Tranquil Start to the Workweek. Winter Storm Watch Wednesday…

Synopsis:

High pressure will continue to nose in from Canada resulting in sun and clouds and seasonal readings both today and tomorrow.

Another storm threat is on the way-Wednesday will be the day of concern. A weak low over the upper Ohio Valley will dissipate as a secondary storm develops over coastal North Carolina Tuesday night. This storm will intensify at a good clip and move up the coast on Wednesday. The latest computer models are split in their solution. One set of models take the storm on a track farther offshore meaning a light amount of snow will fall. The other set take the storm just miles off the coast and give the area a heavy snowfall. At this time, the upper level of the atmosphere look to form a more robust low this in turn would keep the low just offshore and heavier precipitation over the area. The potential is there for heavy snow. This is not etched in stone. A Winter Storm Watch is up for most of the tri-state area for Wednesday. Rain or a mix is possible at or close to the coast and to the South. These details will be ironed out as we get closer to the event and for this reason a Watch has not been posted for parts of Central and Southern NJ.

This will not as potent as the last Nor’easter with wind and coastal flooding but snow may fall in a larger area.  The first call possible snow amounts are above. This amounts will change as we get closer to the event and are no way etched in stone.

The snow will start before the AM commute on Wednesday and end Wednesday night.

Tranquil conditions are expected for the end of the workweek.

March has roared in and the latest extended computer guidance suggests another storm threat is on the map for Sunday and next Monday.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows around freezing in the City, the mid to upper 20s inland. North wind diminishing to 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Chance of snow. Snow or a mix of snow and rain at the coast. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Tranquil Start to the Workweek. Storm Threat-Wednesday…

Synopsis:

High pressure will continue to nose in from Canada resulting in sun and clouds and seasonal readings both Monday and Tuesday.

Another storm threat is on the way-Wednesday will be the day of concern. A weak low over the upper Ohio Valley will dissipate as a secondary storm develops over coastal North Carolina Tuesday night. This storm will intensify at a good clip and move up the coast on Wednesday. Most of the computer models are in good agreement with this track with some minor differences. With such a unisen in the output there a moderate potential of accumulating snow for a large part of the tri-state area. The second map above is the GFS model which shows the snow (purple) and some rain at the coast. Rain or a mix is possible at or close to the coast but these details will be ironed out as we get closer to the event. Again, this is for Wednesday. This will not as potent as the last Nor’easter with wind and coastal flooding but snow may fall in a larger area.  Several inches of snow is possible if the latest track comes to fruition.

Tranquil conditions are expected for the end of the workweek.

March has roared in and the latest extended computer guidance suggests another storm threat is on the map for Sunday and next Monday.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows around freezing in the City, the mid to upper 20s inland. North to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Monday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds at 10-20mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Chance of snow. Snow or a mix of snow and rain at the coast. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Clouds & Sun, Breezy. Another Storm Threat-for Wednesday…

Synopsis:

High pressure will continue to nose in from Canada today resulting in more sunshine and seasonal conditions. It’ll still be breezy.

Tranquil conditions will greet us for the beginning of the workweek as the area of high pressure dominates.

Another storm threat is on the way-Wednesday will be the day of concern. A weak low over the upper Ohio Valley will dissipate as a secondary storm develops over coastal North Carolina Tuesday night. This storm will intensify at a good clip and move up the coast on Wednesday. Most of the computer models are in good agreement with this track with some minor differences. With such a unisen in the output there a moderate potential of accumulating snow for a large part of the tri-state area. Rain or a mix is possible at or close to the coast but these details will be ironed out as we get closer to the event. Again, this is for Wednesday. This will not as potent as the last Nor’easter with wind and coastal flooding but snow may fall in a larger area.  Several inches of snow is possible for a large area if the latest track comes to fruition.

March has roared in and the latest extended computer guidance suggests it will be active the following week as well.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Clouds to sun. Breezy. Highs in the mid 40s. North to Northwest winds at 10-20mph with gusts to 30mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows around freezing in the City, the mid to upper 20s inland. North to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Chance of snow. Snow or a mix of snow and rain at the coast. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Winds Ease Some Today. Sun Returns…

Synopsis:

Today will be windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s as high pressure works in.

Tranquil conditions will greet us for the beginning of the workweek as the area of high pressure dominates.

