Sunny, Warm Close to Workweek. Matthew Along Florida Coast…

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure will sit over the Northeast today.  Sunny and pleasant conditions are expected. Temperatures will be above normal- in the 70s.

Hurricane Matthew is category 3 storm with winds of 115mph. The hurricane continues to parallel the Northeast coast of Florida, just offshore.  Hurricane force wind gusts are likely from Daytona and to the North as the hurricane makes its closest approach the coast. Hurricane Warnings are up for the East coast of Florida from Cocoa Beach, Fl, North to Surf City, South Carolina. Matthew will continue to slowly weaken. The Western Atlantic high pressure will keep the hurricane from going out to sea for Florida .  But once it’s at the latitude of Georgia it will start it’s curvature to the East.  How sharp of a curvature will determine if the Georgia through North Carolina coast line will see hurricane force winds or tropical storm force winds.   The storm will affect this region over the weekend.  The trough never looked sharp enough to have Matthew ride up the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast coast. A possible loop of the hurricane will occur well off the coast.

Only a few scattered showers are expected around here late Saturday with the trough swinging through with its accompanied cold front.  Fall will be in here in full force Sunday with cooler and breezy conditions.

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Today:

Sunny.  Highs in the mid 70s.  East to Southeast wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear early, becoming mostly cloudy late.  Lows near 60º in the City, the mid 40s inland.  Light East wind.

Saturday:

More clouds than sun.  A spotty afternoon shower is possible.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cool with highs in the mid 60s.

Monday:

Sunny and cool with readings in the lower to mid 60s.

Tuesday:

Sunny and seasonal with readings in the mid 60s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sunny Stretch Through Friday. Matthew Heading Toward Florida…

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure will sit over the Northeast for the rest of the week.  Sunny and pleasant conditions are expected through Friday. Temperatures will be above normal- in the 70s.

Hurricane Matthew is a catastrophic category 4 storm with winds of 140mph. The Northwest Bahamas will feel the wrath of Matthew through Friday and very likely a damaging scenario is will occur for the island chain (map below).  The potential track continues to take the storm to the coast of Florida and the Southeastern States North to North Carolina Thursday through Saturday.  A direct hit in any of these states remains to be seen. But nonetheless, Hurricane Warnings are up for the East coast of Florida from Ft. Lauderdale North to Edisto Beach, South Carolina. This area has a high chance of seeing damaging winds.  The Western Atlantic high pressure will keep the hurricane from going out to sea for Florida . The trough never looked sharp enough to have Matthew ride up the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast coast.  Nearly all the computer models have the storm making a sharp right hand turn out to sea or swing it back around doing a loop to the South Sunday into early next week. Only a few scattered showers are expected late Saturday with the trough swinging through with its accompanied cold front.

Today:

Sunny, warm.  Highs in the mid 70s.  Northeast to Southeast wind at 5mph or less.

Tonight:

Clear and Chilly.  Lows around 60º in the City, the lower 40s inland.  East wind at 5mph or less.

Friday:

Sunny.  Highs in the lower 70s.

Saturday:

Partly Sunny.  A spotty late day shower is possible.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cool with highs in the mid 60s.

Monday:

Sunny and cool with readings in the mid 60s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sunny Stretch Through Friday. Tracking Matthew…

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure will move in from Eastern Canada for the rest of the week.  Sunny and pleasant conditions are expected through Friday.

Hurricane Matthew is now a category 3 storm with winds of 120mph. The Bahamas will feel the wrath of Matthew into late week-a prolonged and very likely a damaging scenario is setting up for the island chain (map below).  The hurricane could strengthen once again to category 4 status. Will the storm strike the East coast?  The potential has increased that the storm will most likely graze the coast of Florida and the Southeastern States North to North Carolina Thursday through Saturday.  A direct hit in any of these states remains to be seen.  The Western Atlantic high pressure will keep the hurricane from going out to sea. Once it get to the latitude of the Outer Banks will it turn out to see or will in continue up the coast?  As I’ve been stating all along; the trough never looked sharp enough to have Matthew ride up the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast coast.  Nearly all the computer models have the storm making a sharp right hand turn out to sea or swing it back around to the South Sunday into early next week.  The threat of a coastal front setting up is slight at best and the thinking now is only a few scattered showers are expected late Saturday with the trough swinging through with its accompanied cold front.

Today:

Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.  Northeast wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear and Chilly.  Lows in the mid 50s in the City, the lower 40s inalnd.  Northeast wind at mph.

Thursday:

Sunny, warm.  Highs in the mid 70s.

Friday:

Sunny.  Highs in the lower 70s.

Saturday:

Partly Sunny.  A spotty late day shower is possible.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cool with highs in the mid 60s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Clouds, Some Sun Tuesday. Spotty Drizzle…

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure will move in from Eastern Canada today.  With the onshore flow there maybe some low level moisture that could lead to areas of drizzle in the morning, but some sunshine is expected.  It looks as though the atmosphere will dry out as the high dominates mid to late week with partly sunny to mostly sunny skies.

