5PM Sun: Blizzard Watch & Winter Storm Warnings for Tuesday…

Synopsis:

***Blizzard Watch is in effect for all of New York City, Long Island, coastal Connecticut & Northeastern NJ. Winter Storm Warnings & Watches are in effect for the remainder of the tri-state area for late Monday Night and Tuesday***

Tonight and Monday will be the calm before the storm. High pressure will remain over the Northeast and continue to maintain the cold air that has been in place.

The latest computer guidance suggests that the storm potential will become a reality as all of the models have a good hit of snow. Some models have monster amounts while a few have lesser amounts, but still significant. A few questions that still need to be answered and probably won’t get answer until just before the storm gets going is: How much mixing occurs along the coast? Where does the heaviest precipitation banding set up?

A Blizzard Watch has been posted for the possibility of blizzard conditions (heavy snow and high winds) from NYC vicinity and to the East. Winter storm warnings are up most of the remainder of the region for the likelihood of  significant snowfall. A Winter storm watch is in effect for coastal NJ for the possibility of significant snow.

Confidence continues to increase that much of the region will experience a major snowstorm. Possible snow amounts are above. These amounts are a generalization and will most likely change as we get closer to the onset of the storm. The snow will begin Monday Night and wind down Tuesday Night.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and cold. Lows around 20º in the City, the teens and single digits inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 5mph or less.

Monday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest to Southeast wind at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Snow or a mix, heavy at times. Very windy, especially at the coast. Highs around freezing.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers. Windy and cold. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Blizzard Watch & Winter Storm Watch for Tuesday…

Synopsis:

***Blizzard Watch is in effect for all of New York City, Long Island, coastal Connecticut & Northeastern NJ. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for the remainder of the tri-state area for late Monday Night and Tuesday***

An Arctic airmass will be over the region this weekend. Temperatures will be well below average with highs most likely remaining below freezing Saturday and getting to around freezing on Sunday. Both days will feature a mix of sun and clouds.

The potential storm is on the map for Tuesday. The ingredients are there for a significant snowfall for many areas (or a mix at times at coast). Will it all come together?  The signals are there for a large, intense storm. It’s the details that need to be ironed out. How much mixing occurs along the coast? Where does the heaviest precipitation banding set up?

A Blizzard Watch has been posted for the possibility of blizzard conditions (heavy snow and high winds) from NYC vicinity and to the East. Winter storm watches are up elsewhere for the possibility of  significant snowfall. A watch means just that we watch the situation. It is not a warning.

Confidence continues to increase that much of the region will experience a major snowstorm. Possible snow amounts are above. These amounts are a generalization and will most likely change as we get closer to the onset of the storm. The snow will begin Monday Night and wind down Tuesday Night.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing. Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and cold. Lows in the lower 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest winds at5-10mph.

Monday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Storm Potential. Snow or a mix, heavy at times. Highs around freezing.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers. Windy and cold. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Bitterly Blast This Weekend. Storm Potential Tuesday…

 

Synopsis:

An Arctic airmass will be over the region this weekend. Temperatures will be well below average with highs most likely remaining below freezing Saturday and getting to around freezing on Sunday. Both days will feature a mix of sun and clouds.

There is a potential storm on the horizon for Tuesday. The ingredients are there for a significant snowfall for many areas (or a mix at times at coast). Will it all come together?  The signals are there for a large, intense storm. It’s the details that need to be ironed out. Those details will make all the difference in the world between a snow/rain mix or a raging snowstorm. The latest computer guidance of our two main models are more similar now, so confidence has increased on the storm threat. Both the GFS and European models above show an intensifying storm off the NJ coast Tuesday with heavy snow and a heavy mix at the coast. This is taking both of these models verbatim. Yes, the confidence is increasing that many areas will see significant snow with a mix at the coast. Snow amounts will not be given out yet as the system is still 3 days away. Those that are giving out numbers are not reliable.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs around 30º. Wind chills in the teens and 20s. Northwest wind at 15-30mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and bitterly cold. Lows in the upper teens in the City, the lower teens inland. Northwest wind at 15-25mph and diminishing. Wind chill factors will be near zero.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Storm Potential. Snow or a mix, heavy at times. Highs around freezing.

