Snow Winds Down Tonight. Sun Returns Sunday…

 

Synopsis:

The first snowfall of the season will begin to wind down this evening and overnight East of the City. The majority of the region will pick up between 2″-5″ of snow.

Please use caution as the first snow is usually the most difficult to handle. Many are not used to driving and walking in these conditions.

A dry Northwest flow will be with us Sunday. The sun will return and it’ll be breezy and chilly.

The next system we have our eyes on is a system coming out of the Northwest. At this time, it looks like all of the mechanics to form a decent storm will happen too far North. But, if the storm develops farther South our area could receive “some snow”.  There are still a few days to watch this one and I’m not writing it off. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone. In fact, an Arctic blast will be with us on Wednesday. Temperatures will  remain in the 20s.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Snow ends late evening to after midnight East. Lows around 30º in the City, 20s inland. Northwest wind will become West at 8-12mph.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Breezy. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º. West wind at 10-20mph.

Monday:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the lower 40s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. A bit of light snow is possible in the morning. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, windy and brutally cold. Highs in the upper 20s. Wind chills 10º-15º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around freezing.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Saturday Snow. Sun Returns Sunday…

 

Synopsis:

The first snowfall of the season is on the way. Snow will develop today South of the City around sunrise and overspread the tri-state area during the morning. Low pressure will work up and off the coast. The snow may mix with rain over Eastern Long Island. The steadiest and heaviest snow looks to occur Saturday afternoon before it tapers off during the evening. Above are the possible amounts. The heaviest snow looks to be concentrated over parts of central and Southern NJ and Long Island and CT.

Even though this won’t be a major snowfall please use caution as the first snow is usually the most difficult to handle. Many are not used to driving and walking in these conditions.

The storm will move away Saturday night and a cold wind will be with us Sunday under partly sunny skies.

The second unit of energy will come our way Tuesday. At this time, it looks like all of the mechanics to form a decent storm will happen too far North. But, if the storm develops farther South our area could receive “some snow”.  There are still many days to watch this one and I’m not writing it off. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone. In fact, an Arctic blast will be with us on Wednesday. Temperatures will  remain in the 20s.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Snow developing during the morning and continuing throughout the day. Rain may mix with the snow over Eastern Long Island. Highs in the lower to mid 30s. North wind at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Snow ends late evening to after midnight East. Lows around 30º in the City, 20s inland. Northwest wind will become West at 8-12mph.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Breezy. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º.

Monday:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. A bit of light snow is possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, windy and brutally cold. Highs in the upper 20s. Wind chills 10º-15º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Potential & Possible Amounts Increase for Saturday…

 

Synopsis:

The latest computer guidance has a developing storm off the coast on Saturday. Most of the latest models now have the snow farther West and a bit steadier and heavier. The threat for a light to moderate accumulation of snow has increased for Saturday. The snow may mix with rain over Eastern Long Island. Above are the possible amounts. The heaviest snow looks to be concentrated over parts of central and Southern NJ and Long Island and CT. These amounts will most likely be tweaked as we approach the “event”. The snow should begin around sunrise and continue into Saturday evening.

On Sunday an upper level disturbance will move through with the chance of flurries.

The second unit of energy will come our way Tuesday. At this time, it looks like a decent storm will form. The question is where? If it forms to far North and East we’ll be spared. But, if the storm develops farther South our area could receive “some snow”.  There are still many days to watch this one and I’m not writing it off. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone.

Stay tuned.

Today:

More clouds than sun. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. West winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy and cold. Lows around freezing in the City, the upper teens and 20s inland. West winds at 5mph.

Saturday:

Snow developing during the morning and continuing throughout the day. Rain may mix with the snow over Eastern Long Island. Highs in the mid 30s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered flurries. Highs in the upper 30s.

Monday:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. The potential for a period of snow. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Cold Sticks Around. Potential for a Bit of Snow Saturday…

 

Synopsis:

The cold has settled into the region. The jet stream is active and will have units of energy dropping into the trough from time to time forming a storm. The question is, will these areas of low pressure form close enough to give the area a snowfall?

