Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

On and off light snow, sleet and freezing rain will will be with us today. A second weak impulse may enhance precipitation for a time. An additional coating to 2″ is possible in all areas through this evening. Needless to say, untreated walkways and streets will be slick.

The sluggish system will finally move off the coast this evening. Skies will become partly cloudy and readings in all areas will drop below freezing. A refreeze of slush and water is expected.

The weekend looks bright and chilly with high pressure moving in.

A rapidly moving system from the Northwest and possible cyclogenesis off the coast will most likely result in a period of snow or snow mixed with rain on Monday afternoon into the evening. As of this writing it doesn’t look like a big deal.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected Tuesday with readings a few degrees below the average high of 42º.

A factoid for you- As of Friday morning, Central Park snowfall of 24.4″ has made it to the 9th snowiest February on record. Records go back to 1869. Will we make the top 5?

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

On and off light snow or a mix. Highs in the 30º-35º. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s in the urban corridor, the upper teens inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Monday:

Potential of a period snow or snow mixed with rain in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny with near seasonal readings. Highs around 40º.

Synopsis:

A long duration event of snow and sleet will occur in varying intensities through Friday. The event will be split into two main precipitation time frames with two areas of weak low pressure moving along an offshore front. These systems looks to be moderate precipitation producers in and around NYC and to the South and East. A front end thump of accumulating will occur this morning into early afternoon. The snow should start sometime between 6-9am and has the potential to become moderate to heavy for a time from late morning into early afternoon. This band of heavier snow will not reach the Northern areas. A mix to sleet looks to occur during the afternoon from the South the into the NYC vicinity as a warm boundary works in. Much of the accumulating snow and sleet projected will fall in this time frame.

There will be a lull in precipitation later in the day and early night for much of the region. Areas of light snow or a mix can’t be ruled out.

The second weak low will ride along the front late tonight night into Friday afternoon. Occasional light snow or a mix is expected for the first half of the day at least. A light accumulation is possible.

The weekend looks bright and chilly with high pressure moving in.

A rapidly moving system from the Northwest and possibly cyclogenesis off the coast will most likely result in a period of snow or snow mixed with rain on Monday.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Snow. Possibly moderate to heavy at times from late morning through early afternoon in the NYC vicinity and to the South and East. A mix to sleet is likely during the afternoon from the NYC vicinity and to the South. Precipitation will taper off later in the day. Highs in the 20s to around freezing. Northeast winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

On and off light snow or mixed precipitation. Lows in the 20s throughout. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Occasional light snow or a mix. Highs in the mid 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Monday:

Potential of a period snow or snow mixed with rain. Highs in the mid to upper 30s.

Synopsis:

High pressure originating in Canada will influence our today.  Bright, but cold conditions are expected. I don’t think too many will mind the cold, as long as the sun is shining. High clouds will work in later in the day.

Increasing and thickening clouds tonight. All areas will be well below freezing.

The next storm will arrive Thursday and continue into Friday. This system looks to be a significant precipitation producer. A front end thump of accumulating will occur during the day Thursday. The snow should start sometime between 6-9am and has the potential to become moderate to heavy for a time from late morning into the afternoon. The latest computer guidance has the storm a bit farther offshore. While this is a colder solution, the heaviest axis of precipitation would be placed farther South and East. This could result in more snow for Southern regions. I will take a look at the new guidance late this morning and digest the information before adjusting snow amounts (they usually change, as I quite often state. 3rd map above). A mix to sleet and or freezing rain looks to occur later in the day Thursday or Thursday night, especially closer to the coast. But again, with the colder solution it maybe more snow. The precipitation will lighten up later in the afternoon and at night.

The storm will be a slow mover and take its time moving out to sea on Friday. Occasional light snow or a mix is expected into the afternoon.

The weekend looks bright and chilly.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Sun and high clouds. Cold. Highs in the upper 20s to around freezing. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Thickening clouds. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens and lower 20s inland. North winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Snow. Possibly moderate to heavy at times through mid-afternoon. A mix to sleet and freezing rain is likely later in the day and at night, especially South and East. Highs in the 20s to around freezing.

Friday:

Occasional light snow or a mix. Highs in the mid 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Cold. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Synopsis:

High pressure originating in Canada will influence our weather tonight into Wednesday. Temperatures will get well below freezing overnight with a refreeze of slush and water. Skies will be mostly clear.

