Sizzling Saturday, Then Relief….

 

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure over the Southeast dominate our weather through Saturday. This high will continue to pump up a hot and humid airmass. Many areas will experience a September heat wave with readings at or above 90º on Saturday. Some areas may not have 3 consecutive days of 90º or higher, which constitutes a heat wave, but it will be uncomfortable never the less.  A Heat Advisory has been posted for central and Southern NJ through Saturday for a heat index of 98º-103º.  A cool front will sweep through Saturday night and Sunday morning with limited showers or storms.  It’ll be much more comfortable Sunday afternoon with lower humidity and temperatures.

High pressure will move in for the beginning of the workweek with more seasonal September readings.  A string of beauties are on the way.

Today:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º. A stray storm is possible, most areas will remain storm-free.  Southeast to South wind at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy and muggy with spotty storms. Lows in the mid 70s in the City, around 70º inland. Winds Southwest at 10-15mph.

Sunday:

Spotty morning showers and storms otherwise becoming mostly sunny and less humid by afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s.

Monday:

Sunny and more seasonal with highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Sunny with readings in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Sunny with readings in the lower 80s.

Many areas are in a drought and the forecast doesn’t look good for significant/widespread rain the next several days.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Heat Continues…

 

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure over the Southeast dominate our weather through Saturday. This high will continue to pump up a hot and humid airmass.  The potential of a late Summer September heat wave exists with readings flirting with 90º and high humidity through Saturday (some areas may not have 3 consecutive days of 90º or higher, which constitutes a heat wave, but it will be uncomfortable never the less).  The heat index will be in the 90s.  A cool front will sweep through Saturday night with limited showers or storms and a less humid Sunday.

Today:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs near 90º. Northwest to Southwest wind at 5-10mph. A spotty late afternoon or evening storm is possible.

Tonight:

Spotty early storms, otherwise partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s in the City, around 70º inland. Winds becoming Northeast at 5mph.

Saturday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º. A spotty late afternoon or evening storm is possible.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and less humid with highs in the mid 80s.

Monday:

Sunny and more seasonal with highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Sunny with readings in the lower 80s.

This is the peak of hurricane season-early to mid September.  The good news is, the tropics area quiet right now.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Potential September Heat Wave on the Way…

 

Synopsis:

An area of high pressure will develop over the Southeast through Friday. This high will pump up a hot airmass.  The potential of a late Summer September heat wave exists with readings flirting with 90º and high humidity Thursday through Saturday.  A Heat Advisory is in effect for NYC through Friday for a heat index in the mid 90s.  A cool front will sweep through Saturday night with limited showers or storms and a less humid Sunday.

Today:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs near 90º.  Winds becoming Southwest at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s in the City, around 70º inland. Southwest wind at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Saturday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and less humid with highs in the mid 80s.

Monday:

Sunny and more seasonal with highs around 80º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Hermine Weakens Offshore. Potential September Heat Wave…

 

Synopsis: 

The remnants of Hermine (just like an unwanted houseguest) will meander off the NJ coast for the next 24 hours.  Gusty winds and a few showers are possible along the coast through this morning.  High surf and dangerous rip currents will continue through midweek.

An area of high pressure will develop over the Southeast by late week. This high will pump up a hot airmass.  The potential of a late Summer September heat wave exists with readings flirting with 90º and high humidity Thursday through Saturday.

Today:

Sun & clouds.  A spotty shower is possible along the coast. Warm with highs in the mid 80s. North wind at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s in the City, the mid 60 inland. North wind diminishing to 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs near 90º.

Friday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Saturday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Sunday:

Partly sunny and less humid with highs in the mid 80s.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sun & Clouds For Back to Work/School. Gusty Winds at Coast…

Synopsis: 

Post Tropical Storm Hermine will continue to move toward the West/Northwest today and begin to weaken.  A Tropical Strom Warning remains in effect for Suffolk county and parts of coastal Connecticut for winds that may reach 40+mph in the next 24 hours. Coastal flooding at the time of high tide will occur in those areas prone to flooding.  The water may reach one to two feet above normal.

