Light Mix Ends This Evening. Above Freezing Tuesday!

Synopsis:

We’ll finally come out of the deep freeze we’ve been in since Christmas Night. The polar vortex is moving out and will be replaced by a more zonal jet stream, meaning a mild flow. A January thaw is on the way for this week.

A bit of light snow or a mix will end from West to East this evening as a weak front pushed through. This will not add up to much in the way of accumulation but please use caution on untreated surfaces as a light glaze of snow/ice may accumulate. Skies will become partly cloudy overnight.

High pressure will dominate Tuesday and Wednesday with tranquil conditions and readings above freezing. The high will move offshore Thursday. The return flow will allow the mercury to reach highs of ten degrees above average. The average high is 38º.

A significant ridge will develop with the jet stream this will allow a Southerly flow to develop ahead of the front and storm system. Very warm air will work up from the South. Rain is likely Friday and Saturday with the approaching systems. Highs will reach into the 50s!  Snow melt for sure.

If the storm on Saturday forms farther East or if the stationary front slips to our South colder air may work in changing the rain over to snow or sleet or freezing rain for a time later Saturday. This is a long shot but we have may days to look at this possible scenario.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Any mix precipitation will end early this evening from West to East otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Not as cold with steady temperatures along the coast. Lows around 30º in the City, 20s inland.  Southwest to West winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, milder.  Highs in the lower 40s. West to Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Wednesday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds.  Highs in the mid to upper 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Mild.  Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Periods of rain. Balmy. Highs in the 50s.

Saturday:

Periods of rain. The rain could turn to a mix North of the City. Highs in the 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Near Freezing Today! Quick Hitting PM Lt. Snow/Mix…

Synopsis:

We’ll finally come out of the deep freeze we’ve been in since Christmas Night. The polar vortex is moving out and will be replaced by a more zonal jet stream, meaning a mild flow. A January thaw is on the way for this week.

A bit of light snow or a mix will fall this afternoon as a weak system moves in from the West. It will only last a couple of hours. This will not add up to much in the way of accumulation but please use caution on untreated surfaces as a light glaze of snow/ice may accumulate later in the afternoon.

High pressure will dominate Tuesday and Wednesday with tranquil conditions and readings above freezing. The high will move offshore Thursday. The return flow will allow the mercury to reach highs of ten degrees above average. The average high is 38º.

A significant ridge will develop with the jet stream this will allow a Southerly flow to develop ahead of the front and storm system. Very warm air will work up from the South. Rain is likely Friday and Saturday with the approaching systems. Highs will reach into the 50s!  Snow melt for sure.

If the storm on Saturday forms farther East or if the stationary front slips to our South colder air may work in changing the rain over to snow or sleet for a time Saturday Night. This is a long shot but we have may days to look at this possible scenario.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of afternoon light snow or a mix. This will only last a couple of hours. A light coating is possible. Highs in the lower to mid 30s. Southwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Not as cold with steady temperatures along the coast. Lows around 32º in the City, 20s inland.  Southwest to West winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, milder.  Highs in the lower 40s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Clouds and some sun. Mild.  Highs in the upper 40s.

Friday:

Periods of rain. Balmy. Highs in the 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Bitter Sun Sunday. Near Freezing Monday! Quick Hitting PM Lt. Snow/Mix.

Synopsis:

The Arctic high pressure responsible for the coldest night of the season so far will  provide a mostly sunny sky despite the numbing cold  today. Thankfully the winds will be much lighter.

There is light at the end of the tunnel-temperatures will rise above freezing next week. This will be the first time the mercury has been above the freezing mark since Christmas Day.

A bit of light snow or a mix will fall Monday afternoon as a weak system moves in from the West. It will only last a couple of hours. This will not add up to much in the way of accumulation.

A January thaw will be well received as readings go well above average by Thursday and Friday as a deep Southerly flow develops.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the upper teens to lower 20s. Northwest to Southwest 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly cloudy. Not as cold with steady temperatures along the coast. Lows in the lower 20s in the City, the teens and single digits inland.  Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of afternoon light snow or a mix. This will only last a couple of hours  Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Warmer.  Highs in the upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Coldest Night of the Season So Far. Bitter Sun Sunday…

Synopsis:

The coldest air of the season so far will be with us tonight. Arctic air will continue to spill in on Northwest winds between the storm in Eastern Canada and a strong area of high pressure heading in from Central Canada. The winds will diminish tonight but wind chills will be below zero. Please dress in layers, cover any exposed skin and check in on the elderly and keep an eye on your pets.

