Synopsis:
The bubble of hot air that gave the region 90º heat the last two days has moved off the coast. This will bring relief from the high temperatures today. It will still be warm and humid. Spotty late day storms are possible.
Tropical Storm Elsa is forecast to move up and just off or along the coast tonight and Friday morning. This is the timeframe when a quick hitting. period of heavy rain is possible. The exact track of Elsa will determine how much rain will fall and where the jackpot zone will be. At this time a general one to four inches of rain is possible. The latest track would put the swath of heaviest rain over the I-95 corridor. A Flash Flood Watch is up for much of the areas for Thursday night and Friday morning.
A period of gusty winds is possible along the immediate coast of NJ and Central and Eastern Long Island (thinking possible gusts 40- 50mph at this time). A Tropical Storm Warning is up for coastal areas. High surf and dangerous rip currents are expected.
The storm will be a quick mover and the rain should end during the morning to midday hours from West to East. The sun will return by late morning to early afternoon depending on location.
The weekend will be a winner as high pressure will build in. This will result in mainly sunny skies and warm temperatures.
Stay tuned.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.
Today:
Warm and humid with scattered afternoon showers and storms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds at 8-12mph.
Tonight:
Spotty evening storms, otherwise steadier and heavier rain developing from South to North late. Lows around 70º in the City, the upper 60s inland. Southwest to East winds at 8-12mph increasing along the coast late with gusts up to 40mph.
Friday:
Morning heavy rain and gusty winds at the coast, otherwise becoming partly sunny. Humid. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.
Saturday:
Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid 80s.
Sunday:
Partly sunny. Warm. Highs in the mid 80s.
Monday:
Partly sunny, warm and humid with spotty afternoon storms. Highs in the mid 80s.