Bright, but cold conditions are expected Wednesday. I don’t think too many will mind the cold, as long as the sun is shining. High clouds will work in later in the day.

The next storm in this parade will be Thursday into Friday. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer. The potential is there for front end thump of accumulating snow Thursday. The snow should start sometime in the early morning and could quickly become heavy for a time into the afternoon. Once again, the track of the storm will be very close to the region. This should change the snow to sleet and or freezing rain and rain later in the day Thursday or Thursday night, especially closer to the coast.

The storm will be a slow mover and take its time moving out to sea on Friday. Occasional light snow or a mix is expected into the afternoon. Total possible accumulations with the first call map are above. Lighter amounts are expected over Southern NJ with more of a mix in that region. These amounts will change as we get closer to the event. Yep, another potential plowable snow is expected.

The weekend looks bright and chilly.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Clear and much colder. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens and lower 20s inland. West to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Cold. Highs in the upper 20s to around freezing. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Thursday:

Snow. Possibly heavy at times. A mix to sleet and freezing rain is likely later in the day and at night, especially South and East. Highs in the 20s to around freezing.

Friday:

Occasional light snow or a mix. Highs in the mid 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Cold. Highs around freezing.

Sunday:

Sunny. Cold. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the region a quick hitting heavy rain (freezing rain well North and West) will move from just East of NYC to Eastern New England today. The rain will taper off early this morning and skies will break for some sun (it will be so nice to see that great ball of fire in the sky!). Snowmelt will continue as temperatures pop well into the 40s, even some 50º readings to the South and over Long Island.

High pressure originating in Canada will influence our weather tonight into Wednesday. Temperatures will get well below freezing overnight with a refreeze of slush and water. Skies will be mostly clear.

Bright, but cold conditions are expected Wednesday. I don’t think too many will mind the cold as long as the sun is shining.

The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for front end thump of accumulating snow Thursday. A few to several inches of snow is possible. The snow should start sometime in the morning.  Once again, the track of the storm will be very close to the region. This should change the snow to sleet and or freezing rain and rain later in the day Thursday or Thursday night. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer. We’ll fine tune possible amounts and start times later today.

All of this should end as a mix on Friday morning with the some sun returning with readings in the mid 30s.

Saturday looks bright and chilly.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Early morning freezing rain well inland, rain elsewhere ending from West to East from 6-9am. The sun will make an appearance during the day. Mild. Highs will reach well into the 40s, even the 50s to the South and East. Southwest to West 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Clear and much colder. Lows in the mid 20s in the City, the teens and lower 20s inland. West to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Cold. Highs in the upper 20s to around freezing.

Thursday:

Snow. Accumulations are likely. Possibly changing to a mix later in the day, especially South and East. Highs 30º-35º.

Friday:

Morning mix to some afternoon sun. Highs in the mid 30s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Cold. Highs around freezing.

 

Synopsis:

Tonight and Tuesday’s mornings storm will be a quick, but hard hitter. The storm will take a track up the Piedmont to just East of NYC by Tuesday morning. The precipitation will start within a few hours of midnight. The trend of warming this system up continues. This will result in temperatures getting above freezing along the coast and along the I-95 corridor and to the North and West of that interstate. Any freezing rain will go over to plain rain-good news. Over the far inland ‘burbs significant icing is possible with freezing rain. An Ice Storm Warning has been posted for Northwestern NJ and Orange County NY (1st map above). IF the temperature stays below 32º when the heaviest rain moves in overnight tonight, a serious icing situation will occur with possible downed tree limbs and power outages. My thinking continues that the areas most likely to see these conditions are Sussex and Orange counties of NY. Just South of there in the Ice Storm Warning area, hopefully it will change to rain just in time for some ice to just wet surfaces. With limited downed branches and power outages.

Many regions will receive around an inch of rain (2nd map above). With deep snowpack, clogged drains flooding of streets and highways are possible.

The storm will be moving rapidly and should be exiting our region by early morning Tuesday. The sun should return and readings will get into the 40s.

A well deserved brief break will greet us on Wednesday as a high pressure to the North delivers the sun and chill.

The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for a thump of accumulating snow Thursday. A few to several inches of snow is possible. Once again, the track of the storm will be very close to the region. This will should in snow changing to sleet, freezing rain and rain later in the day Thursday and Thursday night. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer. All of this should end as a mix or rain on Friday morning with the sun returning and readings rising into the lower 40s!