High surf, dangerous rip currents and beach erosion will be an issue at our local beaches.  

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for back to school and work. A few spotty showers can’t be ruled out at the coast.  It’ll be warm. Hermine will move farther offshore midweek and a weak area of high pressure will develop over the Southeast by late week. This high will pump up late Summer heat.  With readings reaching 90º with higher humidity.

 

Today:

Partly sunny and breezy, a passing shower is possible along the coast.  Windy at the coast.  North wind at 10-20mph with gusts to 35+mph at the coast. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows around 70 in the City, the mid 60 inland. A few passing showers can’t be ruled out over Long Island and at the coast. North wind 10-20mph with gusts to 35+mph at the coast.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs in the upper 80s.

Friday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Saturday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Hermine’s Effects: Gusty Winds at Coast-Pockets of Coastal Flooding…

Synopsis: 

Post Tropical Storm Hermine did it’s own thing.  What was supposed to be a track somewhat closer to the coast turned into a more offshore solution.  This spared the region of major coastal flooding and highs winds.  Yes, the forecast was a bust.  When I bust; I’ll always fess up.

A Tropical Strom Warning remains in effect for Suffolk county and parts of coastal Connecticut for winds that may reach 40+mph in the next 24 hours.

Coastal flooding at the time of high tide will occur in those areas prone to flooding.  The water may reach one to two feet above normal.

High surf, dangerous rip currents and beach erosion will be an issue at our local beaches.  

Expect mainly cloudy skies at the coast with a mix of sun and clouds the farther inland you go for Labor Day.

Hermine will move farther offshore midweek.  It will feel every bit like Summer with highs in the 80s then reaching 90º with higher humidity late week.

Labor Day:

Sun and clouds. Windy.  Highs in the lower to mid 80s. North wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s in the City, the mid 50s inland. Northeast to North wind 10-20mph with gusts to 35mph at the coast.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Friday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Hermine’s Effects: Gusty Winds & Coastal Flooding…

Synopsis: 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the entire coast including New York City and vicinity, Long Island and coastal Connecticut through Labor Day.  Wind gusts of 30-45 mph are possible during this time.  It won’t be windy all the time.  The winds will be much lighter inland.  This storm isn’t a rainmaker but i’ll be keeping my eye on the Western rain bands offshore.  They may make it to parts of the coast for a time Monday. A mix of sun and clouds is the forecast through the holiday. The gusty winds and coastal flooding continues to be the threat with Hermine.

The latest track and most models have the storm slightly farther offshore through Tuesday. The track needs to be monitored as a deviation toward the coast could create a more severe situation. The storm will slow down and possibly stall or do a loop.   We will go through many high tide cycles with the storm effecting the area- not good. Coastal flooding is likely during high tide with levels of 1 to possibly 3 feet above normal.  If you live in an area to that is proned to coastal flooding now is the time to prepare.

High surf, dangerous rip currents and beach erosion will be an issue at our local beaches.  

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s in the City, the mid 50s inland. Northeast to North wind 10-20mph with gusts to 35mph at the coast.

Labor Day:

Sun and clouds. Windy.  Highs in the lower to mid 80s. North wind at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph at the coast.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Friday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Tropical Storm Warnings. Hermine’s Track A Bit Farther Offshore.

Synopsis: 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the entire coast including New York City and vicinity, Long Island and coastal Connecticut for Sunday through at least Labor Day.  Wind gusts of 40-60+mph are possible during this time.  It won’t be windy all the time.  The winds will be much lighter inland.

