Nor’Easter on the Way. March Roars In…

 

Synopsis:

March will come in like a lion. A storm over the midwest tonight will throw an arc of rain on us. Rain will develop and come down moderate to heavy at times overnight. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ by morning. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. The latest computer models have the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island and doing a loop de loop just offshore on Friday. There maybe a lull in the rain during the morning hours but once that storm does that loop off the coast the backside of the storm will affect the region. This is when rain will go over to wet snow at times mainly away from the coast. The accumulation will depend on your elevation. Some region may pick up a significant amount. Please check the graphics above for details

A Flood Watch has been posted for Friday for potential of 1-3″ of rain. The ground is saturated and heavy rain will quickly lead to flooding of streets, streams and creeks.

High Wind Warnings and advisories have been posted for the potential of wind gusts of 5o to 60mph. Power outages are possible.

Coastal tidal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Friday and Saturday. Tides of 1-3′ above normal is expected.

Winter Storm Warnings and advisories  have been posted for heavy wet snow over the higher elevations inland.

Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong.

Saturday will be very windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Rain. Heavy at times late. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 30s inland. East winds at 5mph increasing to 10-15mph late.

Friday:

Rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a moderate potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. An accumulation is possible over the higher elevations. Becoming very windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland. North to Northwest winds at 20-35mph with gust to 5o to 60mph.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease some. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

March Comes in Like a Lion. Nor’easter Friday…

Synopsis:

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest today and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the afternoon hours and continue through the night. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. The latest computer models have the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island and doing a loop de loop just offshore on Friday. Questions that need to be answered. 1. How much precipitation will fall on the backside of the storm? 2. What areas will see the wet snow? 3. How serious will the coastal flooding will occur, and how strong will the winds become ?

A Flood Watch has been posted for Friday for potential of 1-3″ of rain. The ground is saturated and heavy rain will quickly lead to flooding of streets, streams and creeks.

High Wind Watches and Warnings have been posted for the potential of wind gusts to 60mph.

Coastal tidal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Friday and Saturday. Tides of 1-3′ above normal is expected.

Winter Storm Watches and Warnings have been posted for heavy wet snow over the higher elevations well inland.

The thinking is rain with some wet snow mixed in North and West will occur. Accumulations maybe hard to come by with much of the precipitation falling during the day, but if the snow falls hard enough an accumulation can occur inland. The March sun angle is higher than it was in the dead of Winter and it’ll be just marginally cold enough for some wet snow. But, there is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland and possibly the nearby burbs of NYC. If this occurs, an accumulation is likely. These details need to be ironed as new computer guidance comes in. Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong.

Saturday will be very windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s.

Stay tuned

Today:

Any early morning sun will give way to cloudy skies. Rain will develop during the mid to late afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. East to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Rain. Heavy at times late. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 30s inland. East winds at 5mph increasing to 10-15mph late.

Friday:

A chance of rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. An accumulation is possible over the higher elevations. Becoming very windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease some. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

February’s Finale a Bright, Mild One…

Synopsis:

February’s finale will be a bright, mild one. High pressure moving off the coast will provide a mild southwest wind and bright conditions today.

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest on Thursday and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the afternoon hours and continue through the night. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. Questions that need to be answered: 1. How much additional rain and possibly wet snow (inland) will fall?  The latest computer models have the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island. The heaviest rain now looks to fall Thursday night into Friday morning. The storm looks to do a loop de loop. There maybe a break in the precipitation with lighter rain or drizzle with a large dry slot over much of the area for a few hours. Then the precipitation works back in on the backside of the storm. 2.How serious will the coastal flooding will occur, and how strong will the winds become ?

The thinking is rain with some wet snow mixed in North and West will occur. Accumulations maybe hard to come by with much of the precipitation falling during the day, but if the snow falls hard enough an accumulation can occur inland. The March sun angle is higher than it was in the dead of Winter and it’ll be just marginally cold enough for some wet snow. But, there is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. If this occurs, an accumulation is likely. These details need to be ironed as new computer guidance comes in. Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong. Gusting to 50mph at times.

