AM Patchy Fog. Mostly Cloudy. Spot Shower. Humid…

 

 

Synopsis:

Grey, damp  conditions will continue as a light flow off the ocean and trough of low pressure remains over the area. Scattered showers are possible but much of the time will be dry. Humidity levels will be high.

By Friday high pressure over New England should bring somewhat drier air into our area. A mix of clouds and sun is expected. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm, if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.

The weekend at this time looks decent with seasonal temperatures and a decent amount of sunshine.

There are now 4 storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene and newly formed Subtropical Storm Joyce. Florence obviously is the story (2nd map above).

Hurricane Florence is approaching the North Carolina coast. Florence, as of this writing, is a now a Category 2 status with winds of 110mph. A piece of good news, the hurricane has weakened some. With that said, it still we be a dangerous category storm when it reaches the coast.

The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the North Carolina’s later today into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty (map above). The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a day after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. The models have the hurricane moving in a very unusual direction-to the Southwest Friday into Saturday. This is due to extensive high pressure to the North of the storm pushing it in that direction. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A catastrophic flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Thursday:

Cloudy. Spotty showers. Humid. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. East to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light East to Northeast wind.

Friday:

Clouds, some sun. Highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs around 80º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Warmer, More Humid. Sct’d Showers/Storms Today…

 

 

Synopsis:

Grey, damp  conditions will continue through today as a  light flow off the ocean and trough of low pressure remains over the area. Scattered showers and storms are possible just about anytime. There will be areas of drizzle and fog through the morning hours. Humidity levels will be high.

For Thursday into Friday high pressure over New England should bring somewhat drier air into our area. A mix of sun and clouds is expected. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm, if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.

There are currently three storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene (2nd map above).

Hurricane Florence is in the Atlantic between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Florence as of this writing is a Category 4 hurricane with winds of over 130mph. The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the Carolina’s later Thursday into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty (map above). The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A major flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Areas of morning fog and drizzle, otherwise mainly cloudy, warm and humid. Spotty showers and storms are possible during the afternoon. Highs in the 70s to around 80º. Northeast wind at 5mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Scattered showers or storms in the evening. Areas of drizzle and fog. Muggy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light East to Northeast wind.

Thursday:

Morning fog. More clouds than sun. Warm and humid. Highs around 80º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Sunday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Unsettled Into Midweek. Warmer and More Humid…

 

 

Synopsis:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms are possible Today and Wednesday as a light southeast flow and trough of low pressure remains over the area. There will be dry times.

For Thursday into Friday our area should have a mix of sun and clouds. Will some moisture in the form of scattered showers working in off the ocean from Florence’s circulation occur? It’s a possibility. That will most likely be the only affect from the storm if it occurs. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will definitely be an issue.

There are currently three storms in the Atlantic. Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Issac and Hurricane Helene.

Hurricane Florence is in the Atlantic well South of Bermuda. Florence as of this writing is a Category 4 hurricane with winds of over 140mph. The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the Carolina’s later Thursday into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A major flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Areas of morning fog. Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Areas of morning drizzle and fog. Scattered showers and storms are possible this afternoon. Highs near 80º. Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Scattered showers. Muggy. Lows in the 60s to near 70º in the City. Light Southeast wind.

Wednesday:

Areas of morning fog. Mostly cloudy, warm and humid. Spotty showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Thursday:

More clouds than sun. Chance of showers and storms. Warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Wet, Cool Start to the Workweek…

 

 

Synopsis:

Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada will continue to provide a cool flow off the Northern Atlantic. A complex low pressure system will move into and through the region today. This combination will keep on and off rain in the forecast through today. There will be dry times. The rain could come down heavy at times, especially North and West of the City. A Flood Watch remains in effect through today for much of NJ. Total rainfall will range from 1″-3″. The highest totals will be over Northwestern NJ. It’ll be windy at the coast with gusts up to 40mph. The winds will abate later this afternoon. Minor coastal flooding and rough seas are expected through tonight.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday as moist flow and weakness remains over the area.

