Clouds Rule. Spotty AM Showers to Light PM Rain…

Synopsis:

Today moisture will begin to build in from the South. This will increase our clouds. Spotty showers are possible this morning. A band of light rain will develop during the afternoon. Areas to the North may remain dry (1st map above).

Rain will develop tonight ahead of a developing low over the Southern Appalachians.

On Saturday the low will  intensify as it moves up the Piedmont and off the Maryland coast during the afternoon. Rain is expected. The models have come into agreement that the storm will have a sharp cutoff from heavy rainfall totals to lighter amounts North and West (2nd map above). One to two inches of coastal rainfall is expected with much lighter amounts as you go North and West. Also, the low threat of any period of wet snow has diminished. That’s not to say the some wet snow may mix in especially to the North and East of the City during the afternoon. The rain will also taper off over Western sections during the day and around the NYC vicinity toward sunset. The day may end with an appearance from the sun, especially from the City and the the West.

Winds will be gusty. The strongest winds will be along the coast. Possible gusts over 40mph are possible, mainly to the East of the City.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Tranquil but chilly conditions are expected early next week. Readings will be a few degrees below the average high of the upper 40s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Spotty morning showers. Afternoon light rain likely in most areas.  Highs around 50º. Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Rain developing. Lows around 40º in urban areas, the  30s inland. Southwest to North winds diminishing at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Rain likely. Rain tapering off during the afternoon. Some afternoon sun especially West. Breezy. High in the 40s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the lower 40s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. High in the lower 40s.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny. High in the lower 40s.

Sunny, Seasonal Thursday…

Synopsis:

The sun will dominate today with seasonal readings as high pressure over the Southeast dominates.

Tonight will be partly cloudy and not as cold in urban areas. Inland readings will be below freezing.

On Friday, moisture will begin to build in from the South. This will increase our clouds. Showers will develop during the afternoon.

Low pressure will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Saturday morning and intensify as it moves up the Piedmont and off the Maryland coast during the afternoon. Rain is expected. The European and GFS model are robust in the storm’s strength. This would provide enough cold air to mix down and create a rain to wet snow mix scenario North and West, especially over the higher elevations. This is a low potential right now (any accumulation prediction, if any at all would be ridiculous). The NAM model is more offshore in it’s solution resulting in a sharp cutoff between the heavy rain swath at the coast and lighter rain North and West. No matter the strength of the storm most of Saturday will be wet. The storm may pull away far enough to the North and East to allow the rain to taper off during the afternoon.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s. West to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s in urban areas, the 20s and 30s inland. Southwest winds diminishing to 5mph.

Friday:

Increasing clouds. Afternoon showers likely. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Rain likely. Low potential of a some wet snow inland. Rain tapering off during the afternoon. High in the 40s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. High in the lower to mid 40s.

Clouds to Increasing Sunshine. Breezy & Chilly…

Synopsis:

There will be in a nip in the air today as a Northwesterly wind prevails around an area of low pressure in Eastern Canada. Clouds will give way to increasing sunshine today. Readings will be a few degrees below the average high of 49º. The wind will add a bite.

Tonight will be mainly clear and cold with most readings near or below freezing.

Tranquil conditions are expected through late week as high pressure dominates. The sun will dominate Thursday with seasonal readings. On Friday, moisture will begin to build in from the South. This will increase our clouds.

Low pressure will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Saturday morning and intensify as it moves up the Piedmont. Rain is expected. A few of the models have the storm quite strong over the region, while others have a weaker system. No matter the strength, Saturday will be wet. It looks to warm at this time for any snow, although the far Northwestern regions at the higher elevations have a low potential of seeing some of the white stuff.

Sunday will be the better half of the weekend as the sun returns. Readings will be below average both days.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Clouds to sun. Breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds at 15-25mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and cold. Highs in the mid 30s in urban areas, the 20s inland. West winds diminishing to 5mph.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Increasing clouds. Spot shower possible late. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Rain likely. High in the 40s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, breezy and chilly. High in the 40s.