Hurricane Matthew is a category 4 storm with winds of 145mph. The storm continues to move just East of North.  It will make landfall this morning in Western Haiti and then continue to the Eastern tip of Cuba later in the day.  Severe flooding and damage with mudslides is expected over Haiti.  The Bahamas will feel the wrath of Matthew mid to late week-a prolonged and very likely a damaging scenario is setting up for the island chain (map below).  Will the storm strike the East coast?  The potential has increased over the Carolina’s. The latest track has the storm closer to the coast due to the fact that high pressure continues to build in the Western Atlantic and will keep the hurricane from going out to sea. Once it get to the latitude of the Outer Banks will it turn out to see or will in continue up the coast?  Thats the million dollar question.  I’m going with a 70/30 chance of the storm coming close enough for us to feel it’s affects.  As we know with all hurricanes; they have a mind of their own.  The hurricane won’t be a anywhere near our latitude until Saturday.  Many days to watch the details unfold.  Stay tuned.

Today:

Mainly cloudy this morning with spotty showers or areas of drizzle.  Afternoon Sun is possible. Seasonal. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s in the City, the mid 40s inalnd.  Northeast wind at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Thursday:

Sunny.  Highs around 70º.

Friday:

Mostly Sunny.  Highs around 70º.

Saturday:

Partly Sunny.  Highs around 70º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Clouds to Some Sun Monday. Spot Shower…

Synopsis:

The pesky system that has been plaguing our area for days with grey, raw and unseasonably cool conditions is finally breaking down. Today will be the transition day with the clouds finally giving way to some sun as the system loses it’s influence on our area.  A stray shower can’t be ruled out but at least it’ll be brighter.

An area of high pressure will move in from Eastern Canada on Tuesday.  With the onshore flow there maybe some low level moisture that could lead to areas of drizzle in the morning, but some sunshine is expected.  It looks as though the atmosphere will dry out as the high dominates mid to late week with partly sunny to mostly sunny skies.

Hurricane Matthew is a category 4 storm with winds of 140mph. The Northward turn has happened and the storm should be just East of Jamaica tonight.  The storm will graze the Western peninsula of Haiti early Tuesday morning and then make landfall over Eastern Cuba Tuesday afternoon. The Bahamas will feel the wrath of Matthew mid to late week-a prolonged and possibly damaging scenario is setting up for the island chain (map below).  Will the storm strike the East coast?  The potential has increased somewhat. The latest track has the storm closer to the coast due to the fact that high pressure is building in the Western Atlantic and keeping the hurricane from going out to sea.  As we know with all hurricanes; they have a mind of their own.  The hurricane won’t be a anywhere near our latitude until late next week or the weekend.  Many days to watch the details unfold.  Stay tuned.

Today:

Mainly cloudy in the morning with some sun returning during the afternoon.  A stray shower is possible, warmer with highs in the lower 70s.  Light and variable winds.

Tonight:

Spotty showers, areas of drizzle and fog. Lows in the 50s to around 60º. Light North wind.

Tuesday:

Sun and clouds.  Some areas may experience some drizzle in the morning. Seasonal. Highs in the upper 60s.

Wednesday:

Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Thursday:

Sunny.  Highs around 70º.

Friday:

Mostly Sunny.  Highs around 70º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Another Grey Day Sunday. Spotty Drizzle/Showers…

Synopsis:

The upper low over the Mid-Atlantic and high pressure to the North that has been responsible for our grey, damp and unseasonably cool days will slowly weaken today.  Since systems are moving so slow grey skies will be with us through Sunday with areas of showers and drizzle just about anytime this weekend (FutureCast Radar/Cloud Cover above).  It won’t be a washout, but not the best weather for pumpkin’ pickin’.

Monday will be the transition day with the clouds finally giving way to some sun as the system loses it’s influence on our area.

A second area of high pressure will move in from Eastern Canada and finally bring some much needed sunshine next week.

Hurricane Matthew is a powerful category 4 storm with winds of 140mph. The Northward turn has happened and the storm should be just East of Jamaica on Monday.  Landfall is likely in Cuba on Tuesday and then the Bahamas will feel the wrath of Matthew (map below).  Will the storm strike the East coast?  At this time I am leaning against it, but a low probability is there.  As we know with all hurricanes; they have a mind of their own.  The hurricane won’t be a anywhere near our latitude until late next week or the weekend.  Many days to watch the details unfold.  Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with a brightening of the sky at times.  Spotty showers, areas of drizzle.  Highs in the mid to upper 60s.  Northeast wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Spotty showers, areas of drizzle and fog. Lows in the 50s to around 60º. Northeast to North wind at 5mph.