The latest computer guidance has a developing storm off the coast on Saturday. Most of the latest models now have the shield of light snow farther West. The threat for a light accumulation of snow has increased. The snow may mix with and possibly change to rain overnight the Eastern third of Long Island. Above are the possible amounts. These amounts will most likely change as we get closer to the “event”. Cold high pressure, funneling in the cold air, is the ingredient missing to keep this an all light snow event out East.

On Sunday an upper level disturbance will move through with the chance of flurries.

The second unit of energy will come our way Tuesday. At this time, it looks like a decent storm will form. The question is where? If it forms to far North and East we’ll be spared. But, if the storm develops farther South our area could receive “some snow”.  There are still many days to watch this one and I’m not writing it off. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Mostly clear, cold. Lows around freezing in the City, the 20s inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Mainly cloudy. A period of light snow is possible. Rain may mix with the snow over Eastern Long Island. Highs in the mid 30s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered flurries. Highs in the upper 30s.

Monday:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. The potential for a period of snow. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Below Average Temperatures for Many Days…

 

Synopsis:

The major pattern change to colder has occurred and will stick around for some time. Readings will be near average today-the average high temperature is 46º, to below average through the weekend. The jet stream is active and will have units of energy dropping into the trough from time to time forming a storm. The question is, will these areas of low pressure form close enough to give the area a snowfall?

The latest computer guidance has a developing storm off the coast on Saturday. A shield of light snow may graze coastal areas. At this time there is a low potential for a light accumulation at the coast. On Sunday an upper level disturbance will move through with the chance of flurries.

The second unit of energy will come our way Tuesday. At this time, it looks like it will form too far North and East for a significant snowfall. There are still many days to watch this one and I’m not writing it off. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny, chilly. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear, cold. Lows around freezing in the City, the 20s inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.

Saturday:

Clouds and some inland. A period of light snow is possible along the coast. Highs in the upper 30s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered flurries. Highs in the upper 30s.

Monday:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Back to Reality. Chilly Breeze. Sun Returns…

 

Synopsis:

The Spring Fling is over and it’s back to reality. This will be the start of the major pattern change to colder that will take hold for some time to come. Readings will be near average today-the average high temperature is 46º, to below average through the weekend.

Will a storm form along the Eastern Seaboard? The latest computer guidance has a developing storm off the coast on Saturday. Morning snow showers are possible over coastal and Eastern areas. At this time a light accumulation seems slim at best at the coast. On Sunday an upper level disturbance will move through with the chance of flurries.

The jet stream will be be diving out of Canada and then turning up the coast. A more significant system may develop Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. At this time it looks like to will form too far North and East. How it all plays out is still anybody’s guess. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Early clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies. Highs in the 40s. West winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and colder than recent nights. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, the 20s inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Friday:

Sun to clouds. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered snow showers over Eastern areas in the morning. Highs in the upper 30s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered flurries. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Period of Rain Tonight. Spring Fling is Over. Back to Reality…

 

Synopsis:

A warm Southerly flow will continue for the first half of the night ahead of a cold front. The cold front will be accompanied by a period of rain. Temperatures will fall dramatically before sunrise. The Spring Fling is over and it’s back to reality. This will be the start of the major pattern change to colder that will take hold for some time to come. Readings will be near average on Wednesday-the average high temperature is 46º, to below average through the weekend.

Will a storm form along the Eastern Seaboard? The latest computer guidance has a developing storm off the coast on Saturday. Morning snow showers are possible over coastal and Eastern areas. At this time a light accumulation seems slim at best at the coast. On Sunday an upper level disturbance will move through with the chance of flurries.