Saturday will be very windy with early snow showers giving way to clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some.

Stay tuned

Today:

Mostly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Thickening clouds. Lows in the mid 40s in the City, the 30s to around 40º inland. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Becoming cloudy. Rain likely during the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Friday:

A chance of rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. There maybe a lull in the precipitation for a few hours. Becoming windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland.

Saturday:

Morning scattered snow showers otherwise a mix of clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Fine Last Days of February…

Synopsis:

Fine late February weather will be us  through Wednesday with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies and mild readings.

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest on Thursday and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the afternoon hours and continue through the night. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. Questions that need to be answered: How much additional rain and possibly wet snow will fall inland? How much coastal flooding if any will occur, and how strong will the winds become? The latest computer models have the storm developing a bit farther South. The thinking is rain with some wet snow mixed in North and West will occur. Accumulations maybe hard to come by with much of the precipitation falling during the day. The March sun angle is higher than it was in the dead of Winter and it’ll be just marginally cold enough for some wet snow. These details need to be ironed as new computer guidance comes in.

Stay tuned

Today:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 20s and 30s inland. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday:

Becoming cloudy. Rain likely during the afternoon. Highs around 50º.

Friday:

A chance of rain. Some wet snow may mix in North and West at times. Becoming windy. Highs in the 40s.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Welcome Change. The Sun is Back to Start the Workweek…

Synopsis:

A change in the weather pattern will occur today through Wednesday with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies and mild readings for later February.

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest on Thursday and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the morning hours and continue throughout the day. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm very close to the area. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. Questions that need to be answered: How much additional rain and possibly wet snow will fall inland? How much coastal flooding if any will occur, and how strong will the winds become? If the storm develops farther to the South the three parameters mentioned will be more severe. If the storm develops farther to the North and East the conditions in our area won’t be harsh. These details need to be ironed out over the next couple of days.

Stay tuned

Today:

It’ll finally dry out. Clouds and sun will give way to mostly sunny skies. Mild. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Tonight:

Clear. Lows around 40º in the City, the 20s and 30s inland. Northwest winds at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday:

Rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.

Friday:

A chance of rain. Some wet snow may mix in North and West at times. Highs in the 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

AM Rain Tapers Off. PM Clouds, Late Brightening of Skies…

Synopsis:

The next and last in a series of low pressure systems will work through the region this morning. Steady rain is likely this morning as a warm front and low pressure system affect the region. The rain will taper off midday from West to East but clouds should hang tough as the system moves to our North. Some brightening of the skies is possible.

A change in the weather pattern will occur by early next week with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies, yes well deserved sunshine is on the way!

There has been chatter about an early March storm. All of the computer models do have a storm on the map anywhere between March 1st through March 3rd. The placement and strength of this system is all over the place as you would expect this many days out. Many players have to come into place for this to an end as a significant snow event. It will definitely start off as rain on Thursday.

Stay tuned

Today:

A steady rain during the morning will turn taper off midday. Clouds will remain, although there could be some brightening of the skies. Highs in the lower 50s. East to Northeast winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clearing skies. Lows around 40º in the City, the near 30º inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Monday:

It’ll finally dry out. Mostly sunny skies are anticipated with highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday:

Rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sunday Spoiler. More Rain…

Synopsis:

The next and last in a series of low pressure systems will work through the region on Sunday. Areas of rain, drizzle and fog is expected overnight. A round of steadier and heavier rain is likely on Sunday morning as a warm front and low pressure system affect the region. The rain will taper off during the afternoon but clouds should hang tough as the system moves to our North.

A change in the weather pattern will occur by early next week with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies.

There has been chatter about an early March storm. All of the computer models do have a storm on the map anywhere between March 1st through March 3rd. The placement and strength of this system is all over the place as you would expect this many days out. Many players have to come into place for this to an end as a significant snow event. It will definitely start off as rain on Thursday.

