Blizzard Warnings for Coastal NJ & Eastern Long Island…

 

Synopsis:

A distributive snowstorm will affect areas closest to the coast on Thursday. Blizzard Warnings have been issued for Monmouth, Ocean and Suffolk counties with Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories elsewhere.

A rapidly intensifying storm will develop off the Southeast coast and move North tonight and Thursday. The latest computer models have the storm over or just to the East of a favorable track for significant snow. The storm’s barometric pressure is incredibly low and usually found only in hurricanes. Some of the computer models have a good amount of snow for a majority of the area, while other have added “some” to their snow amounts. A shift more toward the West would mean a greater potential for higher amounts for all areas.  A shift to the East, lighter amounts. At this time, I think a Westward shift will happen. For this reason, I have upped the possible snow amounts (map above). The highest snow totals will be at the coast with lighter amounts farther inland.

Blizzard conditions are likely along the coast with near whiteout conditions. Winds will gust between 30-60mph with the higher gusts at the coast.

The snow begins tonight and continues Thursday. The snow will taper off from West to East during the day.

It will be “The Storm of Miles”. The difference of a few miles could mean the difference between a bit of snow and big snow.

The coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º. Not fun times.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Increasing and thickening clouds. Light snow developing around Midnight from the coast than farther inland. Lows in the lower 20s in the City, near 5º to 15º inland. Winds becoming North to Northeast and increasing to 15-25mph late.

Thursday:

Snow. Heavy at times along the coast. Very windy. The snow will taper off during the afternoon from West to East. Highs in the mid 20s. Northwest winds at 20-40mph with gusts to 60mph at the coast.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 15º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with rain or snow.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Potential Thursday. Heaviest East…

 

Synopsis:

The below freezing readings will continue until further notice. The last time the temperature was above freezing was Christmas Day.

Now on to the snow potential. A rapidly intensifying storm will develop off the Florida coast and move North Wednesday night and Thursday. The latest computer models have the storm over or just to the East of a favorable track for significant snow. The storm’s barometric pressure is incredibly low and usually found only in hurricanes. Some of the computer models have a good amount of snow for a majority of the area, while other models just have a glancing blow. A shift more toward the West would mean a greater potential of accumulating snow for all areas.  A shift to the East, little to no snow. I will go in the middle of the road with snow amounts. Above is the  potential snow amounts. The highest snow totals will be at the coast with lighter amounts farther inland. My thoughts about accumulations have not changed since last night. I’ll have an update afternoon Noon today. This will most likely change.

The snow begins tonight and continues Thursday. The snow will taper off from West to East during the day.

It will be “The Storm of Miles”. The difference of a few miles could mean the difference between a bit of snow and big snow.

Whatever the outcome with the ocean storm, the coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s to around 30º. West to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Increasing and thickening clouds. Light snow developing around Midnight from the coast than farther inland. Lows in the lower 20s in the City, near 5º to 15º inland. Northeast to North winds increasing to 10-20mph.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with snow likely, especially at the coast. Highs in the mid 20s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 12º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Cold Sticks Around. Snow Potential Thursday…

 

Synopsis:

The below freezing readings will continue until further notice. The last time the temperature was above freezing was Christmas Day.

Now on to the snow potential. A rapidly intensifying storm will develop off the Florida coast and move North Wednesday night and Thursday. The latest computer models have the storm over or just to the East of a favorable track for significant snow. The storm’s barometric pressure is incredibly low and usually found only in hurricanes. Some of the computer models have a good amount of snow for a majority of the area, while other models just have a glancing blow. A shift more toward the West would mean a greater potential of accumulating snow for all areas.  A shift to the East, little to no snow. I will go in the middle of the road with snow amounts. Above is the first stab at potential snow amounts. The highest snow totals will be at the coast with lighter amounts farther inland. This will no doubt change.

The snow begins Wednesday night and continues Thursday. It will be “The Storm of Miles”. The difference of a few miles could mean the difference between a bit of snow and big snow.

Whatever the outcome with the ocean storm, the coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid. Lows in the mid teens in the City, near 0º to 10º inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s to around 30º. West to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with a potential of snow, especially at the coast. Highs in the mid 20s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 12º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Frigid Conditions Through the Week. Snow Potential Thursday…

 

Synopsis:

The bitter blast will be with us until further notice as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure continues to move in from Canada. Readings will be well below freezing through the shortened workweek.