Hurricane Florence continues to rapidly strengthen in the Atlantic well South of Bermuda. Florence will once again become a major hurricane today and Category 4 status or higher is imminent (Winds above 131mph). The models are in very good agreement that the hurricane will move close to the Carolina’s later Thursday into Friday morning. Pinpoint location of possible landfall is a huge question that will need some time to answer.. We’ll continue to track. While we track, please don’t concentrate on the exact line (map above), but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. A major flooding event is possible. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Periods of rain. There will be dry times. Cool. Windy at the coast. Highs in the upper 60s. East to Northeast winds at 15-25mph with gust  to 40mph at the coast. Winds will abate during the afternoon.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Scattered showers. Becoming humid.  Lows in the 60s throughout. East wind at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Spotty storms. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Friday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Feeling Like Mid-October. Periods of Rain…

 

Synopsis:

It’ll feel more like mid October today as Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada provides a cool flow off the Northern Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep rain in the forecast through Monday. Periods of heavy rain may occur later tonight into a part of Monday. A Flood Watch has been posted for much of NJ into Monday. 1″-3″ of rain could fall. The heaviest rainfall will occur North and West of the City. Minor coastal flooding and rough seas are expected through Monday.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday. Unsettled times to say the least.

Tropical Storm Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. The storm should regain hurricane strength and has a high chance to become a “major” status-Category 3 or higher hurricane by Monday. Many of today’s models have come in close proximity to the SouthEast coast-Thursday into Friday. We’ll continue to track. The Carolina’s, at this time, have the greatest threat of a strike (map above). Please don’t concentrate on the exact line, but rather the yellow cone of uncertainty. The storm looks to stall and spin for possibly a couple of days after this time frame as steering currents in the upper atmosphere are weak to none. Will it be inland or just off the coast? Where this happens is still a important question that needs to be answered. Extreme rainfall amounts are possible where Florence possibly stalls. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with periods of rain. Fall-like. Highs in the mid 60s. The average high for the date is 78º. Northeast winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Periods of rain. Rain maybe heavy at times inland. Breezy at the coast.  Lows in the upper 50s throughout. Northeast wind at 15-25mph.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Rain maybe heavy early. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Fall-like Weekend. Spotty Showers Today. Steadier Rain Sunday…

 

Synopsis:

The weekend right now looks much cooler-it’ll be a Fall preview for sure. Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada will provide a cool flow off the Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep skies more grey than bright. There’s a chance of spotty showers this morning. Much of the afternoon should be dry for maybe the exception of Southern NJ.  A swath of moisture will move into the region on Sunday. Intermittent rain in the morning will turn to a steadier rain by afternoon.  Periods of heavy rain may occur later Sunday into a part of Monday. A Flood Watch has been posted for much of NJ into Monday. 1″-3″ of rain could fall.

Scattered showers and storms are possible on Tuesday. Unsettled times to say the least.

Tropical Storm Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. The storm should regain hurricane strength and has a decent chance to become a “major” status-Category 3 or higher hurricane. Many of today’s models have come in close proximity to the SouthEast coast- 6 days from now. It is way too early for any prognostication on the specific track. Focusing on one model run/track is scientifically indefensible. We’ll continue to track. Confidence has grown that the storm will not turn out to sea between Bermuda and the US mainland. The Carolina’s, at this time, have the greatest threat of a strike (map above). You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in spots this morning. A few peeks of sun are possible this afternoon. Showers may continue over parts of Ocean county throughout the day. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 70s. North to Northeast winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Lows in the upper 50s in the City. The mid 50s inland. Northeast wind at 10-15mph.

Sunday:

Cloudy with intermittent rain becoming steadier during the afternoon. Fall-like. Highs in the mid 60s. The average high for the date is 79º.

Monday:

Periods of rain. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Relief Has Arrived. Mainly Cloudy. Spot Shower…

 

Synopsis:

Relief has arrived. Mostly cloudy skies are expected today. Scattered showers are possible as the front moves to our South and slows. Readings will only be in the upper 70s (It was in the 90s yesterday). The average high for this date is 79º.

The weekend right now looks much cooler-it’ll be a Fall preview for sure. Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada will provide a cool flow off the Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep skies more grey than bright. There’s a chance of showers Saturday morning, and then again Sunday afternoon-meaning there will be dry times and a bit of sun from time to time. Temperatures will be well below average and could remain in the 60s for highs on Sunday. A far cry from the heat index of 102º today!

The workweek will start off with the threat of rain on Monday as front moves in.

