Feeling Like Mid-October. Periods of Rain…

 

Synopsis:

It’ll feel more like mid October today as Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada provides a cool flow off the Northern Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep rain in the forecast through Monday. Periods of heavy rain may occur later tonight into a part of Monday. A Flood Watch has been posted for much of NJ into Monday. 1″-3″ of rain could fall. The heaviest rainfall will occur North and West of the City. Minor coastal flooding and rough seas are expected through Monday.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday. Unsettled times to say the least.

Tropical Storm Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. The storm should regain hurricane strength and has a high chance to become a “major” status-Category 3 or higher hurricane by Monday. Many of today’s models have come in close proximity to the SouthEast coast-Thursday into Friday. We’ll continue to track. The Carolina’s, at this time, have the greatest threat of a strike (map above). Please don’t concentrate on the exact line, but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with periods of rain. Fall-like. Highs in the mid 60s. The average high for the date is 78º. Northeast winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Periods of rain. Rain maybe heavy at times inland. Breezy at the coast.  Lows in the upper 50s throughout. Northeast wind at 15-25mph.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Rain maybe heavy early. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.