Synopsis:
Grey, damp conditions will continue as a light flow off the ocean and trough of low pressure remains over the area. Scattered showers are possible but much of the time will be dry. Humidity levels will be high.
By Friday high pressure over New England should bring somewhat drier air into our area. A mix of clouds and sun is expected. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm, if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.
The weekend at this time looks decent with seasonal temperatures and a decent amount of sunshine.
There are now 4 storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene and newly formed Subtropical Storm Joyce. Florence obviously is the story (2nd map above).
Hurricane Florence is approaching the North Carolina coast. Florence, as of this writing, is a now a Category 2 status with winds of 110mph. A piece of good news, the hurricane has weakened some. With that said, it still we be a dangerous category storm when it reaches the coast.
The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the North Carolina’s later today into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty (map above). The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a day after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. The models have the hurricane moving in a very unusual direction-to the Southwest Friday into Saturday. This is due to extensive high pressure to the North of the storm pushing it in that direction. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A catastrophic flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.
Stay tuned.
Thursday:
Cloudy. Spotty showers. Humid. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. East to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.
Tonight:
Cloudy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light East to Northeast wind.
Friday:
Clouds, some sun. Highs in the upper 70s.
Saturday:
Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
Sunday:
Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.
Monday:
Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.