Monday:

Mainly cloudy with some peeks of sun during the afternoon.  A stray shower is possible, warmer with highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny and seasonal.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Wednesday:

Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Thursday:

Sunny.  Highs around 70º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

October’s Debut-More of the Same, Grey and Damp…

 

Synopsis:

The upper low over the Mid-Atlantic and high pressure to the North that has been responsible for our grey, damp and unseasonably cool days will slowly weaken this weekend.  Since systems are moving so slow grey skies will be with us as we greet October with areas of showers and drizzle just about anytime this weekend.  It won’t be a washout, but not the best weather for pumpkin’ pickin’.

A second area of high pressure will move in from Eastern Canada and finally bring some much needed sunshine next week.

Hurricane Matthew is a powerful category 4 storm with winds of 145mph. It should turn North and be near Jamaica on Monday (map below).  It is way to early to forecast if this storm will affect the Eastern Seaboard.

Today:

Cloudy with scattered showers and areas of drizzle. Unseasonably cool with highs in the lower 60s. Northeast wind at 10-15mph gusts to 20mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Scattered showers, areas of drizzle. Lows in the 50s. Northeast wind at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Clouds with a few peeks of sun.  A stray shower can’t be ruled out.  Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Monday:

Partly sunny and warmer with highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny and seasonal.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

On & Off Showers/Drizzle. Raw & Breezy…

 

Synopsis:

An area of low pressure over the Mid-Atantic and strong high pressure over Northern New England will result in on and off rain and gusty winds through today.  A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through today for Ocean county for the possibility of flooded roadways in areas of heavier rain.

Very slow improvement will occur this weekend-as we welcome October.  Saturday will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers or areas of drizzle.  Sunday will be the better half of the weekend with more sunshine but still the threat of showers.

Today:

On and off showers, areas of drizzle. Unseasonably cool.  Highs in the lower 60s. Breezy. Northeast wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Scattered showers, areas of drizzle. Lows in the 50s. Windy. Northeast wind at 10-20mph.

Saturday:

Cloudy with scattered showers possible. Highs in the mid 60s.

Sunday:

Clouds with a few peeks of sun.  A stray shower can’t be ruled out.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday:

Partly sunny and warmer with highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny and seasonal.  Highs around 70º.

Hurricane Matthew will continue to move through the Caribbean.  It should turn North and be near Eastern Cuba early next week.  It is way to early to forecast if this storm will affect the Eastern Seaboard.  Those who are claiming it will are not a reliable source.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Periods of Rain Through Friday. Heaviest South…

 

Synopsis:

An area of low pressure over the Mid-Atantic and strong high pressure over Northern New England will result in on and off rain and gusty winds through Friday. The heaviest rain will be over Southern areas.  Map above shows well over an additional inch of rain is possible South of NYC by Friday evening.  A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through Friday for Ocean county for the possibility of flooded roadways in areas of heavier rain.

Very slow improvement will occur this weekend.  Saturday will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers or areas of drizzle.  Sunday will be the better half of the weekend with more sunshine but still the threat of showers.

Tonight:

Periods of rain and drizzle. The heaviest rain will be South of the City. Lows in the 50s. Windy. Northeast wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph at the coast.

Friday:

Periods of rain and areas of drizzle. Unseasonably cool.  Highs in the mid 60s. Windy. Northeast wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph at the coast.

Saturday:

Cloudy with scattered showers possible. Highs in the mid 60s.

Sunday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers possible.  Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday:

Partly sunny and warmer with highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny and seasonal.  Highs around 70º.

Hurricane Matthew will continue to move through the Caribbean.  It should turn North and be near Eastern Cuba early next week.  It is way to early to forecast if this storm will affect the Eastern Seaboard.  Those who are claiming it will are not a reliable source.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Spotty Showers/Drizzle. Much Cooler…

 

Synopsis:

An area of low pressure will drop out of the Great Lakes and move to the Mid-Atantic and stall for two days.  Strong high pressure will be over Northern New England.  The combination of these systems will result in on and off showers today into the weekend. At this time it looks as though the steadiest and heaviest rain will stay out of our area (FutureCast radar above for this Afternoon).  Cool and breezy conditions are expected through the end of the week.

Slow improvement will occur this weekend.  Saturday will be mostly cloudy with stray showers or areas of drizzle.  Sunday will be the better half of the weekend with more sunshine but still the threat of a showers.

Today:

Cloudy, breezy and cool with on and off showers and areas of drizzle.  Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with drizzle and scattered showers. Lows in the 50s. Northeast wind at 10-20mph.

Friday:

Cloudy, breezy and cool with on and off showers and areas of drizzle.  Highs in the mid 60s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy with spotty showers possible. Highs in the upper 60s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny a shower can’t be ruled out, warmer with highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Partly sunny and warm with highs in the mid 70s.

Tropical Storm Matthew will continue to move through the Caribbean.  After that it should turn North and be near Eastern Cuba early next week.  It is way to early to forecast if this storm will affect the Eastern Seaboard.  Those who are claiming it will are not a reliable source.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.