Spring Like Wednesday. Potential Significant Snow Thursday…

 

Synopsis:.

Rapidly changing weather conditions will occur in the next 48 hours.  A warm front will push through tonight with rising temperatures and scattered showers. Lows will be higher than the average high for the day.

On Wednesday a cool front will push offshore during the morning with a few showers. The majority of the day will be dry with the sun making an appearance from time to time. The cold air is lagging behind by about one hundred miles. For this reason Spring-like readings are expected. Highs will be around 60º.

A dramatic change will take place Wednesday night into Thursday. Cold air will rush into the region. At the same time an area of low pressure will move in from the Mid-Atlantic and off the NJ coast. The latest computer models are more robust with the storm’s strength and precipitation. A mix of rain and snow will develop late Wednesday night and turn to snow quickly by early Thursday morning. There is the potential for a plowable snow of 4″-8″+ (map above). The snow could come down heavy at times during the morning. These amounts are highly subject to change but the potential of a significant snowfall has increased. The snow will taper off mid-day to early afternoon. Please Stay Tuned.

Tonight:

Scattered showers, very mild with rising temperatures. Lows around 50º in the City, the 40’s inland. Southeast to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Morning showers, becoming partly sunny. Balmy. Highs near 60º. Southwest to Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Thursday:

Snow, possibly heavy at times in the morning.  The snow will taper off mid-day through early afternoon. Windy. Highs around freezing then falling into the 20s.

Friday:

Sunny and cold with highs around 30º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy and seasonal. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs in the mid 40s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Bright, Tranquil Start to Workweek…

 

Synopsis:.

Today high pressure to the South will provide the region with a decent start to the workweek with just above seasonal averages for this time of the year.

A complex storm system will move into the area tomorrow and Wednesday. On and off rain is likely with Spring-like readings.

A new development is on the maps with the latest computer guidance for Thursday morning.  Once the cold front moves offshore Wednesday night a wave of low pressure over Texas will ride along the front and off the coast.  If the wave is close enough it’s shield of rain and snow may graze coastal areas Thursday morning.  This is a low potential at this time but needs to be addressed. Temperatures will go from Spring-like to Winter in a matter of hours so if the precipitation does fall it would be rain changing to snow.  Stay Tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40’s. Northwest to Southwest wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Increasing clouds. Chance of rain late. Pockets of freezing rain possible well inland. Lows around 40º in the City, near freezing inland. Southwest to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain. Mild. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Balmy. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Thursday:

Slight chance of morning snow, especially at the coast, otherwise becoming partly sunny and much colder with readings in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Sunny and cold with highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

No Weather Worries Superbowl Sunday…

 

Synopsis:.

A weak storm will move across the US/Canadian border and into Maine. This system is moisture starved and will result in more clouds today with mild temperatures.

On Monday high pressure to the South will provide the region with a decent start to the workweek.

A complex storm system will move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday. On and off rain is likely with Spring-like readings. Colder readings will push in by late week.

The pattern looks horrible for any snow for the tri-state as we look down the pike.

Today:

A mix of clouds and sun. Not as cold. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. Southwest to West winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows around freezing in the City, the 20’s inland. West to Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40’s.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain. Mild. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy with on and off rain. Balmy. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and much colder with readings in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

1st Weekend of February-Tranquil…

 

Synopsis:.

High pressure over the Northern Plains will result in a Northwesterly flow today. Our short-lived cold snap will last one more day. Temperatures will be below seasonal averages. The average high temperature is 39º.

The high will push off the coast on Sunday.  At the same time a weak storm will move across the US/Canadian border and into Maine. This system is moisture starved and will result in a few more clouds on Superbowl Sunday with mild temperatures.

A complex storm system will move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday next week. On and off rain is likely. A bit of wintry precipitation is possible Tuesday morning inland. The mix will go over to rain over the interior.

The pattern still looks horrible for any snow for the tri-state as we look down the pike.

Today:

Mostly sunny. Highs around freezing. Northwest to West winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Cold. Lows in the upper 20s in the City, the teens inland. West winds becoming Southwest at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Early sun will give way to clouds. Mild. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40’s.

Tuesday:

Periods of rain. Morning wet snow, sleet or freezing rain inland will go over to rain. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy with on and off rain. Balmy. Highs in the mid 50s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Back to Reality-February’s Chill. Minus the Snow…

 

Synopsis:.

High pressure over the Northern Plains will result in a persistent Northwesterly flow into Saturday. It’ll be much colder than recent days. Temperatures will actually drop below seasonal averages today & Saturday. The average high temperature is 39º.

The high will push off the coast on Sunday.  At the same time a weak storm will move across the US/Canadian border and into Maine. A few flurries or sprinkles are possible later Super Sunday.