Tropical Storm Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. Many of today’s models have come in proximity to the East coast- 6/7 days from now. It is way too early for any prognostication on the track. Focusing on one model run or any track is scientifically indefensible. We’ll continue to track. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy with spotty showers. Much cooler. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Lows in the lower to mid 60s throughout. Northeast wind at 5mph.

Saturday:

More clouds than sun. Scattered morning showers are possible. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Sunday:

Mainly cloudy. Scattered afternoon showers are possible. Fall-like. Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Scattered Showers/Storms into Tonight. Relief Arrives on Friday…

 

Synopsis:

The bubble of heat that has plagued the area for days will finally depart as a significant cool front works in later this evening and tonight.  Scattered showers and storms are possible into early tonight as the front works toward the region.

Relief will arrive on Friday. Mostly cloudy skies are expected and scattered showers are possible as the front moves to our South and slows. Readings will only be in the upper 70s (It was in the 90s today). The average high for this date is 79º.

The weekend right now looks much cooler-it’ll be a Fall preview for sure. Strong high pressure over Southeastern Canada will provide a cool flow off the Atlantic. Plenty of moisture will be to our South with a stationary front. This combination will keep skies more grey than bright. There’s a chance of showers Saturday morning, and then again Sunday afternoon-meaning there will be dry times and a bit of sun from time to time. Temperatures will be well below average and could remain in the 60s for highs on Sunday. A far cry from the heat index of 102º today!

It’ll be unsettled as we head into next week.

Hurricane Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. Many of today’s models have come in proximity to the East coast- 7 days from now. It is way too early for any prognostication on the track and for those saying a hit is likely somewhere along the coast, at this time, is simply a discredit to the public. Focusing on one model run or any track is scientifically indefensible. We’ll continue to track. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Chance of early storms then a chance of scattered showers. Muggy. Lows in the lower to mid 70s in the City, the upper 60s inland. Winds becoming North at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

More clouds than sun. Scattered morning showers are possible. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Sunday:

Mainly cloudy. Scattered afternoon showers are possible. Very Cool. Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy, warmer and more humid. Scattered showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

One More Hot Day Thursday. Then Relief…

 

Synopsis:

One more hot and humid day will be with today. A Heat Advisory has been posted for a heat index of 96º-103º. The bubble of heat that has plagued the area for days will finally depart as a significant cool front works in later this afternoon and evening.  Scattered showers and storms are possible later in the afternoon and evening as the front works toward the region.

Relief will arrive on Friday. Scattered showers are possible as the front moves to our South and slows.

The weekend right now looks much cooler with a mix of clouds and sun. There is a slight chance of showers Saturday morning, but the majority of the weekend should be dry. Temperatures will be several degrees below the average high of 80º. A Fall preview for sure.

Hurricane Florence is churning in the far Atlantic. There has been a lot of chatter of the storm coming close to the Eastern Seaboard. It is way too early for any prognostication on the track and for those saying a hit is likely somewhere along the coast, at this time, is simply a discredit to the public. We’ll continue to track. You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Hazy, hot and humid. Chance of an afternoon storm. Highs around 90º. Southwest 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Chance of early storms then a chance of scattered showers. Muggy. Lows in the mid 70s in the City, the 60s inland. Winds becoming Northeast at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered morning showers are possible. Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Cool. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Sun to clouds. Scattered afternoon showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

Still Uncomfortable Today, but Not as Harsh…

 

Synopsis:

High pressure both at the surface and aloft will continue to influence our weather through Thursday. A September heatwave could very well be on the way if three consecutive days of 90º or higher occur. This might fall short as winds will be off the cooler ocean today. Many areas will remain below 90º. It won’t be as harsh but the humidity will remain high.

Scattered showers and storms are possible Thursday afternoon and evening as a cool front works toward the region.

Relief will arrive on Friday. Scattered showers are possible as the front moves to our South and slows.

The weekend right now looks much cooler with a mix of clouds and sun. There is a slight chance of showers. Temperatures will be several degrees below the average high of 80º. A Fall preview.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Hazy, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s closer to the coast, near 90º inland. Southeast wind at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy, warm and muggy. Lows in the mid 70s in the City, near 70º inland. Light Southwest wind.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Chance of an afternoon storm. Highs around 90º.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Much cooler. Highs around 80º.

Saturday:

Clouds and sun. Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Cool. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.