I am keeping an eye on a Western Atlantic storm for Wednesday Night through Thursday. The latest computer models have it to the East of a favorable track for significant snow but just close enough for a potential for “some snow” for most of the tri-state area. A shift more toward the coast would mean a greater potential of snow for all areas.  A shift to the East, no snow. There will be a trough of low pressure extending out from the storm toward the coast. If this feature develops and moves over the region the potential for snow will increase for most areas. The highest snow totals will be at the coast with little in the way of accumulation well inland. A possible snow amounts map will be out by this afternoon.

Whatever the outcome with the ocean storm, the coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny and cold  Highs in the lower to mid 20s. West wind at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid. Lows in the mid teens in the City, near 0º to 10º inland. West to Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with a low potential of some snow, especially at the coast. Highs in the upper 20s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 12º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Happy New Year! Frigid Start to 2018. Eyes on Ocean Storm…

 

Synopsis:

The bitter blast will be with us until further notice as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure continues to move in from Canada. Readings will be well below freezing through the beginning of the New Year. At least snow will not be an issue for the festivities through New Year’s Day and through Wednesday.

I am keeping an eye on a Western Atlantic storm for Wednesday Night through Thursday night. The latest computer models have it to the East of a favorable track for significant snow but just close enough for a LOW potential for “some snow” at the coast. A shift more toward the coast would mean a greater potential of snow for all areas.  A shift to the East, no snow. There will be a trough of low pressure extending out from the storm toward the coast. If this feature develops and moves over the region the potential for snow will increase for most areas. Whatever the outcome with the ocean storm, the coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º.

Stay tuned.

New Year’s Day:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs only in the mid teens. Wind Chills near 0º. Northwest winds at 10-2omph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and frigid. Lows in the lower teens in the City, near 0º to 10º inland. West to Northwest winds at 10-15mph. Wind chills 5º to -8º.

Tuesday:

Sunny and cold  Highs in the lower to mid 20s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with a low potential of some snow, especially at the coast. Highs in the upper 20s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 10º to 12º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Frigid End to 2017 & Start to 2018. Happy New Year!

 

Synopsis:

The bitter blast will be with us until further notice as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure continues to move in from Canada. Readings will be well below freezing through the beginning of the New Year. At least snow will not be an issue for the festivities through New Year’s Day.

The weather at the stroke of Midnight tonight will be dangerously cold. The temperature will be 11º with wind chills at 0º to -8º at Times Square.

I am keeping an eye on a Western Atlantic storm for Wednesday Night through Thursday night. The latest computer models have it to the East of a favorable track for significant snow but just close enough for a LOW potential for “some snow” at the coast.  A shift more toward the coast would mean a greater potential of snow for all areas.  A shift to the East, no snow. Whatever the outcome with the ocean storm, the coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 11º.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and frigid. Lows in the upper single digits in the City, near 0º inland. Northwest winds at 15-25mph. Wind chills 0º to -8º at the coast. 0º to -15 inland.

New Year’s Day:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs only in the mid teens. Wind Chills near 0º. Northwest winds at 10-2omph.

Tuesday:

Sunny and cold  Highs in the lower to mid 20s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with a low potential of some snow at the coast.  Highs in the upper 20s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 10º to 12º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Frigid New Year’s Eve…

 

Synopsis:

The bitter blast will be with us until further notice as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure continues to move in from Canada. Readings will be well below freezing through the beginning of the New Year. At least snow will not be an issue for the festivities through New Year’s Day.

The weather at the stroke of Midnight tonight will be dangerously cold. The temperature will be 11º with wind chills at 0º to -8º at Times Square.

I am keeping an eye on a Western Atlantic storm for Wednesday Night through Thursday night. The latest computer models have it to the East of a favorable track for significant snow but just close enough for a LOW potential for “some snow” at the coast.  A shift more toward the coast would mean a greater potential of snow for all areas.  A shift to the East no snow.

Stay tuned.