Stay tuned

Tonight:

Cloudy with areas of light rain, drizzle and fog. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 30s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

A steady rain during the morning will turn taper off during the afternoon. Clouds will remain. Highs in the lower 50s. East to Northeast winds at 8-12mph.

Monday:

It’ll finally dry out. Mostly sunny skies are anticipated with highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday:

Rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Grey Weekend. Some AM Sun to PM Showers Today. Steadier Rain Sunday…

Synopsis:

The next and last in a series of low pressure systems will work through this weekend. The majority of Saturday morning will be dry. The sun may make an appearance for a couple of hours this morning. Showers will return by midday and continue on and off into the night. A round of steadier and heavier rain is likely on Sunday as a warm front and low pressure system affect the region.

A change in the weather pattern will occur by early next week with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies.

There has been chatter about an early March storm. All of the computer models do have a storm on the map anywhere between March 1st through March 3rd. The placement and strength of this system is all over the place as you would expect this many days out. Many players have to come into place for this to be a significant snow event. It very well maybe rain.

Stay tuned

Today:

Cloudy. There may be some brightening of the skies during the morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Northwest winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with areas of light rain, drizzle and fog. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 30s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

A steady rain likely for a majority of the time. Highs in the lower 50s.

Monday:

It’ll finally dry out. Partly sunny skies are anticipated with highs in the lower 50s.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Clouds Dominate. Spotty Showers Today. Damp Weekend…

Synopsis:

Unsettled times will continue right into the weekend as several areas of low pressure ride along the jet stream. It won’t be raining all the time, but the grey skies will win out. Showers will be spotty today. The majority of Saturday will be dry. If we’re lucky skies may brighten for a time during the morning. Another round of steadier and heavier rain is likely on Sunday.

A change in the weather pattern will occur by early next week with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies.

There has been chatter about an March storm. All of the computer models do have a storm on the map anywhere between March 1st through March 5th. The placement and strength of this system is all over the place as you would expect a week out. Please keep it here for further updates.

Stay tuned

Today:

Cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. East winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Early spotty showers, otherwise mainly cloudy. Lows around 40º in the City, the 30s inland. South winds becoming West at 5mph.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. There may be some brightening of the skies during the morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s.

Sunday:

A steady rain likely for a majority of the time. Highs in the mid 50s.

Monday:

It’ll finally dry out. Partly sunny skies are anticipated with highs in the lower 50s.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Back to Reality Today. Turning Colder and Damp…

Synopsis:

An all time high for the month of February occurred yesterday. The temperature at Central Park reached 78º breaking the monthly record high of 75 º set in 1985. The daily record was also broken. Yesterday’s high of 78º shattered the the previous record for the day which was 68º set back. Simply amazing. Some coastal did not bask in the June heat because of a colder sea breeze.

A dramatic change is on the way for today. A cold front will continue pushing South. At the same time cold high pressure will move into New England as a wave of low pressure moves into the area. The result will be on and off rain. It just maybe cold enough well North and West for some freezing rain or sleet at times during the late afternoon (map above).

The on and off rain, freezing rain and sleet will continue tonight.

Unsettled times will continue right into the weekend as several areas of low pressure ride along the jet stream. It won’t be raining all the time, but the grey skies will win out.

Stay tuned

Today:

Cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Highs falling to around 40º, the 30s inland. Freezing rain or some sleet may occur well inland with readings closer to freezing by late day. Northeast winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

A period of rain. Freezing rain and sleet possible inland from the coast. Lows in the lower 30s in the City, around 30º inland. Northeast winds at 8-12mph.

Friday:

Cloudy with on and off rain. Some freezing rain or sleet at times inland during the morning. Highs in the lower 40s, the 30s inland.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy with spotty showers. Highs in the mid 50s.

Sunday:

A steady rain likely for a majority of the time. Highs in the mid 50s.

Monday:

It’ll finally dry out. Partly sunny skies are anticipated with highs in the lower 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.