A storm will develop just off the coast Wednesday. At this time it looks like a period of wet snow and or rain is possible.

March has roared in and the latest extended computer guidance suggests it will be active the next two weeks.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, near freezing inland. Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will continue to relax. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Chance of wet snow and or rain. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Nor’easter Slowly Pulls Away Tonight. Snow & Rain Ends. Still Windy…

Synopsis:

The nor’easter that battered the region on Friday with heavy rain, heavy wet snow, high winds and coastal flooding will finally move away from the area tonight. Any snow or rain will end but the winds will remain strong.

Saturday will be very windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s.

Tranquil conditions will greet us for the beginning of the workweek.

A storm will develop just off the coast Wednesday. At this time it looks like a period of wet snow and or rain is possible.

March has roared in and the latest extended computer guidance suggests it will be active the next two weeks.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Rain and wet snow will end. Very windy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the City, near freezing inland. Northwest winds at 20-35mph with gusts to 55mph. Diminishing some late.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 15-35mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease some. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Chance of wet snow and or rain. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Nor’Easter. Rain, Wet Snow & High Winds…

 

Synopsis:

March will come in like a lion. A rapidly developing storm will be off the Long Island coast today. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our specific weather conditions. The latest computer models continue with the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island and doing a loop de loop just offshore. There maybe a lull in the rain during the morning hours but once that storm does that loop off the coast the backside of the storm will affect the region. This is when rain will go over to wet snow at times mainly away from the coast. The accumulation will depend on your elevation. Some region may pick up a significant amount. Don’t be surprised even closer to the coast if a heavy wet snow falls for a time.

A Flood Watch has been posted for Friday for potential of 1-3″ of rain. The ground is saturated and heavy rain will quickly lead to flooding of streets, streams and creeks.

High Wind Warnings and advisories have been posted for the potential of wind gusts of 5o to 60mph. Power outages are possible.

Coastal tidal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Friday and Saturday. Tides of 1-3′ above normal is expected.

Winter Storm Warnings and advisories  have been posted for heavy wet snow over the higher elevations inland.

Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong.

Saturday will be very windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a moderate potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. An accumulation is likely over the higher elevations and may occur closer to the coast. Becoming very windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland. North to Northwest winds at 20-35mph with gust to 5o to 60mph.

Tonight:

Rain and wet snow. Very windy. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, near freezing inland. Northwest winds at 20-35mph with gusts to 55mph.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease some. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Nor’Easter on the Way. March Roars In…

 

Synopsis:

March will come in like a lion. A storm over the midwest tonight will throw an arc of rain on us. Rain will develop and come down moderate to heavy at times overnight. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ by morning. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. The latest computer models have the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island and doing a loop de loop just offshore on Friday. There maybe a lull in the rain during the morning hours but once that storm does that loop off the coast the backside of the storm will affect the region. This is when rain will go over to wet snow at times mainly away from the coast. The accumulation will depend on your elevation. Some region may pick up a significant amount. Please check the graphics above for details

A Flood Watch has been posted for Friday for potential of 1-3″ of rain. The ground is saturated and heavy rain will quickly lead to flooding of streets, streams and creeks.

High Wind Warnings and advisories have been posted for the potential of wind gusts of 5o to 60mph. Power outages are possible.

Coastal tidal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Friday and Saturday. Tides of 1-3′ above normal is expected.

Winter Storm Warnings and advisories  have been posted for heavy wet snow over the higher elevations inland.

Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong.

Saturday will be very windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Rain. Heavy at times late. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 30s inland. East winds at 5mph increasing to 10-15mph late.

Friday:

Rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a moderate potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. An accumulation is possible over the higher elevations. Becoming very windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland. North to Northwest winds at 20-35mph with gust to 5o to 60mph.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease some. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

March Comes in Like a Lion. Nor’easter Friday…

Synopsis:

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest today and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the afternoon hours and continue through the night. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. The latest computer models have the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island and doing a loop de loop just offshore on Friday. Questions that need to be answered. 1. How much precipitation will fall on the backside of the storm? 2. What areas will see the wet snow? 3. How serious will the coastal flooding will occur, and how strong will the winds become ?

A Flood Watch has been posted for Friday for potential of 1-3″ of rain. The ground is saturated and heavy rain will quickly lead to flooding of streets, streams and creeks.

