Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

Low pressure will move toward the region today. Any early morning sun will give way to thickening clouds. Spotty showers are possible before steady rain develops by midday over Western areas to mid to late afternoon farther to the East. The low will deepen rapidly at our latitude. Whether the storm’s track is just inland, hugs the coast or is just offshore a period of heavy rain is likely for the PM commute into early tonight.  One to three inches of rain is possible by late tonight (3rd map above) and a Flash Flood Watch is up for Northeastern NJ. Local street and highway flooding is likely. Winds may be gusty along the coast and over Central and Eastern Long Island. Some gusts may reach 40-50mph during the evening.

The rain will taper off from Southwest to Northeast tonight. Winds will be strong out of the Northwest.

As the storm moves into Eastern New England on Thursday we’ll dry out, but winds will be gusty out of the West and Northwest.  Highs may remain in the 50s with winds gusting to 40mph.

Friday will be chilly with a cool pool of air over the Northeast in the wake of the departing low. Winds will abate some.

A nice weekend is on the way! Both days will feature plenty of sun and seasonal readings.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Early morning sun giving way to thickening clouds. Spotty showers are possible toward midday. Rain will develop between midday to mid afternoon. The rain could be heavy at times late. Becoming windy along the coast. East to Southeast winds at 10-20mph with gust to 40+mph late. Highs in the mid 60s.

Tonight:

A period of heavy rain. Rain tapers off late. Lows in the 40s throughout.  Winds becoming Northwest at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Windy and cooler. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Windy and chilly. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Sunny and seasonal Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

 

Synopsis:

A bright, seasonal Tuesday is expected as high pressure moves overhead. The average high is in the mid 60s.

Low pressure will move toward the region on Wednesday. Any early morning sun will give way to thickening clouds. Rain will develop by midday to early afternoon. The low will deepen rapidly at our latitude and move just up and off the coast. A period of heavy rain is possible for the second half of the day. One to three inches of rain is possible by late Wednesday night. Winds may be gusty along the coast.

As the storm moves into Eastern New England we’ll dry out but winds will be strong out of the Northwest. Highs may remain in the 50s with winds gusting to 40mph.

Friday will be chilly with a cool pool of air over the Northeast in the wake of the departing low. Winds will abate some.

A sneak peek at the weekend-two thumbs up from JMW.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s. Northwest to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cool. Lows in the lower to mid 50s in the City, the 40s inland. Southeast winds at 5mph.

Wednesday:

Early morning sun giving way to thickening clouds. Rain will develop by midday to early afternoon. The rain could be heavy at times later in the day. Highs in the mid 60s.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Windy and cooler. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Breezy and chilly. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Sunny and seasonal Highs in the lower 60s.

 

Synopsis:

Columbus Day will be a winner with any early morning clouds giving way to sun. Readings will be well above the average high of 65º. Tuesday feature wall to wall sunshine and more seasonal readings. High pressure will dominate both days.

Low pressure will move toward the region on Wednesday. Rain will develop by midday. The low will deepen rapidly at our latitude and move just up and off the coast. A period of heavy rain is possible for the second half of the day. Winds may be gusty along the coast.

As the storm moves into Eastern New England we’ll dry out but winds will be strong out of the Northwest. Highs may remain in the 50s.

Friday will be chilly with a cool pool of air over the Northeast in the wake of the departing low. Winds will be diminishing.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today (Columbus Day):

Early morning clouds giving way to sunny skies. Warm. Highs in the lower 70s. Winds becoming West to Southwest at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cool. Lows in the lower 50s in the City, the upper 30s & 40s inland.. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

Wednesday:

Rain developing by midday. The rain could be heavy at times later in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Windy and cooler. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Breezy and chilly. Highs in the upper 50s.

 

Synopsis:

Today will be spectacular with abundant sun as high pressure moves toward the region. Seasonal highs in the mid 60s are expected. A few showers are possible during the evening and at night as a disturbance moves up the Piedmont.