A complex storm system will move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday next week. A bit of wintry precipitation is possible Tuesday morning with a change to rain. Rain is likely the first half of Wednesday with mild readings. Not a snow lovers dream.

Today:

Sun and clouds, colder. Highs in the lower to mid 30s. West to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly clear. Cold. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest winds 10-20mph.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Morning sun will give way to clouds. Afternoon flurries or sprinkles are possible. Highs around 40º.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Tuesday:

Morning wet snow, sleet or freezing rain will go over to rain. Highs around 40º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Tranquil February Days. Getting Colder in Steps…

 

Synopsis:.

February has started off tranquil. High pressure over the Northern Plains will result in a persistent Northwesterly flow into Saturday. This will result in a downward trend in temperatures into the weekend.  The map above shows the Arctic air spilling into the Northern Plains.  The air mass will modify some by the time it reaches the East coast.

A few flurries are possible later Super Sunday. The area will be storm-free through at least Monday.

A complex storm system will move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday next week.  A bit of wintry precipitation is possible Tuesday with rain more likely by Wednesday.  Not a snow lovers dream.

Today:

Partly sunny, seasonal. Highs around 40º. West to Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear, colder. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 8-12mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Morning sun will give way to clouds. Afternoon flurries or snow showers are possible. Highs in the mid 30s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Mild February Debut. Clouds Win the Battle…

 

Synopsis:.

As we welcome in February it looks tranquil and mild. There will be more clouds than sun as a weak system moves through. It will turn colder late week as high pressure works in.

The snow potential has gone by the waste side for Sunday. All the models now keep the system weak and progressive. At this time, late day snow showers are possible Superbowl Sunday.  The long range models have been horrible to say the least.  It now looks like a significant warm up is on the way for next week.  A snow lovers nightmare.

Today:

Mostly cloudy, mild. Highs in the mid 40s. West wind at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower in the City, the 20s inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, seasonal. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Morning sun will give way to clouds. Afternoon flurries or snow showers are possible. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Showers Northern 1/2 of Region Today. Coating to 2″ Northern Areas…

 

Synopsis:.

A weak, fasting moving Alberta Clipper will move though the region today. Snow showers are expected to develop mid to late morning and continue on and off until sunset. A period of light steady snow can’t be ruled out. The Northern 1/2 of the tri-state area has the best chance of seeing the flakes fly. To the South of the City mostly cloudy skies are expected (FutureCast Radar above). A coating of snow is possible in and around the City. Up to two inches is possible North of the City.

As we welcome in February it looks tranquil with a trend to colder but with dry conditions.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 5th-6th time frame. The models are not agreeing with this system later Superbowl Sunday. The potential exists for some snow. Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with periods of light snow or snow showers developing mid to late morning . Little to no snow is expected to the South of the City. A minor accumulation is possible by evening where the snow does fall. Highs in the upper 30s. Southeast to West wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Snow showers ending this evening over Eastern areas, otherwise partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the City, the 20s inland. Winds becoming West late at 10-15mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, mild. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder yet. Highs in the lower 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

AM Snow Showers South This AM. PM Sun. Light Snow Tuesday…

 

Synopsis:.

The jet stream continues to move rapidly out of the Northwest. Two weak systems will be fly by the region the next 48 hours. The first one will give Southern NJ a brush of light snow this morning. There will be increasing sunshine as the day progresses. Another Round of snow showers is likely Tuesday. This time the immediate NYC area will experience the flakes. A dusting to a coating of snow is possible by tomorrow evening with the second impulse.  It looks tranquil as we head into the first few days of February.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 6th-8th time frame. Don’t hold your breath.

Today:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries or snow showers in the morning. The best chance is South of the City. The sun will shine as the day progresses. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. North to Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy, colder. Lows in the mid to upper 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest to Southwest wind at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Cloudy with periods of light snow developing during the morning. A dusting to a coating is possible by evening. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder yet. Highs in the lower 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Showers Early Monday AM South of the City…

 

Synopsis:.

The jet stream is hauling out of the Northwest and there’s really no blocking in Canada to slow the flow down and let any area of low pressure form close enough to our region for a decent snowfall. Southern NJ may get a brief period of light snow for the first half of Monday with a coating of snow possible as a weak system moves quickly offshore (FutureCast Radar above). Another Round of snow showers are possible Tuesday with another impulse moving in. This time the immediate NYC area will experience the flakes. It looks tranquil as we head into the first few days of February.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 6th-8th time frame. Don’t hold your breath.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy early, mostly cloudy late. Snow showers are possible toward dawn, mainly South of the City. Lows around 30º in the City, near 20º well inland. West to North wind at 5mph.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries or snow showers in the morning. The best chance is South of the City. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. North to Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy with a few flurries or snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder yet. Highs in the lower 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.