High Wind Watches and Warnings have been posted for the potential of wind gusts to 60mph.

Coastal tidal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Friday and Saturday. Tides of 1-3′ above normal is expected.

Winter Storm Watches and Warnings have been posted for heavy wet snow over the higher elevations well inland.

The thinking is rain with some wet snow mixed in North and West will occur. Accumulations maybe hard to come by with much of the precipitation falling during the day, but if the snow falls hard enough an accumulation can occur inland. The March sun angle is higher than it was in the dead of Winter and it’ll be just marginally cold enough for some wet snow. But, there is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland and possibly the nearby burbs of NYC. If this occurs, an accumulation is likely. These details need to be ironed as new computer guidance comes in. Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong.

Saturday will be very windy with clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some under sunny skies. Both days will feature highs in the 40s.

Stay tuned

Today:

Any early morning sun will give way to cloudy skies. Rain will develop during the mid to late afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. East to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Rain. Heavy at times late. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 30s inland. East winds at 5mph increasing to 10-15mph late.

Friday:

A chance of rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. An accumulation is possible over the higher elevations. Becoming very windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease some. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

February’s Finale a Bright, Mild One…

Synopsis:

February’s finale will be a bright, mild one. High pressure moving off the coast will provide a mild southwest wind and bright conditions today.

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest on Thursday and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the afternoon hours and continue through the night. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. Questions that need to be answered: 1. How much additional rain and possibly wet snow (inland) will fall?  The latest computer models have the storm bombing off or over Eastern Long Island. The heaviest rain now looks to fall Thursday night into Friday morning. The storm looks to do a loop de loop. There maybe a break in the precipitation with lighter rain or drizzle with a large dry slot over much of the area for a few hours. Then the precipitation works back in on the backside of the storm. 2.How serious will the coastal flooding will occur, and how strong will the winds become ?

The thinking is rain with some wet snow mixed in North and West will occur. Accumulations maybe hard to come by with much of the precipitation falling during the day, but if the snow falls hard enough an accumulation can occur inland. The March sun angle is higher than it was in the dead of Winter and it’ll be just marginally cold enough for some wet snow. But, there is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. If this occurs, an accumulation is likely. These details need to be ironed as new computer guidance comes in. Please check in frequently as this could become a rapidly deteriorating situation on Friday.

The storm finally pulls off our coastline to the Southeast Friday night, ending the precipitation but the winds will be strong. Gusting to 50mph at times.

Saturday will be very windy with early snow showers giving way to clouds and sun. Sunday the winds will ease some.

Stay tuned

Today:

Mostly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Thickening clouds. Lows in the mid 40s in the City, the 30s to around 40º inland. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Becoming cloudy. Rain likely during the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Friday:

A chance of rain. A mix of rain and wet snow is possible inland. There is a low potential for the rain to completely go over to wet snow inland. There maybe a lull in the precipitation for a few hours. Becoming windy. Highs in the 40s, 30s inland.

Saturday:

Morning scattered snow showers otherwise a mix of clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. The winds will ease. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Fine Last Days of February…

Synopsis:

Fine late February weather will be us  through Wednesday with high pressure dominating. This will result in sunny skies and mild readings.

March will come in like a lion. A storm will develop over the midwest on Thursday and throw a warm front into the area. Rain will develop during the afternoon hours and continue through the night. The storm will transfer its energy to a rapidly developing secondary storm just off the coast of NJ. The exact location of this second storm and how it moves will determine our weather conditons for Friday. Questions that need to be answered: How much additional rain and possibly wet snow will fall inland? How much coastal flooding if any will occur, and how strong will the winds become? The latest computer models have the storm developing a bit farther South. The thinking is rain with some wet snow mixed in North and West will occur. Accumulations maybe hard to come by with much of the precipitation falling during the day. The March sun angle is higher than it was in the dead of Winter and it’ll be just marginally cold enough for some wet snow. These details need to be ironed as new computer guidance comes in.

Stay tuned

Today:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Lows around 40º in the City, the upper 20s and 30s inland. Southwest winds at 5mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday:

Becoming cloudy. Rain likely during the afternoon. Highs around 50º.

Friday:

A chance of rain. Some wet snow may mix in North and West at times. Becoming windy. Highs in the 40s.

Saturday:

Clouds and some sun. Windy. Highs in the 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.