The High pressure will  provide a mostly sunny sky despite the numbing cold on Sunday.

There is light at the end of the tunnel-temperatures will rise above freezing next week. This will be the first time the mercury has been above the freezing mark since Christmas Day.

A bit of light snow or a mix will fall Monday afternoon as a weak system moves in from the West. This will not add up to much in the way of accumulation.

A January thaw will be well received as readings go well above average by Thursday and Friday.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid. Lows 1º to 7º above along the coast. 1º to -10º inland  Northwest winds at 5-10mph. Wind chills -5º to -20º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the upper teens to lower 20s. Northwest to Southwest 5-10mph.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of afternoon light snow or a mix.  Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. Warmer.  Highs in the upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Coldest Day & Night of the Season So Far. Dangerous Wind Chills…

Synopsis:

The coldest air of the season so far will be with us today and tonight. Arctic air will continue to spill in on strong Northwest winds between the storm in Eastern Canada and a strong area of high pressure heading in from Central Canada. The winds will make it even that more dangerous. Winds will gust up to 30mph. Wind chills will make it feel well below zero at times. Please dress in layers, cover any exposed skin and check in on the elderly and keep an eye on your pets.

The High pressure will  provide a mostly sunny sky despite the numbing cold.

Tranquil, but frigid conditions are expected right through the weekend.

There is light at the end of the tunnel-temperatures will rise above freezing early next week. This will be the first time above the freezing mark since Christmas Day.

A bit of light snow or a mix will fall Monday afternoon as a weak system moves in from the West. This will not add up to much in the way of accumulation.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 15º above. Winds West to Northwest at 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph. Wind chills 5º to -20º.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid. Lows 1º to 7º above along the coast. 1º to -7º inland  Northwest winds at 5-10mph. Wind chills -5º to -20º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the upper teens to lower 20s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of afternoon light snow or a mix.  Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Bitter Cold. Dangerous Wind Chills. Blowing Snow…

Synopsis:

The coldest air of the season so far will be with us through the weekend. Arctic air will continue to spill in on strong Northwest winds between the storm in Eastern Canada and a strong area of high pressure heading in from Central Canada. The winds will make it even that more dangerous. Winds will gust up to 35mph. Wind chills will make it feel well below zero at times. Please dress in layers, cover any exposed skin and check in on the elderly and keep an eye on your pets.

The High pressure will  provide a partly sunny sky despite the numbing cold.

Tranquil, but frigid conditions are expected right through the weekend.

There is light at the end of the tunnel-temperatures will rise above freezing early next week. This will be the first time above the freezing mark since Christmas Day.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 15º above. Winds West to Northwest at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph. Wind chills 5º to -20º.

Tonight:

Clear and frigid. Lows -3º to 4º above.  Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 35mph. Wind chills -5º to -22º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the upper teens.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of late day light snow.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Winds Down This Evening. Blowing Snow. Bitter Winds…

Synopsis:

The storm that bombed off the coast and gave the region a blizzard along the coast and heavy snow just inland will continue to pull away tonight. Any leftover snow will end, but the second story will be the bitter, dangerous cold.

The coldest air of the season so far will usher in behind the storm. Temperatures will drop to the single digits tonight. The winds will make it even that more dangerous. Winds will gust up to 45mph. Wind chills will make it feel well below zero at times. Please dress in layers, cover any exposed skin and check in on the elderly and keep an eye on your pets.

High pressure will move in from the Northwest and provide a partly sunny sky despite the numbing cold.

Tranquil, but frigid conditions are expected right through the weekend.

There is light at the end of the tunnel-temperatures will rise above freezing early next week. This will be the first time above the freezing mark since Christmas Day.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Any snow out East will end otherwise clearing skies and bitterly cold. Lows in the single digits. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph. Wind chills 5º to -20º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 15º above. Wind chills 5º to -20º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the upper teens.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of late day light snow.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny.  Highs in the upper 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Blizzard Warnings for Coastal NJ & Eastern Long Island…

 

Synopsis:

A distributive snowstorm will affect areas today. Blizzard Warnings have been issued for Monmouth, Ocean and Suffolk counties with Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories elsewhere.