Columbus Day will be a winner with plenty of sun and readings near 70º. Tuesday feature wall to wall sunshine. High pressure will dominate both days.

Low pressure will move toward the region on Wednesday. Rain will develop during the day.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly sunny.  Highs in the mid 60s. North to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. A few sp0tty showers especially by the coast. Lows in the mid to upper 50s in the City, the 40s inland.. Light winds.

Monday (Columbus Day):

Mostly sunny. Warm. Highs near 70º.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

Wednesday:

Rain developing. Highs in the mid 60s.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Windy and cooler. Highs in the upper 50s.

 

Synopsis:

The weekend looks decent as high pressure builds over the Eastern States. Any morning clouds will give way to a mix of sun and clouds today. Sunday will be spectacular with abundant sun. A few showers are possible during the evening and at night as a disturbance moves up the Piedmont. Highs both days will be seasonal in the mid 60s.

Columbus Day will be a winner with plenty of sun and readings near 70º.

Tuesday feature wall to wall sunshine.

Low pressure will move toward the region on Wednesday. Rain will develop during the day.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s in the City, the 40s inland.. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny.  Highs in the mid 60s.

Monday (Columbus Day):

Mostly sunny. Warm. Highs near 70º.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

Wednesday:

Rain developing. Highs in the mid 60s.

 

Synopsis:

The ocean storm that flirted with the region the last 2 days will continue to move slowly away from the region today. High pressure over Eastern Canada has protected the region from the storm’s wrath. Sunshine will give way to clouds as the storm’s cloud shield works West. A few spotty showers are possible over Eastern areas.

Coastal flooding remains a concern. Those areas that are most vulnerable to tidal flooding should be on alert. Tides may run up to 2′-3′ above normal.

The weekend looks decent as high pressure builds over the Eastern States. A mix of sun and clouds and near seasonal readings, which is in the mid 60s is anticipated. Sunday is the pick day.

Columbus Day will be a winner with plenty of sun and readings near 70º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Sunshine giving way to clouds. A few spotty showers out East. Breezy. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy.  Lows in the lower 50s in the City, the upper 40s inland.. North winds diminishing to 8-12mph.

Saturday:

Morning clouds giving way to some afternoon sun. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday (Columbus Day):

Mostly sunny. Highs near 70º.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

 

Synopsis:

Two systems will influence our weather through tomorrow. A low in the Western Atlantic and high pressure over Southeastern Canada.

It looks like enough dry area will work in from the North from the Canadian high to keep much of the day dry today, especially from the NYC vicinity and to the West. In fact, the sun may shine from time to time. Eastern sections will be in and out of the rain. This rain shield will creep back towards the City later in the day.

The ocean storm will be at it’s closest proximity to our area (about 150 Southeast of Eastern Long Island) late this afternoon. There will be a strong pressure gradient between the high and the low. This will result in windy conditions both Thursday and Friday. The steadiest rain and highest winds look to be over Eastern Long Island and Eastern Connecticut. Peak winds will occur later this afternoon. Gusts around 55mph are possible over Eastern Long Island. Winds will gust between 30-45mph over the rest of the tri-state coastal area. The second map above is the 3KM NAM model for winds late day Thursday. This is the most robust model with wind. The third map is the GFS model which isn’t quite as strong with the gusts.

Coastal flooding is a concern today and Friday. Those areas that are most vulnerable to tidal flooding should be on alert. Tides may run up to 3′ above normal.

The storm will slowly drift to the South and then out to sea later Friday. Spot showers are possible. The sun may try to shine from time to time.

The weekend looks decent with a mix of sun and clouds and near seasonal readings, which is in the mid 60s. Sunday is the pick day.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Mainly dry West of the City with times of sun. Rain should be confined to Eastern areas. Windy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. North winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 35-55mph along the coast and over Long Island.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. On and off rain. Breezy. Lows in the 40s throughout. North winds at 15-25mph with higher gusts at the coast.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy with a few spotty showers. Windy. Highs in the lower 60s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds giving way to some afternoon sun. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday (Columbus Day):

Mostly sunny. Highs near 70º.