More Clouds Than Sun Today. Spot Shower. Breezy…

Synopsis:

December’s debut will be cooler with any sun giving way to mostly cloudy skies. Spotty showers are possible as a potent upper level low moves through the Northeast. It’ll be breezy with readings still a few degrees above the average high of 49º.

Tonight will be colder than recent nights under partly cloudy skies.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for Friday and Saturday. The forecast is one of low confidence as some of the computer models develop a storm to our South and move it North into our region during Saturday. This will be fine tuned later today. Temperatures will be near seasonal levels for early December.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

More clouds than sun. Spotty showers are possible. Breezy. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West to Southwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 35º in the City, around 30º inland. West to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Spot shower possible late. Highs around 50º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

Tornado Watch Until 7PM for Central & Southern NJ…

Synopsis:

***Tornado Watch until 7PM for Central and Southern NJ (map above)*** Any thunderstorms that develop have the potential to produce an isolated tornado. A “Watch” means we watch the situation. A “Warning” means that radar has indicated rotation in the thunderstorm or spotters have witnessed a funnel. Keep an eye to the sky for threatening weather.

Periods of heavy rain and strong gusts winds can be expected through this aftrernoon. One to two inches of rain is possible and winds have the potential to gust to over 50mph at the coast. Temperatures today will be at least ten to twelve degrees above the average high of 49º. A wild November finale to say the least.

Any leftover showers will end this evening. Skies will clear overnight and the wind will diminish dramatically. It will still be mild.

December’s debut on Tuesday will be cooler with any sun giving way to spotty showers as a potent upper level low moves through the Northeast.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for Friday. Some of the computer models have a weak low developing along the coast. At this time I am keeping it dry.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Rain developing during the morning. A period of heavy rain is likely along with increasing winds through mid-afternoon. Balmy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph inland. Gusts to over 50mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Early evening scattered showers ending, otherwise becoming mostly clear with diminishing winds. Remaining mild. Lows around 50º in the City, the 40s inland. South to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Sun will give way to mainly cloudy skies with spotty showers. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Highs around 50º.

Quick Hitting Storm. Heavy Rain & Gusty Winds. Balmy…

 

Synopsis:

Rain will develop this morning as a storm over the Southern Appalachians moves North. The track will take it to our West which is a balmy, wet scenario for the East coast. The brunt of the storm will be from mid morning through mid-afternoon. Periods of heavy rain and strong gusts winds can be expected. One to two inches of rain is possible and winds have the potential to gust to over 50mph at the coast. Temperatures today will be at least ten to twelve degrees above the average high of 49º. A wild November finale to say the least.

Any leftover showers will end this evening. Skies will clear overnight and the wind will diminish dramatically. It will still be mild.

December’s debut on Tuesday will be cooler with any sun giving way to spotty showers as a potent upper level low moves through the Northeast.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for Friday. Some of the computer models have a weak low developing along the coast. At this time I am keeping it dry.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Rain developing during the morning. A period of heavy rain is likely along with increasing winds through mid-afternoon. Balmy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph inland. Gusts to over 50mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Early evening scattered showers ending, otherwise becoming mostly clear with diminishing winds. Remaining mild. Lows around 50º in the City, the 40s inland. South to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Sun will give way to mainly cloudy skies with spotty showers. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Highs around 50º.

Fine Close to the Holiday Weekend…

 

Synopsis:

It’ll be a fine close the holiday weekend. Abundant sunshine will be the story as high pressure slips off the East coast. Readings will be several degrees above the average high of 49º.

Clouds will increase and thicken tonight ahead of a developing storm over the Southern States.