Wednesday:

Becoming partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs around freezing.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Quick Hitting Accumulating Snow Today…

 

Synopsis:

A cold front with a wave of low pressure will move through the region today with a period of snow. The snow may begin as rain over the City and to the South early this morning but will quickly go over to snow. It will be a quick hitter with the snow ending by mid-day or early afternoon. 2″-5″ is expected on colder surfaces with lighter amounts to the North and South of this band (map above). Eastern Long Island may approach 6″. For this reason a Winter Storm Warning has been issued. The morning commute will become treacherous where the heaviest snow falls. The sun may make an appearance later in the day inland.

The flood gates will open up from Canada and cold air will funnel into the area this weekend. Temperatures will be well below average with highs most likely remaining below freezing Saturday and getting just above freezing on Sunday.

There is another potential storm on the horizon for Tuesday. The ingredients are there for a decent snowfall, will they all come together?  Plenty of time to watch this one. Yep, key word- POTENTIAL. Stay tuned.

Today:

Snow likely. The snow will taper off during mid-day to early afternoon from West to East. Late day sun is possible. Highs in the upper 30s. North to Northeast winds becoming Northwest at 10-20mph with gusts to 30mph later today.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and bitterly cold. Lows in the upper teens in the City, the lower teens inland. Northwest wind at 15-30mph with gusts to 35mph. Wind chill factors will be near zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs around 30º. Wind chills in the teens and 20s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Snow Possible. Highs around freezing.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

One More Mild Day. Some Snow Friday…

 

Synopsis:

High pressure to our South and low pressure over Eastern Canada will result in a breezy, mild day.

On Friday a cold front with a weak wave of low pressure will move through the region. A period of snow is likely. Where the stripe of snow develops and moves in will determine how much will accumulate. At this time a coating to possibly three inches (in colder areas) is in the forecast, map above. The sun may make an appearance later in the day.

The flood gates will open up from Canada and cold air will funnel into the area this weekend. Temperatures will be well below average with highs most likely remaining below freezing Saturday and getting just above freezing on Sunday.

There is another potential storm on the horizon for Tuesday. Yep, again key word POTENTIAL. Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny, mild. Highs in the mid 50s. West 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Thickening clouds with rain and snow developing toward midnight. The mix to will turn to all snow overnight. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, near 30º inland. West wind will become North Northeast at 10-15mph.

Friday:

A period of snow mainly in the morning through mid-day. Late day sun is possible. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs around 30º.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Balmy Today. Gusty Winds…

 

Synopsis:

Any early showers this morning will give way to partly sunny skies as a cool front moves offshore. It’ll be balmy, the cold air is lagging behind the front.

Thursday we’ll be in between systems with mild conditions.

On Friday a cold front with a weak wave of low pressure will move through the region with limited moisture. Scattered snow showers are likely. A whitening of the ground is possible in spots, especially over Northern areas.

The flood gates will open up from Canada and cold air will funnel into the area this weekend. Temperatures will be well below average with highs most likely remaining below freezing Saturday and getting just above freezing on Sunday. The storm threat is over for this weekend as the storm will pass well to our South.

There is another potential storm on the horizon for Tuesday. Yep, again key word POTENTIAL. Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny and balmy. Windy. Highs around 60º. West winds at 10-20mph with gusts to 35mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Lows around 40º in the City, the 30s inland. West wind at 10-15mph.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny, mild. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

April-like Showers Tuesday. Balmy Wednesday…

 

   

Synopsis:.

A warm front will work toward the area and swing to our North later today. Another Spring Fling will be upon us. On and off rain and showers is expected today. Tomorrow will be balmy as the cold air is lagging behind the front.

