Back to Reality-February’s Chill. Minus the Snow…

 

Synopsis:.

High pressure over the Northern Plains will result in a persistent Northwesterly flow into Saturday. It’ll be much colder than recent days. Temperatures will actually drop below seasonal averages today & Saturday. The average high temperature is 39º.

The high will push off the coast on Sunday.  At the same time a weak storm will move across the US/Canadian border and into Maine. A few flurries or sprinkles are possible later Super Sunday.

A complex storm system will move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday next week. A bit of wintry precipitation is possible Tuesday morning with a change to rain. Rain is likely the first half of Wednesday with mild readings. Not a snow lovers dream.

Today:

Sun and clouds, colder. Highs in the lower to mid 30s. West to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly clear. Cold. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest winds 10-20mph.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Morning sun will give way to clouds. Afternoon flurries or sprinkles are possible. Highs around 40º.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Tuesday:

Morning wet snow, sleet or freezing rain will go over to rain. Highs around 40º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Tranquil February Days. Getting Colder in Steps…

 

Synopsis:.

February has started off tranquil. High pressure over the Northern Plains will result in a persistent Northwesterly flow into Saturday. This will result in a downward trend in temperatures into the weekend.  The map above shows the Arctic air spilling into the Northern Plains.  The air mass will modify some by the time it reaches the East coast.

A few flurries are possible later Super Sunday. The area will be storm-free through at least Monday.

A complex storm system will move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday next week.  A bit of wintry precipitation is possible Tuesday with rain more likely by Wednesday.  Not a snow lovers dream.

Today:

Partly sunny, seasonal. Highs around 40º. West to Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear, colder. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 8-12mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Morning sun will give way to clouds. Afternoon flurries or snow showers are possible. Highs in the mid 30s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Mild February Debut. Clouds Win the Battle…

 

Synopsis:.

As we welcome in February it looks tranquil and mild. There will be more clouds than sun as a weak system moves through. It will turn colder late week as high pressure works in.

The snow potential has gone by the waste side for Sunday. All the models now keep the system weak and progressive. At this time, late day snow showers are possible Superbowl Sunday.  The long range models have been horrible to say the least.  It now looks like a significant warm up is on the way for next week.  A snow lovers nightmare.

Today:

Mostly cloudy, mild. Highs in the mid 40s. West wind at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower in the City, the 20s inland. Northwest winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, seasonal. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Morning sun will give way to clouds. Afternoon flurries or snow showers are possible. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Showers Northern 1/2 of Region Today. Coating to 2″ Northern Areas…

 

Synopsis:.

A weak, fasting moving Alberta Clipper will move though the region today. Snow showers are expected to develop mid to late morning and continue on and off until sunset. A period of light steady snow can’t be ruled out. The Northern 1/2 of the tri-state area has the best chance of seeing the flakes fly. To the South of the City mostly cloudy skies are expected (FutureCast Radar above). A coating of snow is possible in and around the City. Up to two inches is possible North of the City.

As we welcome in February it looks tranquil with a trend to colder but with dry conditions.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 5th-6th time frame. The models are not agreeing with this system later Superbowl Sunday. The potential exists for some snow. Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with periods of light snow or snow showers developing mid to late morning . Little to no snow is expected to the South of the City. A minor accumulation is possible by evening where the snow does fall. Highs in the upper 30s. Southeast to West wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Snow showers ending this evening over Eastern areas, otherwise partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the City, the 20s inland. Winds becoming West late at 10-15mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, mild. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder yet. Highs in the lower 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs around freezing.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

AM Snow Showers South This AM. PM Sun. Light Snow Tuesday…

 

Synopsis:.

The jet stream continues to move rapidly out of the Northwest. Two weak systems will be fly by the region the next 48 hours. The first one will give Southern NJ a brush of light snow this morning. There will be increasing sunshine as the day progresses. Another Round of snow showers is likely Tuesday. This time the immediate NYC area will experience the flakes. A dusting to a coating of snow is possible by tomorrow evening with the second impulse.  It looks tranquil as we head into the first few days of February.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 6th-8th time frame. Don’t hold your breath.

Today:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries or snow showers in the morning. The best chance is South of the City. The sun will shine as the day progresses. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. North to Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy, colder. Lows in the mid to upper 20s in the City, the teens inland. Northwest to Southwest wind at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Cloudy with periods of light snow developing during the morning. A dusting to a coating is possible by evening. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder yet. Highs in the lower 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Showers Early Monday AM South of the City…

 

Synopsis:.