Rain will develop Monday morning between 6-10am as a storm over the Southern Appalachians moves North. The track will take it to our West which is a balmy, wet scenario for the East coast. The brunt of the storm will be from mid morning through mid-afternoon. Periods of heavy rain and strong gusts winds can be expected. One to two inches of rain is possible and winds have the potential to gust to over 50mph at the coast.

December’s debut on Tuesday will be cooler with any sun giving way to spotty showers.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of high pressure. The sun will dominate.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Increasing and thickening clouds. Lows around 50º in urban areas, the 30s and 40s inland. Winds becoming Southeast at 5mph.

Monday:

Rain developing during the morning. A period of heavy rain is likely along with increasing winds through mid-afternoon. Balmy. Highs around 60º.

Tuesday:

Sun will give way to mainly cloudy skies with spotty showers. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Seasonal sun. Highs in the upper 40s.

Sun & Clouds. Still Mild…

 

Synopsis:

The Holiday weekend will feature sun and clouds and tolerable readings both days as high pressure moves in from the West. Sunday will be the brighter of the two days. Readings will be several degrees above the average high of 49º.

An intense storm will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Monday and move North. The track will take it to our West which is a balmy, wet scenario for the East coast. Rain is expected to develop during the morning and become heavy for a time. Winds will increase from the Southeast and become quite strong by midday into the early afternoon.

December’s debut on Tuesday will be cooler and drier behind the storm.

Tranquil conditions are expected through midweek along with a cool down under the influence of a Northwesterly flow.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Becoming mostly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds at 8-15mph.

Tonight:

Clear and chilly. Lows around 40º in urban areas, the 20s and 30s inland. West to Northwest winds at 5mph.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s.

Monday:

Rain developing during the morning. A period of heavy rain is likely along with increasing winds. Balmy. Highs around 60º.

Tuesday:

Sun and clouds. Spot shower possible. Highs in the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday:

Sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Sun & Clouds. Mild…

 

Synopsis:

The weather will cooperate for Black Friday Shoppers with mild and bright conditions as a drier Northwesterly flow takes over behind a departing area of low pressure in Eastern Canada. Readings will be nearly ten degrees above the average high of 50º.

The Holiday weekend will feature a mix of sun and clouds and tolerable readings both days as high pressure moves in from the West. Sunday will be the brighter of the two days.

An intense storm will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Monday and move North. The track will take it to our West which is a mild, wet scenario for the East coast. Rain will develop by afternoon.

Tuesday will be cooler and drier behind the storm.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s in urban areas, the 30s and 40s inland. West to Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s.

Monday:

Cloudy with afternoon rain likely. Balmy. Highs in the upper 50s to around 60º.

Tuesday:

Sun and clouds. Spot shower possible. Highs in the mid 50s.

Damp, Grey Start to Thanksgiving. Some PM Sun. Mild…

 

Synopsis:

Thanksgiving will be grey with on and off showers through midday as a cool front affects the area and a weak area of low pressure moves East with it. It will be very mild with readings ten to fifteen degrees above the average high of 50º. The forecast is looking more optimistic for this afternoon as drier rapidly moves in behind the front. The sun should make an appearance from West to East during the afternoon. Just in time for Thanksgiving Dinner.

The weather will cooperate for Black Friday Shoppers with mild and bright conditions.

The Holiday weekend will feature plenty of sun and tolerable readings both days as another high pressure system moves in.

An intense storm will develop over the Southern Appalachians on Monday and move North. The track will take it to our West which is a mild, wet scenario for the East coast. Rain will develop by afternoon.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

I would like to thank all of my followers for coming to JMW for the forecast. Wishing you all a Happy Thanksgiving. Lets all take a breath, relax and be thankful for what we have. 

Thanksgiving:

On and off showers. Some afternoon sun. Mild. Highs in the lower to mid 60s. South to West winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and mild with readings around 50º(that’s the actual normal high for the day) in urban areas, the 30s and 40s inland. West to Northwest winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s.

Monday:

Cloudy with afternoon rain likely. Mild. Highs in the upper 50s.