Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

It’ll be a Fall preview through the weekend as a large, cool high pressure system works into the region from Canada. Plenty of sunshine is expected with readings five to eight degrees below average for the highs. There’ll be a nip in the air during the night.

Hurricane Irma is a dangerous category 4 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 130mph as of this writing. The storm is moving North and has made landfall in the Florida Keys.

The storm should continue to move North or North North West over the water through the morning hours.  The water temperatures off the Southwest Coast are flirting with 90º. The hurricane still has an opportunity to strengthen a bit. It now looks like Irma will either take a track directly on or just off the West coast making landfall somewhere along the West coast of Florida. If it stays just off the West coast of Florida, just in the Gulf the hurricane will maintain its category 3 or 4 strength. If it goes just inland and North it will weaken quicker. Questions that still need to be answered. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. A difference of 50 miles could mean the difference between damaging hurricane force winds or gusts just shy of hurricane force. Flooding rains and storm surge will be of great concern.

The hurricane track now looks to take the storm into Georgia. It could be a category 1 hurricane at that time and then become a tropical storm.

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point showers may move up from the remnants midweek.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds at 5mph.

Tonight: 

Clear and very cool. Lows in the upper 50s in the City, the 40s inland. North wind less than 5-10mph.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Thursday:

More clouds than sun. Highs in the mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

It’ll be a Fall preview this weekend as a large, cool high pressure system works into the region from Canada. Plenty of sunshine is expected with readings five to eight degrees below average for the highs. There’ll be a nip in the air during the night.

Hurricane Irma is a dangerous category 3 hurricane. The storm has weakened due to the interaction with Cuba. Winds are sustained at 125mph as of this writing. The storm is currently moving along the North coast of Cuba. The hurricane will continue to move West Northwest and graze the Northern coast of Cuba today.

Now to Florida. The computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4  near the Southern tip of Florida by Sunday morning. The water temperatures in the Florida Straits are flirting with 90º. In my opinion the hurricane should strengthen some. The combination of a weak upper low over the Southern states and a strong ridge of high pressure near Bermuda will result in the storm taking a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. It now looks like Irma will either take a track directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida making landfall somewhere along the West coast of Florida. If it stays just off the West coast of Florida, just in the Gulf the hurricane will maintain its category 3 or 4 strength. If it goes inland and North it will weaken quicker. Questions that still need to be answered. Yes, the track has shifted West. All preparations should be completed at this time. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. A difference of 50 miles could mean the difference between damaging hurricane force winds or gusts just shy of hurricane force. The cone of uncertainty is shrinking . Flooding rains and storm surge will be of great concern.

The hurricane track now looks to take the decaying hurricane into Georgia as a tropical storm. The risk to the Carolina’s has been greatly diminished.

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point showers may move up from the remnants midweek.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 70º. North to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight: 

Clear and very cool. Lows in the upper 50s in the City, the 40s inland. North wind less than 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A spot shower this evening otherwise, it will become mostly clear. It’ll be a Fall preview this weekend as a large, cool high pressure system works into the region from Canada. Plenty of sunshine is expected with readings five to eight degrees below average for the highs. There’ll be a nip in the air during the night.

Hurricane Irma is a dangerous category 4 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 155mph as of this writing. The storm is currently moving along the North coast of Cuba. The hurricane will continue to move West Northwest and ride just offshore or may graze the Northern coast of Cuba tonight. Irma should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+. Slight weaken is possible with any interaction with Cuba.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 or 5 near the Southern tip of Florida by late Saturday Night. The combination of a weak upper low over the Southern states and a strong ridge of high pressure near Bermuda will result in the storm taking a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. A difference of 50 miles could mean the difference between damaging hurricane force winds or gusts just shy of hurricane force. The cone of uncertainty is shrinking. This raises the confidence of Florida experiencing direct affect from Irma.  Flooding rains and storm surge will be of great concern.

The hurricane track now looks to take the decaying hurricane into Georgia as a tropical storm. The risk to the Carolina’s has been greatly diminished.

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point showers may move up from the remnants midweek.

Stay Tuned.

Tonight: 

Mostly clear and very cool. Lows in the upper 50s in the City, the upper 40s inland. North wind less than 5mph.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 70º. North to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

It’ll feel like the beginning of fall into the weekend as a large, cool high pressure system works into the region from Canada.

Friday will start off with sun but clouds will move in later in the afternoon. Spotty showers are possible later in the day as an upper level trough works through.

The weekend will be gorgeous with plenty of sunshine and cool readings.

Hurricane Irma is a dangerous category 4 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 155mph as of this writing. Just because the hurricane weakened some to a lower category doesn’t mean residents shouldn’t let there guard down. The storm is currently moving through the Southeastern Bahamas.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. The hurricane will continue to move West Northwest and ride just offshore or may graze the Northern coast of Cuba today. The storm should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The combination of a weak upper low over the Southern states and a strong ridge of high pressure near Bermuda will result in the storm taking a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Will the hurricane weaken and go North into Georgia (as many of the models have) or will it stay just offshore and slam into the Carolina’s?  The cone of uncertainty is shrinking. This raises the confidence of Florida experiencing direct affect from Irma.