 

Synopsis:

Two systems will influence our weather through Friday. A low in the Western Atlantic and high pressure over Southeastern Canada. Confidence in the forecast has now increased as time closes in on the event.

On and off rain will be with us for today as the Atlantic storm throws moisture well ahead of it. It’ll be breezy.

It looks like enough dry area will work in from the North from the Canadian high to keep much of the day dry on Thursday, especially from the NYC vicinity and to the West. Eastern sections may stay in the rain shield the majority of the day.

The models now take the storm between 100 to 200 miles Southeast of Montauk Point Late Thursday. This will be it’s closest proximity to our area. There will be a strong pressure gradient between the high and the low. This will result in windy conditions both Thursday and Friday. The heaviest rain and highest winds look to be over Eastern Long Island and Eastern Connecticut. Gusts around 50mph are possible. Winds will gust between 30-45mph over the rest of the tri-state coastal area. The heaviest rain will also be over Eastern sections with 1″-3″ of rain possible. Lighter amounts will fall in the City and to the West.

Coastal flooding is a concern Thursday and Friday. Those areas that are most vulnerable to tidal flooding should be on alert.

The storm will slowly drift to the South and then out to sea later Friday. Any rain Friday morning will taper off.

The weekend looks decent with a mix of sun and clouds and near seasonal readings, which is in the mid 60s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Cloudy with on and off rain. Much cooler and breezy. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy, a few spotty showers are possible. Breezy. Lows in the 40s throughout. North winds at 15-25mph with higher gusts at the coast.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy. Rain should be confined to Eastern areas. Windy. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Rain. Tapering off from West to East. Windy. Highs in the lower 60s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds giving way to afternoon sun. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

 

Synopsis:

High pressure will work in from Southeastern Canada today. Any morning clouds and spotty showers will give way to some sun. Seasonal temperatures are expected.

A low in the Western Atlantic continues to play havoc with meteorologists for mid and late week. I am more confident now that on and off rain will be with us for Wednesday as the storm throws moisture well ahead of it.  The models then are all over the place with its placement and track of this storm Thursday and Friday. The GFS model has virtually little to no rain over the region with the low farther offshore. The European is more robust. This model brings steady and heavier rains and high winds into the region Thursday into a part of Friday, especially for the coast. It’s a tough call. Just be aware that the potential is there for stormy conditions late week. This is no way etched in stone. Check back with JMW for the very latest.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

AM Clouds and spotty showers to some sun. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Northeast winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy and cool. Lows in the lower 50s in the City, the 40s inland. North winds at 10-15mph.

 Wednesday:

Cloudy with on and off rain. Much cooler and breezy. Highs in the upper 50s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy. Potential for showers or a period of rain. Windy. Highs in the mid 60s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Potential for showers or a period of rain. Windy. Highs in the mid 60s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds giving way to afternoon sun. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

 

Synopsis:

A front will work in from the west slowly today. Scattered showers are possible just about any time, but the best chance will be later in the day. It’ll be warm. The sun may shine from time to time. A period of rain is likely tonight with the passage of the front.

High pressure will work in from Southeastern Canada on Tuesday. Any morning clouds and coastal showers will give way to some sun. Seasonal temperatures are expected.

A low in the Western Atlantic has to be monitored for mid to late week. The models are all over the place with its placement and track. If the storm’s rain shield moves far enough West showers or a period of rain is likely Wednesday through Friday. This is no way etched in stone, but the potential is there. It could very well be dry with plenty of sun. The uncertainly continues. Check back with JMW for the very latest.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, best chance is later in the day and at night. Warm. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Periods of rain. Cooler and less humid. Lows in the mid 50s in the City, the upper 40s inland. North winds at 8-12mph.

Tuesday:

Clouds to sun. Highs in the upper 60s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy. Potential for showers or a period of rain. Highs in the mid 60s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy. Potential for showers or a period of rain. Highs in the mid 60s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Potential for showers or a period of rain. Highs in the mid 60s.