The jet stream will be be diving out of Canada and then turning up the coast. A more significant system may develop Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. How it all plays out is still anybody’s guess. One thing is for sure the cold is set in stone.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Showers. Warm to start with readings in the 50s. Temperatures will drop into the 40s in the City and the 30s inland once the front moves through late. South to West winds at 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Wednesday:

Early clouds and showers East giving way to mostly sunny skies. Highs in the 40s. West winds at 10-20mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 40s.

Friday:

Sun to clouds. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered snow showers over Eastern areas in the morning. Highs in the upper 30s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered flurries. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Balmy Today. On & Off Drizzle/Showers…

 

Synopsis:

A warm Southerly flow will develop today ahead of a cold front. Temperatures will be ten to fifteen degrees warmer than average. We may flirt with 60º. The average high is 47º.  The flow from the South will be moist. On and off showers and drizzle will develop later this morning under a mostly cloudy sky.

The cold front will cross the area tonight with a period of steadier rain. The computer models have now sped up the speed of the front so it looks like Wednesday morning will be rain free with the exception of  showers over Eastern sections early in the morning. Skies will clear and temperatures will drop from the 50s just after midnight to the 40s during the day. This will be the start of the major pattern change to colder that will take hold for some time to come. Will a storm form along the Eastern Seaboard? The latest computer guidance has a couple of areas of weak low pressure off the coast- one Friday Night and the other later Saturday and Saturday Night. I’ve included the chance of snow showers at this point for Saturday. Still several days to watch how this plays out.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and areas of drizzle. Much warmer. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast to South winds at 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Showers. Warm to start with readings in the 50s. Temperatures will drop into the 40s once the front moves through late. South to West winds at 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Wednesday:

Early clouds and showers East giving way to mostly sunny skies. Highs in the 40s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Sun to clouds. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Nice Start to the Workweek. Rain on the Way…

 

Synopsis:

The start of the workweek will be decent as high pressure slips offshore. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with above average readings. The average high is 47º.  There still remains no arctic air in the country. The map above depicts just how warm the nation is. A sharp front is beginning to show it’s colors over the Northern plains. This front will move toward the region on Tuesday and Tuesday night with scattered showers and warm temperatures. We may flirt with 60º on Tuesday.

The computer models have now sped up the speed of the front so it looks like Wednesday morning will be rain free with the exception of  showers over Eastern sections early in the morning. Skies will clear and temperatures will drop during the afternoon. This will be the start of the major pattern change to colder that will take hold for some time to come. Will a storm form along the Eastern Seaboard? At this time the models have a system well off the coast Friday Night and Saturday. We need to monitor the latest guidance as any shift to the West could result in a snowfall.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Patchy AM Fog, otherwise partly sunny and mild. Highs in the lower 50s. Northeast to Southeast  winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy and mild. Lows in the mid to upper 40s in the City, near 40º inland. Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Cloudy with scattered showers and areas of drizzle. Much warmer. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Early Clouds and showers East giving way to mostly sunny skies. Highs around 50º early, then readings will fall through the 40s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Sun to clouds. Highs around 40º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Clouds & Sun Today. Spot Shower…

 

Synopsis:

The first weekend of December will be a gentle one as high pressure dominates. A weak disturbance will cause mostly cloudy skies today with a spot shower possible.

There still remains no arctic air in the country.  The jet stream remains zonal (from East to West) and is not allowing the Canadian air into the nation.

The sun will dominate Monday with seasonal readings.

A major pattern change looks to be on the way for midweek next week. Much colder air will spill into the area. Before the  transition, a warm Southerly flow ahead of the cold front will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday. A few showers are possible later Tuesday with periods of rain expected Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. It will then turn much colder later Wednesday into late week.

The long range models have the cold air sticking around. Will a storm form along the Eastern Seaboard ?

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers possible. Highs in the upper 40s to around 50º. East to Northeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly clear. Lows around 40º in the City. The 20’s inland. Light Northwest to North winds.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs near 50º.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. Much warmer. Chance of late day showers. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Morning rain and mild. The sun will return later in the day as the mercury drops into the 40s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and much colder. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.