The latest track and most models have the storm slightly farther offshore through Tuesday.  If this pans out the chance of rain along the coast has diminished, peak winds won’t be quite as strong and the surge won’t be quite as high.  Moderate to major coastal flooding is still expected.  Please DO NOT LET YOUR GUARD DOWN.  Hermine continued on it’s East Northeast track for a longer time, keeping the storm when it does make the turn to the North and Northeast, farther offshore. This is the reasoning of the slightly less severe forecast. The track needs to be monitored as a deviation toward the coast could create a more severe situation. The storm will slow down and possibly stall or do a loop.   We will go through many high tide cycles with the storm effecting the area- not good. Coastal flooding and a surge during high tide of 1 to possibly 4 feet is possible for tonight’s and Monday’s high tide cycle, map above (the surge is not etched in stone at this time).  Now is the time to prepare.

Will the bands of rain make it to the coast and inland.  It’s possible.  The best chance of rain is later Sunday Night through Labor Day, especially at the coast.  There will be times of sun as well.

My main concern with this storm since the beginning was the coastal flooding.  It is a coastal issue and not an inland situation.

High surf and dangerous rip currents will be an issue at our local beaches.  Please swim by guarded areas and heed the life guards warnings.  

Today:

Sun and clouds with a slight chance of showers over South coastal later today, becoming windy. Northeast wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph at the immediate coast. Highs in the 70s.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy.  Showers are possible at the coast. Lows in the mid 60s in the City, the mid 50s inland. Northeast wind 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph at the coast.

Labor Day:

Mostly cloudy with areas of showers possible at the coast. Very windy. Tropical Storm conditions are possible along the coast. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy in the morning with a few showers then becoming partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Tropical Storm Warnings for Coast including NYC & Vicinity…

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Synopsis: 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the entire coast including New York City and vicinity, Long Island and coastal Connecticut for Sunday through at least Labor Day.  Wind gusts of 40-60+mph are possible during this time.  It won’t be windy all the time.  The winds will be much lighter inland.

The latest track and models have the storm slowing down and possibly doing a loop off the Mid-Atlantic coast Sunday into early next week. We will go through many high tide cycles with the storm effecting the area- not good. Coastal flooding and a surge during high tide of 2 to possibly 5 feet is possible for late Sunday and Monday’s high tide cycle, map above (the surge is not etched in stone at this time).  Now is the time to prepare.

Rainfall is the big question.  Will the bands make it to the coast and inland.  It’s possible.  The best chance of rain is later Sunday Night through Labor Day, especially at the coast.  There will be times of sun as well, especially inland.

High surf and dangerous rip currents will be an issue at our local beaches.  Please swim by guarded areas and heed the life guards warnings.  

Tonight:

Clear with times of clouds by the coast.  A few showers are possible over Southern NJ. Lows in the mid 60s in the City, the mid 50s inland. Northeast wind 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph at the coast.

Sunday:

Sun and clouds with a chance of rain over South coastal areas by afternoon, becoming windy. Tropical Storm conditions are possible along the coast. Northeast wind at 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph at the coast. Highs in the mid 70s.

Labor Day:

Mostly cloudy with areas of rain. Very windy. Tropical Storm conditions are possible along the coast. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy in the morning with a few showers then becoming partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid with highs around 90º.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Tropical Storm Watch for New York City & Entire Coast…

 

Synopsis: 

Update Mid-Day Friday:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for New York City and the entire tri-state coastal area for late Saturday through Labor Day.  Winds gusts of 40-60mph are possible during this time.

The latest track and models have the storm slowing down and possibly doing a loop off the Mid-Atlantic coast Sunday into early next week.  We may go through many high tide cycles with the storm effecting the area- not good. As this occurs the storm may regain hurricane strength as it stays offshore. With the storm slowing down or stalling off the coast it will cause coastal flooding and a surge during high tide of 1 to 3 feet (the surge is not etched in stone at this time).  Now is the time to prepare.

Rainfall is the big question.  Will the bands make it to the coast and inland.  It’s possible.  Again the time frame is Saturday Night through Labor day at least.

Please refer to the previous blog for the full forecast.