Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

A developing storm will move out of the Tennessee Valley today and move off the Virginia coast and to the East Northeast and out to sea.  There remains a threat of a bit of snow or rain mainly to the South of the City this afternoon. There will be a sharp cutoff to the precipitation on the Northern edge. Where this cutoff sets up is still in question. Will it clip the City and vicinity or will it remain South? This will be a minor event as the heaviest precipitation stays well South. Also, the sun angle will play into the equation of how much snow will stick during the daylight hours (it has to snow at a very good rate for snow to accumulate during the day). The possible amounts are above by Tuesday night. This is for storm #1 and think the lower end of the those numbers.

A second storm will develop with additional energy in the jet stream diving South into the Carolina’s. The storm will form East of the Outer Banks on Wednesday. The latest computer models are in unison. This storm will rapidly intensify and move to the Northeast just off the coast. The potential continues to increase for a Nor’easter on Wednesday if the latest track verifies. Wet snow and or rain which could be heavy at times by midday. A Winter Storm Warning has been posted for the entire area with the exception of Eastern Suffolk county for the potential of 6″-12″ or more of snow. Gusty winds and coastal flooding is possible if this storm comes close enough to the region on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Power outages are possible along with additional tree damage.

In summary, there will be two separate storms. One that may clip parts of the area (mainly South) today the other that will have to be monitored closely for Wednesday and Wednesday night with a raging wet snowstorm possible. Please check in frequently to this site. A high impact event is likely Wednesday. Please keep it here for a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Early sun possible otherwise thickening clouds. Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet South of the City. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Northeast 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with spotty a spotty light mix at times. Lows near 30º in the City, the 20s inland. Increasing North to Northeast winds at 15-30mph with higher gusts late.

Wednesday:

Wet snow, mix and rain changing to mainly wet snow and becoming heavy at times. Windy conditions. Whiteout conditions and thunder snow are possible during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and Windy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, Breezy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A developing storm will move out of the Tennessee Valley on tonight and Tuesday and move off the Virginia coast and to the East Northeast and out to sea.  There remains a threat of a bit of snow or rain mainly to the South of the City on Tuesday. There will be a sharp cutoff to the precipitation on the Northern edge. Where this cutoff sets up is still in question. Will it clip the City and vicinity or will it remain South? An accumulating snow is possible if the heavier rates of snow occur, but it looks like this will be a minor event as the heaviest precipitation stays well South. Also, the sun angle will play into the equation of how much snow will stick during the daylight hours (it has to snow at a very good rate for snow to accumulate during the day). The possible amounts are above by Tuesday night. This is for storm #1 and think the lower end of the those numbers.

A second storm will develop with additional energy in the jet stream diving South into the Carolina’s. The storm will form East of the Outer Banks on Wednesday. The latest computer models are in unison. This storm will rapidly intensify and move to the Northeast just off the coast. The potential has increased for a Nor’easter on Wednesday if the latest track verifies. Wet snow and or rain which could be heavy at times by midday. A Winter Storm Watch has been posted for the entire area for the potential of 6″ or more of snow. Gusty winds and coastal flooding is possible if this storm comes close enough to the region on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

In summary, there will be two separate storms. One that may clip parts of the area (mainly South) on Tuesday the other that will have to be monitored closely for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Please check in frequently to this site. A high impact event could occur Wednesday. Please keep it here for a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Lows near 30º in the City, the teens & 20s inland. Northeast wind 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Early sun possible otherwise thickening clouds. Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet South of the City. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Northeast 10-15mph.

Wednesday:

Wet snow, mix and rain changing to mainly wet snow and possibly becoming heavy at times. Windy conditions. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and Windy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, Breezy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

High pressure will continue to nose in from central Canada today. This will result in mainly sunny skies and below average temperatures. The average high for NYC is 51º.

The latest computer guidance has at least come so some sort of consensus for the first area of low pressure to affect parts of the area on Tuesday. A developing storm will move out of the Tennessee Valley on Monday and move off the Virginia coast and to the East Northeast and out to sea.  There remains a threat of a bit of snow or rain mainly to the South of the City on Tuesday. There will be a sharp cutoff to the precipitation on the Northern edge. Where this cutoff sets up is still in question. Will it clip the City and vicinity or will it remain South? An accumulating snow is possible if the heavier rates of snow occur, but it looks like this will be a minor event as the heaviest precipitation stays well South. Also, the sun angle will play into the equation of how much snow will stick during the daylight hours (it has to snow at a very good rate for snow to accumulate during the day). The possible amounts are above by Tuesday night. This is for storm #1 and think the lower end of the those numbers.

