thanksgiving:

Sunny, breezy and frigid . Highs only in the upper 20s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Saturday:

Morning sun will give way to afternoon rain. Highs around 50º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.