Looking down the pike there are two areas of low pressure to watch. The first, on Friday will a weak system. Scattered snow showers are possible. The second storm potential will be on Sunday. This system will be more potent. The track of this low pulling out of the South is still in question. The models have now converged on a solution that the storm will pass to our South. The second map above is the GFS, the 3rd the European model. At this point it looks like a miss but stay tuned as we have many days to watch this system develop.  One thing is for sure it will be a very cold weekend.

Today:

Mostly cloudy with on and off showers. Mild. Highs in the mid 50s.

Tonight:

Periods of rain. Very mild with lows in the 40s to around 50º. Southwest wind at 10-15mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and balmy. Highs around 60º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, more seasonal. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. A few snow showers are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Seasonal Start to Workweek. April-like Showers Tuesday…

 

Synopsis:.

This Winter will be dubbed “The Rollercoaster” as we’ve seen so many ups and downs in temperature. Personally, I have not experienced a Winter like this in the tri-state area with such temperature swings.

The return flow around the high pressure system that gave us our cold weekend will provide for seasonal readings to start the workweek. Another Spring Fling will be upon us by Tuesday.  It’ll feel more like April with scattered showers.

Looking down the pike the models are in a state of disarray from Friday through the weekend. There will be cold high pressure to the North.  One or two areas of low pressure may affect the area.  How these systems interact is anybody’s guess right now. Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny. Seasonal. Readings will be in the mid 40s. Winds will become South at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Much milder than recent nights. Lows around 40º in the City, near freezing inland. Light Southeast wind.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy with on and off showers. The showers are most likely later in the day. Balmy. Highs around 60º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and still mild. Highs in the 50s to around 60º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, more seasonal. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. A few showers are possible. Highs in the mid 40s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Bitterly Cold This Morning. Slow Recovery This Aftn.

 

Synopsis:.

Canadian high pressure moving into the area is the culprit behind this bitter airmass. This morning will be frigid with readings in the single digits and teens. Wind chills will be in the single digits along the coast, near 0º or below inland. By this afternoon temperatures will recover slowly to above freezing with high pressure overhead and much lighter winds; it won’t be as harsh. The mild temperatures over the midwest on the map above will be heading in our direction for early next week. Another Spring Fling will be upon us. The next chance of rain will be Tuesday.

Looking down the pike the models are in a state of disarray from Friday through the weekend. There will be cold high pressure to the North.  One or two areas of low pressure may affect the area.  How these systems interact is anybody’s guess right now. Stay tuned.

Today:

Sunny and cold. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest wind at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Not as cold as last night. Lows upper 20s in the City, single digits inland. Light North wind.

Monday:

Partly sunny. Mild once again. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy with on and off showers. Balmy. Highs around 60º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and still mild. Highs in the lower 50s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, more seasonal. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

March’s Cold Side This Weekend…

Synopsis:.

Very cold temperatures and gusty winds will make it uncomfortable to be outdoors today despite the sunshine. Highs will remain at or below freezing and wind chills will make it feel like the teens and 20s. Canadian high pressure moving into the Ohio Valley is the culprit behind this bitter airmass.

Tonight will be bitterly cold with lows in the single digits and teens.

By Sunday afternoon temperatures will rebound to above freezing with high pressure overhead and much lighter winds-not as harsh.

Warmer times will be on the way for the beginning of next week as another Spring Fling will be upon us. The next chance of rain will be Tuesday.

Today:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around 30º. Wind chills will be in the 20s and teens. The average high temperature is 46º.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid. Lows in the mid teens in the City, single digits inland. Northwest winds at 10-20mph. Wind chills will be in the near zero or below.

Sunday:

Sunny and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. Mild once again. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Sunshine followed by clouds. Late afternoon showers are possible. Highs around 60º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and still mild. Highs in the lower 50s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.