A second storm now looks to develop with additional energy in the jet stream diving South into the Carolina’s. The storm will form East of the Outer Banks on Wednesday. Will the upper level winds sharpen up enough to have this storm affect the area. The possibility has increased some. There is the potential for a period of wet snow and or rain with gusty winds and coastal flooding if this storm comes close enough on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

In summary, there will be two separate storms. One that may clip parts of the area (mainly South) on Tuesday the other that will have to be monitored closely for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Please check in frequently to this site. A shift to the West and a potential high impact event would occur. Please keep it here for a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Breezy. Lows near 30º in the City, the teens & 20s inland. Northeast wind 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet South of the City. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º. Breezy.

Wednesday:

A potential of some snow or a mix and windy conditions. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and Windy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, Breezy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A persistent Northwesterly flow will continue resulting in colder than average temperatures right through the weekend. The culprit, a stationary storm in Eastern Canada and high pressure nosing in from central Canada. Sunny skies are expected for the last weekend of Winter (that sounded good). Winds will not be as busy.

The latest computer guidance is now converging on a scenario for this upcoming week in regards to areas of low pressure affecting the East coast. A developing storm will move out of the Tennessee Valley on Monday and move off the Virginia coast and to the Northeast on Tuesday- up and off our coast.  This increases the threat of snow, rain and sleet from NYC and to the South on Tuesday. There will be a sharp cutoff to the precipitation on the Northern edge. Where this cutoff sets up is still in question. Will it clip the City and vicinity or will it remain South? An accumulating snow is possible if the heavier rates of snow occur. Also, the sun angle will play into the equation of how much snow will stick during the daylight hours (it has to snow at a very good rate for snow to accumulate during the day).

A second storm now looks to develop with additional energy in the jet stream diving South into the Carolina’s. The storm will form East of the Outer Banks on Wednesday. Will the upper level winds sharpen up enough to have this storm affect the area. The possibility is slim at this point. Gusty winds and coastal flooding is a possibility with a persistent Northeast wind Tuesday through Thursday.

In summary, there will be two separate storms. One that may clip parts of the area (mainly South) on Tuesday the other that will have to be monitored closely. At this time the forecast is for the second storm to stay just offshore. But please check in frequently to this site. A shift to the West and a potential high impact event would occur. Please keep it here for a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Breezy. Lows near freezing in the City, the 20s inland. North wind less than 5mph.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet, especially from the City and to the South. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º. Windy.

Wednesday:

Sun and clouds. Low potential of some snow and windier conditions. Highs in the lower 40s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A persistent Northwesterly flow will continue resulting in colder than average temperatures right through the weekend. The culprit, a stationary storm in Eastern Canada and high pressure nosing in from central Canada. Sunny skies are expected for the last weekend of Winter (that sounded good). Winds will not be as busy.

The threat of a storm affecting the area continues Tuesday and Wednesday, although the latest computer guidance has diminished that threat some. At this time it is too early to determine how much rain and or snow will fall.  The models do have an area of low pressure on the map over the Eastern states, but where does it go?  Where does the secondary redevelopment occur & does it stay just far enough South to spare the region?  These questions need to be answered.  Also, the sun angle will play into the equation of how much snow will stick during the daylight hours (it has to snow at a very good rate for snow to accumulate during the day). Strong winds and coastal flooding is also a possibility. At this time, be aware that the Tuesday into Wednesday time frame could be hazardous.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows near 30º in the City, near 20º inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Thickening clouds. Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet. Highs in the upper 30s. Windy.

Wednesday:

Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet. Highs in the mid 30s. Windy

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A persistent Northwesterly flow will continue resulting in colder than average temperatures right through the weekend. The culprit, a stationary storm in Eastern Canada and high pressure nosing in from central Canada. A mix of sun and clouds is expected through Sunday. Today will blustery with highs only in the upper 30s. The wind will be like a slap in the face with gusts well over 30mph. The weekend will be more tranquil.