A rapidly intensifying storm will continue to go through bombogenesis today. The latest computer models have the storm over or just to the East of a favorable track for significant snow. The storm’s barometric pressure is incredibly low and usually found only in hurricanes. Most of the computer models have a good amount of snow for a majority of the area, while other have “some” to their snow amounts. A shift more toward the West would mean a greater potential for higher amounts for all areas.  A shift to the East, lighter amounts. At this time, I think a Westward shift is/will happen. For this reason, I  going with the consensus in the models. The possible snow amounts are above. The highest snow totals will be at the coast with lighter amounts farther inland.

Blizzard conditions are likely along the coast with near whiteout conditions. Winds will gust between 30-60mph with the higher gusts at the coast.

The snow will become widespread and heavier this  morning. It will be a quick hitter inland with only about 6-7 hours of accumulating snow. The snow will taper off from West to East during the day.

It will be “The Storm of Miles”. The difference of a few miles could mean the difference between a bit of snow and big snow.

The coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º. Not fun times.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Snow. Heavy at times along the coast. Very windy. The snow will taper off during the afternoon from West to East. Highs in the mid 20s. Northwest winds at 20-40mph with gusts to 60mph at the coast.

Tonight:

Any snow out East will end otherwise clearing skies and bitterly cold. Lows in the single digits. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph. Wind chills -5º to -25º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 15º above. Wind chills -5º to -20º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with rain or snow.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Blizzard Warnings for Coastal NJ & Eastern Long Island…

 

Synopsis:

A distributive snowstorm will affect areas closest to the coast on Thursday. Blizzard Warnings have been issued for Monmouth, Ocean and Suffolk counties with Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories elsewhere.

A rapidly intensifying storm will develop off the Southeast coast and move North tonight and Thursday. The latest computer models have the storm over or just to the East of a favorable track for significant snow. The storm’s barometric pressure is incredibly low and usually found only in hurricanes. Some of the computer models have a good amount of snow for a majority of the area, while other have added “some” to their snow amounts. A shift more toward the West would mean a greater potential for higher amounts for all areas.  A shift to the East, lighter amounts. At this time, I think a Westward shift will happen. For this reason, I have upped the possible snow amounts (map above). The highest snow totals will be at the coast with lighter amounts farther inland.

Blizzard conditions are likely along the coast with near whiteout conditions. Winds will gust between 30-60mph with the higher gusts at the coast.

The snow begins tonight and continues Thursday. The snow will taper off from West to East during the day.

It will be “The Storm of Miles”. The difference of a few miles could mean the difference between a bit of snow and big snow.

The coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º. Not fun times.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Increasing and thickening clouds. Light snow developing around Midnight from the coast than farther inland. Lows in the lower 20s in the City, near 5º to 15º inland. Winds becoming North to Northeast and increasing to 15-25mph late.

Thursday:

Snow. Heavy at times along the coast. Very windy. The snow will taper off during the afternoon from West to East. Highs in the mid 20s. Northwest winds at 20-40mph with gusts to 60mph at the coast.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 15º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy with rain or snow.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Snow Potential Thursday. Heaviest East…

 

Synopsis:

The below freezing readings will continue until further notice. The last time the temperature was above freezing was Christmas Day.

Now on to the snow potential. A rapidly intensifying storm will develop off the Florida coast and move North Wednesday night and Thursday. The latest computer models have the storm over or just to the East of a favorable track for significant snow. The storm’s barometric pressure is incredibly low and usually found only in hurricanes. Some of the computer models have a good amount of snow for a majority of the area, while other models just have a glancing blow. A shift more toward the West would mean a greater potential of accumulating snow for all areas.  A shift to the East, little to no snow. I will go in the middle of the road with snow amounts. Above is the  potential snow amounts. The highest snow totals will be at the coast with lighter amounts farther inland. My thoughts about accumulations have not changed since last night. I’ll have an update afternoon Noon today. This will most likely change.

The snow begins tonight and continues Thursday. The snow will taper off from West to East during the day.

It will be “The Storm of Miles”. The difference of a few miles could mean the difference between a bit of snow and big snow.

Whatever the outcome with the ocean storm, the coldest air of the season will usher in Friday. Highs will struggle to get to 10º.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny and cold  Highs in the upper 20s to around 30º. West to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Increasing and thickening clouds. Light snow developing around Midnight from the coast than farther inland. Lows in the lower 20s in the City, near 5º to 15º inland. Northeast to North winds increasing to 10-20mph.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy with snow likely, especially at the coast. Highs in the mid 20s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, windy and bitterly cold.  Highs 8º to 12º above. Wind chills well below zero.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and bitterly cold.  Highs within a few degrees of 10º.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and cold.  Highs in the mid 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.