Sun is Back. Category 5 Hurricane Irma Analysis…

 

Synopsis:

The sun will return today as drier air works in behind a front on a Northwesterly flow. Temperatures will be several degrees below average.

Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 180mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm will move North of the Dominican Republic and Haiti today and will near the Turks and Caicos this evening as the next landfall. Irma caused catastrophic devastation over parts of the Northern Leeward islands.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. The hurricane will continue to move West Northwest and ride just offshore the North coast of Cuba Friday. The storm should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Many of the computer models than take Irma into the Carolinas Monday Night. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point its a very low chance, but we’ll have to monitor the track in the next several days.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cool. Lows around 60º in the City the upper 40s and 50s inland. West winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Sun to afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.