A low may affect the area Tuesday into Wednesday. At this time it is too early to determine how much rain and or snow will fall.  The models do have an area of low pressure on the map over the Eastern states, but where does it go? Where does the secondary redevelopment occur? These questions needed to be answered. Many days to watch this unfold.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows near 30º in the City, near 20º inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 10-15mph after midnight.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

Thickening clouds. Chance of rain and or wet snow. Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A persistent Northwesterly flow will continue resulting in colder than average temperatures right through the weekend. The culprit, a stationary storm in Eastern Canada and another cold front working toward the area later today. A mix of sun and clouds is expected through Sunday. Another round of rain or snow showers is possible late this afternoon and evening with the cold front. Friday will blustery with highs only in the upper 30s. The weekend will be more tranquil.

A low may affect the area Tuesday or Wednesday. Please do not listen to those predicting another storm and snow amounts and forget those unreliable weather apps; its totally unrealistic. The models do have an area of low pressure on the map over the Eastern states, but where it goes? Many days to watch this unfold.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny, breezy. Rain and snow showers possible later in the day and during the evening. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. West winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

An evening rain or snow shower, otherwise, partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows near freezing in the City, the 20s inland. Northwest winds 10-20mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A persistent Northwesterly flow will continue resulting in colder than average temperatures right through the weekend. The culprit, a stationary storm in Eastern Canada and another cold front working toward the area later tomorrow. A mix of sun and clouds is expected through Sunday.  An upper low will move over the region today. This feature will cause scattered snow showers into this evening. Some areas, mainly to the North may be up a quick coating. Please use caution as any snow shower could be heavy for a short period of time. Another round of rain or snow showers is possible late afternoon and evening tomorrow with the cold front.

There has already been chatter about another storm affecting the area next Tuesday. Please do not listen to those predicting another snow; its totally unrealistic. The models do have an area of low pressure on the map over the Eastern states, but where it goes? Many days to watch this unfold.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

An evening snow shower, otherwise, partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows near freezing in the City, the 20s inland. West winds 15-30mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, breezy. Rain and snow showers possible later in the day and during the evening. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. West winds at 10-20mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the region snow will continue to move into Eastern Canada the next several days. A persistent Northwesterly flow will continue resulting in colder than average temperatures right through the weekend. A mix of sun and clouds is expected.  An upper low will move over the region today. This feature will cause scattered snow showers. Some areas, mainly to the North may be up a quick coating. Please use caution as any snow shower could be heavy for a short period of time.

There has already been chatter about another storm affecting the area next Tuesday. Please do not listen to those predicting another snow; its totally unrealistic. The models to have an area of low pressure on the map but where it goes? Come on. It’s six days away.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Clouds and sun, windy and chilly. Scattered snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds at 15-30mph.

Tonight:

An evening snow shower, otherwise, partly cloudy with winds diminishing some. Windy. Lows near freezing in the City, the 20s inland. West winds 15-30mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, breezy. Snow Showers possible later in the day and during the evening. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

Both the Southern and Northern jet stream will be high energized, this will result in explosive intensification of the coastal low off the Mid-Atlantic coast and New England coast today. Bombogenesis will occur-the birth of a rapidly deepening storm. This storm will move up and off our immediate coast today. The storm looks to take a path just outside the track for a major snowstorm for the entire area. Areas to the East of NYC will not be spared, as the heavier snow shield should work into Eastern Long Island and Connecticut. A Winter Storm warning has been posted for this area for the likelihood of heavy snow. Farther to the West much lighter accumulations are expected with virtually no accumulation in spots. The possible snow amounts are above.

Strong wind gusts of 30-45mph are possible along the coast and especially over Eastern Long Island. Minor coastal flooding is possible. Damaging winds of the first Nor’easter ten days ago is not expected.

The storm will pull away this afternoon with snow lingering to the East of NYC during the afternoon. Some sun is possible, especially to the West.

It will be cold and breezy behind this system into midweek next week with scattered flurries.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Snow, ending West in the morning. The snow will continue East of NYC into the afternoon. Some sun is possible. Windy. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows near freezing in the City, the 20s inland. Northwest to West winds decreasing to 10-20mph.

Wednesday:

Clouds and sun, windy and chilly. Scattered late afternoon snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, windy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and cold. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Not as harsh by afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.