New Year’s Eve:

Mostly sunny, breezy and frigid. Highs in the upper teens. Northwest winds at 15-25mph. Wind chills in the single digits, below zero at times inland.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and frigid. Lows in the upper single digits in the City, near 0º inland. Northwest winds at 15-25mph. Wind chills 0º to -8º at the coast. 0º to -15 inland.

New Year’s Day:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs only in the mid teens. Wind Chills near 0º.

Tuesday:

Sunny and cold  Highs in the lower 20s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with a low potential of some snow at the coast.  Highs in the upper 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Quick Hitting Light Snow Today. Remaining Frigid…

 

Synopsis:

A bitter blast will be with us through the end of the year as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure moves in from Canada. Readings will be below freezing through the weekend with overnight lows in the single digits and teens.

A bit of snow will fall today. A low will form well off the coast. This system in conjunction with a disturbance in the upper atmosphere will cause a few snow showers or a period of light snow. This will not be a big deal and will be a quick hitter- lasting maybe 3 to 6 hours. A dusting to 3″ is possible (highest amounts over Long Island, map above).

As stated, the bitter cold will stick around through New Year’s Day and beyond. At least it’ll be tranquil.

The weather at the stroke of Midnight New Year’s Eve will be dangerously cold. The temperature will be 11º with wind chills at 0º to -8º at Times Square.

I am keeping an eye on a Western Atlantic storm for Wednesday Night through Thursday night. The latest computer models have nudge it toward the coast. Even with this track taken verbatim the snow would miss the area. BUT, a shift more toward the coast would mean a greater potential of snow.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. A period of light snow or snow showers is likely.  Highs in the mid 20s. West to Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Scattered evening snow showers, otherwise partly cloudy and frigid. Lows in the mid teens in the City, the single digits inland. Northwest increasing to 10-20mph. Wind chills near 0º.

New Year’s Eve:

Mostly sunny. Frigid. Highs around 20º.

New Year’s Day:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs only in the teens. Wind Chills near 0º.

Tuesday:

Sunny and cold  Highs in the lower 20s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Frigid Through The New Year. Quick Hitting Light Snow Saturday…

 

Synopsis:

A bitter blast will be with us through the end of the year as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure moves in from Canada. Readings will be below freezing through the weekend with overnight lows in the single digits and teens.

The only chance of seeing any flakes the next five days will be on Saturday. A low will form well off the coast. This system in conjunction with a disturbance in the upper atmosphere will cause a few snow showers or a period of light snow. This will not be a big deal and will be a quick hitter- lasting maybe 3 to 6 hours. A dusting to 2″ is possible (highest amounts over Long Island).

As stated, the bitter cold will stick around through New Year’s Day. At least it’ll be tranquil.

The weather at the stroke of Midnight New Year’s Eve will be dangerously cold. The temperature will be 13º with wind chills at 0º to -5º.

Stay tuned.

Today:

More clouds than sun. Very cold.  Highs in the lower to mid 20s. Northwest winds at 8-12mph. Wind chills in the teens.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Frigid. Lows in the upper teens in the City, the single digits inland. Northwest winds 5mph.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. A period of light snow or snow showers is likely for a few hours.  Highs in the mid 20s.

New Year’s Eve:

Mostly sunny. Frigid. Highs around 20º.

New Year’s Day:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs only in the teens.

Tuesday:

Sunny and cold  Highs in the lower 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Bitter Cold. Dangerous Wind Chills Through Thursday…

 

Synopsis:

A bitter blast will be with us through the end of the year as the gates are open for Arctic air to spill into the nation as strong high pressure moves in from Canada. Readings will be below freezing through the weekend with overnight lows in the single digits and teens.

Wind chills will be dangerously today. Life threatening conditions are possible if proper winter attire is not worn. The map above depicts just how cold it’ll feel.

The only chance of seeing any flakes the next five days will be on Saturday. A low will form well off the coast. This system in conjunction with a disturbance in the upper atmosphere will cause a few snow showers or a period of light snow. This will not be a big deal.

As stated, the bitter cold will stick around through New Year’s Day. At least it’ll be tranquil.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny. Very cold.  Highs in the lower 20s. Northwest winds at 15-25mph. Wind chills in the single digits by afternoon.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Frigid. Lows in the lower teens in the City, the single digits to near zero inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Very cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers or a period of light snow.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs around 20º.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Bitterly cold.  Highs around 20º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.