The jet stream is hauling out of the Northwest and there’s really no blocking in Canada to slow the flow down and let any area of low pressure form close enough to our region for a decent snowfall. Southern NJ may get a brief period of light snow for the first half of Monday with a coating of snow possible as a weak system moves quickly offshore (FutureCast Radar above). Another Round of snow showers are possible Tuesday with another impulse moving in. This time the immediate NYC area will experience the flakes. It looks tranquil as we head into the first few days of February.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 6th-8th time frame. Don’t hold your breath.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy early, mostly cloudy late. Snow showers are possible toward dawn, mainly South of the City. Lows around 30º in the City, near 20º well inland. West to North wind at 5mph.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries or snow showers in the morning. The best chance is South of the City. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. North to Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy with a few flurries or snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, colder yet. Highs in the lower 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Winds Ease. Decent Sunday…

 

Synopsis:.

The winds will finally abate today as the pressure gradient over the Northeast relaxes. Temperatures will be near seasonal averages under partly cloudy skies. In fact, there’s no Arctic air in the contiguous US. Currently, January is the 10th warmest January on record for New York City. Not surprising.

The jet stream is hauling out of the Northwest and there’s really no blocking in Canada to slow the flow down and let any weak area of low pressure form close enough to our region. A few flurries are possible Monday and Tuesday with the trough moving through but thats about it. Southern NJ may get a brief period of light snow for the first half of Monday with a coating of snow possible.  It looks tranquil as we head end January and head into the first few days of February.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 6th-8th time frame. Don’t hold your breath.

Today:

Sun and clouds. Highs around 40º. West wind at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows around 30º in the City, near 20º well inland. West to North wind at 5mph.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries or snow showers. The best chance is South of the City. Highs in the mid to upper 30s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy with a few flurries or snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Breezy Saturday. Decent Last Weekend of January…

 

Synopsis:.

The wind will still be gusty through Saturday but not as strong as recent days. The mercury will come down is steps as we head through the weekend with colder air filtering in under partly cloudy skies.  In fact, there’s no Arctic air in sight (map above). Currently, January is the 10th warmest January on record for New York City. Not surprising.

A more Winter-like pattern will be with us next week.  Our chances of any steady snow early this week have diminished (not that it was ever in the forecast). The jet stream is hauling out of the Northwest and there’s really no blocking in Canada to slow the flow down and let any weak area of low pressure form close enough to our region. A few flurries are possible Monday with the trough moving through but thats about it.  It looks tranquil as we head end January and head into the first few days of February.

The next threat and its only that- a threat, is the February 6th-8th time frame. Don’t hold your breath.

Today:

Partly cloudy with still above average temperatures. Breezy. Highs in the lower 40s. The average high for this date is in the upper 30s. West wind at 10-20mph with gusts to 30mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy with diminishing winds. Lows in the lower in the City, the mid 20s inland. West wind at 5-10mph.

Sunday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Gusty Winds. Still Above Average Temps Friday. Cooler Weekend…

 

Synopsis:.

The wind will be busy the next 24 hours as a deep storm over Eastern Canada will supply the gusty conditions. The mercury will come down is steps as we head into the weekend with colder air filtering in under partly cloudy skies.

A more Winter-like pattern will be with us next week.  There will be a few of shots of flurries or snow showers Monday through Wednesday as the trough sharpens over the Northeast. Could we see a steadier light snow out of one of these chances? Yes, if a more organized low forms. That is the question. The jet stream is hauling out of the Northwest and there’s really no blocking in Canada to slow the flow down and let a storm form.  Just be aware that anytime early to midweek next week the flakes could fly.

Today:

Clouds and sun, breezy and cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. West wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the City, the upper 20s inland. West wind at 10-20mph.

Saturday:

Partly cloudy with still above average temperatures. Highs in the mid 40s. The average high for this date is in the upper 30s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, seasonal. Highs in the upper 30s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy, colder. Chance of flurries or snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. Chance of flurries or snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Spring-like Today. Spot AM Shower. Cooling Down into Weekend…

 

Synopsis:.

A cold front will swing through this morning with a few showers. The cold air will be delayed as it is a few hundred miles to the Northwest of the tri-state area. Because of this, another Spring-like day is expected under a mix of clouds and sun. The wind will be busy the next 24 hours. The mercury will come down is steps as we head into the weekend with no storms in sight.

A more Winter-like pattern looks to be in the cards as February nears. Will the storm track be favorable for snow? Right now I’m leaning toward no. Stay tuned.

Today:

Spotty morning showers otherwise, a mix of sun and clouds. Mild. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. Breezy. Southwest to West winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph later this afternoon.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, near 30º inland. West wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph.

Friday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, more seasonal. Highs in the upper 30s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s.

Monday:

Partly sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.