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point its a very low chance, but we’ll have to monitor the track in the next several days. Showers may move up from the remnants midweek.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Sun to afternoon clouds. Spotty late day showers. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight: 

Mostly clear and very cool. Lows in the upper 50s in the City, the upper 40s inland. North wind less than 5mph.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Tuesday:

Sun to clouds. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

The sun will return today as drier air works in behind a front on a Northwesterly flow. Temperatures will be several degrees below average.

Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 180mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm will move North of the Dominican Republic and Haiti today and will near the Turks and Caicos this evening as the next landfall. Irma caused catastrophic devastation over parts of the Northern Leeward islands.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. The hurricane will continue to move West Northwest and ride just offshore the North coast of Cuba Friday. The storm should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Many of the computer models than take Irma into the Carolinas Monday Night. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point its a very low chance, but we’ll have to monitor the track in the next several days.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cool. Lows around 60º in the City the upper 40s and 50s inland. West winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Sun to afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A slow moving front will move slowly through the area tonight with on and off showers. Any showers Thursday morning will give way to mostly sunny skies. It’ll be cool with readings several degrees below average.

Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 185mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm will move North of Puerto Rico overnight. Irma caused catastrophic devastation over parts of the Northern Leeward islands.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. This will cause Irma to track on the Northern shore or just off the coast of the Dominica Republic, Haiti and Cuba Thursday through Saturday. The hurricane should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.  The Southern Bahamas will likely be the next land area to experience a landfall from Irma late Thursday night or Friday morning.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days.

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point its a very low chance, but we’ll have to monitor the track in the next several days.

Stay Tuned.

Tonight:

On and off showers. Lows around 60º in the City the 50s inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Morning showers will give way to mostly sunny skies later in the morning and afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Sun to afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A slow moving front will basically stall for a time along the East coast causing on and off showers through Thursday morning. It’ll be significantly cooler.

The front will push offshore later Thursday with the sun returning by afternoon. Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 185mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm is moving over the Northern Leeward Islands. Whether Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands get a direct hit is yet to be seen but the hurricane will be perilously close, so at a minimum some affects will be felt.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. This will cause Irma to track on the Northern shore or just off the coast of the Dominica Republic, Haiti and Cuba Thursday through Saturday. The hurricane should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Cloudy with on and off showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Winds becoming Northeast at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Scattered showers. Lows around 60º in the City the 50s inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

As we head back to work on today it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s with higher humidity. High pressure off the Southeast coast will pump up the warm airmass under hazy skies. A slow moving front will basically stall for a time along the East coast causing on and off showers and possible storms tonight, Wednesday and into Thursday morning. It’ll be significantly cooler.

The front will push offshore later Thursday with the sun returning by afternoon. Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend.

Hurricane Irma is now a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 180mph as of this writing. Irma is now the strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin recorded in National Hurricane Center history outside the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. The storm looks to track over the Northeastern Leeward islands tonight and be near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tomorrow. Whether these islands get a direct hit is yet to be seen but the hurricane will be perilously close, so at a minimum some affects will be felt.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. This will cause Irma to track on the Northern shore or just off the coast of the Dominica Republic, Haiti and Cuba Thursday through Saturday. The hurricane should maintain at least a category 4 status during this time frame with winds of 140mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The first map below is the National Hurricane Center track. The second map is the Euro Ensembles (51 tracks, essentially the spaghetti plot for the European model from the overnight run). The North turn will happen, now we have to continue to ingest the data to specifically find and when and where. Irma is still 4 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Forecasting track errors can be quite large for 4-5 days away.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Hazy, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds at 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Scattered showers and isolated storms. Lows around 70º in the City, the 60s inland. Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

 

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the lower 70s.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs around 70º

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected as high pressure ridges into the area from the Southeast. It’ll be a great beach day for the unofficial end of Summer.

As we head back to work on Tuesday it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s with higher humidity.

A slow moving front will basically stall for a time along the East coast causing on and off showers Tuesday night, Wednesday and into Thursday morning.

Hurricane Irma is a strengthening  hurricane in the Atlantic about 550 miles East of the Leeward Islands. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected by late next weekend 9/9-9/12. Yes, many of the models bring the storm at or near the East coast during that time frame but it would be a discredit to show the tracks because it’s a week out and the track continues to change from computer run to computer run. If anyone is giving out a landfall prediction it’s simply unreliable.  It is a good time for those in hurricane prone areas to be prepared.

Stay Tuned.

Labor Day:

Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and warm. Lows around 70º in the City, the 60s inland. Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Warm. Slight chance of a spotty late day storm or evening storm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

The remnants of Harvey will move through the area for the first part of today with scattered showers. Conditions should dry out during the afternoon and most areas will get to see at least some sun. Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected as high pressure ridges into the area from the Southeast. At least we’ll have 1 out of 3 days!

As we head back to work on Tuesday it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s and higher humidity.

A slow moving front will cause on and off showers later Tuesday evening, Wednesday and into Thursday morning.

Hurricane Irma is a category 3 hurricane in the Atlantic. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected by late next weekend 9/9-9/12. Yes, many of the models bring the storm at or near the East coast during that time frame but it would be a discredit to show the tracks because it’s a week out and the track will change many times. If anyone is giving out a landfall prediction it’s simply unreliable.  It is a good time for those in hurricane prone areas to be prepared.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Scattered showers through mid-day, otherwise the sun should make an appearance in most areas through the afternoon. Unseasonably cool with highs only around 70º. Northeast to West winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s in the City, the 50s inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Labor Day:

Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Warm. Slight chance of a spotty late day storm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.