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Freezing rain and rain developing (depending on location). Lows around freezing well North and West. The 30s in the NYC vicinity and nearby ‘burbs. Readings will rising to near 50º over Southern NJ and parts of Long Island by sunrise as the track of the inland riding storm brings up warm air from the South. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Early morning freezing rain well inland, rain elsewhere ending by 8am. The sun will make an appearance during the day. Mild. Highs will reach the 40s!

Wednesday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Colder. Highs in the upper 20s to around freezing.

Thursday:

Snow. Potential quick hitting accumulation. Changing to a mix, first at the coast and to the South. Highs 30º-35º.

Friday:

Morning mix/rain to sun. Mild. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the lower 30s.

 

Synopsis:

We’ll continue the grey theme for Presidents’ Day. Spotty freezing drizzle or drizzle will occur this morning as a weak impulse moves offshore. Much of the day should be precipitation free (2nd map above). Highs will be in the mid 30s. The arrival of steadier rain and freezing rain has been delayed by several hours. The precipitation now looks to move in between 9pm and midnight from Southwest to Northeast.

Tonight and Tuesday’s mornings event will be a quick but hard hitter. The storm now looks to take a track up the Piedmont to just East of NYC by Tuesday morning. The trend of warming this system up continues. This will result in temperatures getting above freezing along the coast and along the I-95 corridor and just to the North and West of that interstate. Any sleet or freezing rain will go over to plain rain-good news. The track here is key. Arctic high pressure will be to our North. Over the far inland ‘burbs significant icing is possible with freezing rain. An Ice Storm Warning has been posted for Northwestern NJ and Orange County NY. IF the temperature stays below 32º when the heaviest rain moves in overnight tonight, a serious icing situation will occur with possible downed tree limbs and power outages. My thinking continues that the  areas to see these conditions are Sussex and Orange counties of NY. Just South of there in the Ice Storm Warning area, hopefully it will change to rain just in time for a bit of ice to just wet.

The storm will be moving rapidly and should be exiting our region by mid-Tuesday morning. The sun should quickly return and readings will get to around 40º-a heatwave!

A well deserved brief break will greet us on Wednesday as a high pressure to the North delivers the sun and chill.

The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for a thump of accumulating snow Thursday.  Once again, the track of the storm will be very close to the region. This will result in snow changing to sleet, freezing rain and rain. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer. All of this should end as a mix or rain on Friday morning with the sun returning and readings rising into the lower 40s!

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Monday (Presidents’ Day):

Early morning drizzle or freezing drizzle, otherwise remaining cloudy.  Highs in the mid 30s. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Freezing rain and rain developing (depending on location). Lows around freezing well North and West. The 30s in the NYC vicinity and nearby ‘burbs. Readings will rising to near 50º over Southern NJ and parts of Long Island by sunrise as the track of the inland riding storm brings up warm air from the South. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Morning freezing rain well inland, rain elsewhere. The sun will return by later in the morning through midday. Mild. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.

Wednesday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Colder. Highs in the upper 20s to around freezing.

Thursday:

Snow. Potential quick hitting accumulation. Changing to a mix, first at the coast and to the South. Highs 30º-35º.

Friday:

Morning rain to sun. Mild. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

 

Synopsis:

A weak storm well offshore moving East combined with a vigorous jet stream moving from South to North up the East coast will result in plenty of clouds for Valentine’s Day. It will be dry and get this- temperatures will get above freezing for the first time in what seems like weeks!

Tonight will be cloudy with lows at or below freezing in all areas.

We’ll continue the grey theme for Presidents’ Day. A bit of light snow, freezing rain and sleet is possible later in the day ahead of the next developing storm to our Southwest. This will be a scattered and light event. Highs will be in the mid 30s.

Monday night and Tuesday’s mornings event will be more robust. The storm now looks to take a track very close to our coastline or even on the coast as it heads North from Virginia. This will result in temperatures getting above freezing along the coast and near the I-95 corridor. Any sleet or freezing rain will go over to plain rain. The track here is key. Arctic high pressure will be to our North. North and West of I-95 and into the inland ‘burbs significant icing is possible with freezing rain. This looks to be a quick mover and should be exiting our region during late Tuesday morning. Afternoon sun is likely with readings several degrees above freezing.

A well deserved brief break will greet us on Wednesday as a high pressure to the North delivers the sun and chill.

The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for snow/mix and or rain. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Valentine’s Day:

Cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s. North to Northeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Lows in the 20s to around freezing in the City. North to Northeast winds at 5mph.

Monday (Presidents’ Day):

Cloudy with an on and off light mix possible during the afternoon.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Morning freezing rain inland. Rain along the urban corridor and coast. Some afternoon sun. Highs in the 30s.

Wednesday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Snow, mix, rain potential. Highs in the mid 30s.

 

Synopsis:

A developing coastal low off the Carolinas will move Northeast and throw on and off light snow, sleet and freezing rain our way overnight. There will not be a lot of precipitation, but it doesn’t take much to cause slick conditions. A light accumulation of sleet and glaze is possible. A Winter Weather Advisory has been posted for the NYC vicinity, Long Island and most of NJ (1st map above).

The weak storm will move up and well off the NJ coast by Sunday morning. On and off light sleet, freezing rain and rain will wind down in the early morning. Skies should remain mostly cloudy for Valentine’s Day afternoon and get this- temperatures will get above freezing!

We’ll continue the grey theme for Presidents’ Day. Skies will be cloudy. A bit of light snow, freezing rain and sleet is possible later in the day ahead of the next developing storm to our Southwest. This will be a scattered and light event. Highs will be in the mid 30s.

Monday night and Tuesday storm will be more robust. The storm now looks to take a track very close to our coastline. This will result in temperatures getting just above freezing along the coast and near the I-95 corridor. If this holds true, any sleet or freezing rain will go over to plain rain. The track here is key. Arctic high pressure will be to our North. North and West of I-95 and into the inland ‘burbs significant icing is possible with freezing rain. This looks to be a quick mover and should be exiting our region during the afternoon. Late day sun is possible.

A well deserved brief break will greet us on Wednesday.

The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for snow/mix and or rain. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

On and off light snow, sleet, freezing drizzle. Lows in the 20s throughout. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Sunday (Valentine’s Day):

Light early morning mix, rain depending on location. The precipitation will taper off by mid morning and skies will remain mostly cloudy during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s.

Monday (Presidents’ Day):

Cloudy with an on and off light mix possible during the afternoon.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Sleet, freezing rain and rain depending on location. Highs 28º-35º.

Wednesday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s.

Thursday:

Snow, mix, rain potential. Highs in the mid 30s.

 

Synopsis:

The weekend will be grey. A developing coastal low off the Carolinas will move Northeast and throw some light snow, sleet and freezing rain our way later this afternoon and night. A bit of light snow may fall at the onset Saturday afternoon on the Northern fringe of the advancing precipitation (2nd map above) but the majority of the precipitation will be ice.

The weak storm will move up and well off the NJ coast by Sunday morning. Light sleet freezing rain and rain will wind down on Sunday morning. This low will not be a big precipitation producer. A light accumulation of sleet and glaze is possible. A Winter Weather Advisory has been posted for the NYC vicinity, Long Island and most of NJ (1st map above) for slippery conditions. Skies should remain mostly cloudy for Valentine’s Day afternoon.

Presidents’ Day now looks cloudy. The latest computer guidance keeps enough moisture with an active jet stream moving up the Piedmont to produce an on and off light mix. This will be a scattered  and light event. Highs will be around freezing.

The next system will be more robust and will affect our weather Monday night into Tuesday with the potential of an ice storm. This storm will be a significant precipitation producer. The track here is key. Arctic high pressure will be to our North. How much warm air works in is yet to be determined. The threat is there for some snow (this now looks to occur well to the North), freezing rain and or sleet for much of the area. Rain may fall for a time over Southern sections as well. This looks to be a quick mover and should be exiting our region during the afternoon.

A well deserved brief break will greet us on Wednesday.

The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for snow/mix and or some rain. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer.

Needless to say, we are in a very active pattern.

Stay Tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Cold. Chance of a bit of light snow or a mix during the afternoon and evening. Highs in the upper 20s. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

On and off light sleet and freezing drizzle. Lows in the 20s throughout. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Sunday (Valentine’s Day):

Morning mix, rain depending on location. The precipitation will taper off and skies will remain mostly cloudy during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s.

Monday (Presidents’ Day):

Cloudy with an on and off light mix possible.  Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Sleet, freezing rain and rain depending on location. Highs around freezing.

Wednesday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s.