One…Two Punch on the Way…Snow/Mix/Rain Tonight Into Sat. AM…

 

Synopsis:

March is coming in like a lion. A one…two punch is on the way, the first will be tonight into Saturday, and the 2nd punch will be Sunday night and Monday morning. The potential snow amounts will increase with each system.

System #1 will affect the area tonight and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. The latest computer models have this system more robust. Snow/mix or rain will develop this evening. South of the City it looks like more of a mix or rain. In the NYC vicinity-a couple inches may fall by morning. Just inland and to the North and East will be the jackpot zone with 3″ to isolated 5″ amounts.  The low will pull away during the morning and the steady precipitation will end. Scattered light rain or snow showers are possible during the day under mostly cloudy skies.

Sunday may start off with a glimpse of sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 2). Light rain will develop during the afternoon along the coast. North and West it’ll be snow or a mix. Most of the latest computer guidance has the storm track farther to the South and more robust- a slightly colder solution. The European warmed ever so slightly with the latest run. The track of the storm looks to run now from Richmond VA to just East of Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow (6 or more inches). Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either with possible accumulations. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

It’ll be quite cold for the beginning of the workweek under a mix of sun and clouds.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Snow, mix, rain developing this evening. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph, increasing to 10-20mph late by the coast.

Saturday:

Early morning snow, mix or rain. Remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Partial early morning sunshine, otherwise thickening clouds with light rain, mix or snow developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. Snow, mix is possible inland. Significant accumulations are possible where the precipitation stays mostly snow (think inland).

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, very cold. Highs in the mid to upper 20s.

Light Snow Tapers Off This Morning. Remaining Cloudy…

 

Synopsis:

March is coming in like a lion. Three systems will have affected the area by Monday with snow threats. The first is this morning, the second will be tonight into Saturday, and the last punch will be Sunday night and Monday morning. The potential snow amounts will increase with each system.

Weak disturbance (system #1) will skirt the area from the South this morning. Light snow will taper off from West to East this morning. A coating to an inch is possible. Up to two inches of snow may accumulate over Ocean county. Skies will remain mostly cloudy for the first day of March.

System #2 will affect the area tonight and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. The latest computer models have this system more robust. Snow/mix or rain will develop this evening. South of the City it looks like more of a mix or rain. In the NYC vicinity-a few inches may fall by morning. Inland areas and to the North and East several inches of snow may accumulate. I will get a potential snowfall map out this afternoon. Please be aware that many will have difficult traveling Saturday. The low will pull away and leave the area with scattered light precipitation during the afternoon as skies remain mostly cloudy.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 3). Light rain will develop during the afternoon along the coast. North and West it’ll be snow or a mix. The latest computer guidance has the storm track farther to the South- a slightly colder solution. The track of the storm looks to run now from Richmond VA to just East of Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow. Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Early morning light snow, otherwise remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º. Northeast to East winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Snow, mix, rain developing. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph, increasing to 10-20mph late by the coast.

Saturday:

Morning snow or a mix. Remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with light rain, mix or snow developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. Snow, mix is possible inland. Significant accumulations are possible where the precipitation stays mostly snow (think inland).

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

Light Snow Developing After Midnight…

 

Synopsis:

Three systems will affect the region the next four days. Two will be minor, the last could be more significant.

Tonight and early Friday morning, another weak disturbance (system #1) will skirt the area from the South. A period of light snow or snow showers is expected-FutureCast radar above. A coating to an inch is possible. Up to two inches of snow may accumulate over Ocean county. The light snow will end during the morning hours. Skies will remain mostly cloudy for the first day of March.

System #2 will affect the area Friday Night and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. Another coating is possible, but areas to the North and East of NYC may receive 1″-4″. The jackpot zone looks to be Eastern Connecticut.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 3). Showers are likely to develop during the afternoon. The track of the storm looks to run from just South of Washington, DC to Southern NJ to Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow. Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either.  The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Light snow will develop after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, the teens inland. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Early morning light snow, otherwise remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º. Northeast to East winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Morning light snow or a mix. Heavier snow/mix possible for a time North and East of NYC. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with showers developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. A mix to snow is possible inland.

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

Becoming Mostly Sunny. Quick Hit of Light Snow Late Tonight…

 

Synopsis:

Three systems will affect the region the next four days. Two will be minor, the last could be more significant.

Skies will become mainly sunny today as high pressure works in. Readings will be just below the average high of 44º.

Tonight and early Friday morning, another weak disturbance (system #1) will skirt the area from the South. A period of light snow or snow showers is expected-FutureCast radar above. A coating to an inch is possible. The light snow will end during the early morning hours. A mix of sun and clouds is expected for the first day of March.

System #2 will affect the area Saturday as a low develops off the coast. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with showers of rain or snow at times, again not a big deal.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 3). Showers are likely to develop during the afternoon. The track of the system is uncertain Sunday night. The GFS has a colder snowier solution with its latest run-an offshore solution. The European model takes the storm over the area. Taken verbatim this model would give the majority of the region rain with a mix inland. At this time, the potential for an accumulation of snow is greatest inland. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs around 40º. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Light snow will develop after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, the teens inland. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Early morning light snow, otherwise a mix of clouds and sun is expected. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and or flurries are possible. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with showers developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast.  A mix to snow is possible inland.

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Scattered Areas of Light Snow Showers/Light Mix Tonight…

 

Synopsis:

A weak disturbance moving through tonight will spark off areas of light snow showers or a light mix. The best chance of any precipitation will be from NYC to the North. Again, this will not be a big deal. A coating is possible North.

Thursday will be mainly sunny and chilly as high pressure works in.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark a few snow flurries, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds is expected.

Saturday’s low now looks very insignificant. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with showers of rain or snow at times, again not a big deal.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South. Showers are likely to develop during the afternoon. The track of the system is uncertain Sunday night. The GFS has a colder snowier solution with its latest run-an offshore solution. The European model takes the storm over the area. Taken verbatim this model would give the majority of the region rain with a mix inland. The models have been horrible this Winter. Who knows, with the next run the storm may not even be there! Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered areas of snow showers or a mix. Some areas will be precipitation free. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, around 20º inland. Southeast to North winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs around 40º. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Friday:

A mix of clouds and sun, flurries are possible in the morning. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and or flurries are possible. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with shower developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain is likely for a majority of the area at Sunday night-a mix well inland.

Monday:

Party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Snow Showers NYC Vicinity & North Today & Tonight…

 

Synopsis:

Today will be cloudy. A weak low will move out of the Great Lakes into New England. There is the potential of a bit of light snow or snow showers (on & off) during the morning and afternoon, especially from the NYC vicinity and to the North. A coating or so of snow may accumulate North of NYC by late tonight.

Thursday will be mainly sunny and chilly as high pressure works in.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark a few snow flurries, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds is expected.

Another low will develop over the East coast on Saturday. The models are all over the place with location and strength with this system. At this time, the call is in the middle with the potential of some rain or wet snow. This shouldn’t be a big deal.

Sunday looks tranquil but another system may affect the area at night. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Cloudy. A bit of light snow will fall, especially from the NYC vicinity and to the North during the afternoon. Highs around 30º. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Scattered areas of snow showers or a mix, otherwise it’ll be cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, around 20º inland. Southeast to North winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

A mix of clouds and sun, flurries are possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. The potential exists for some rain and or wet snow. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

Winds Slowly Diminish Today. Cold Sunshine…

 

Synopsis:

The wicked winds of the last 24 hours will slowly diminish today. Strong low pressure in Eastern Canada will continue move farther away. This will cause the pressure gradient between that system and strong high pressure to the West to weaken resulting in slowly abating winds.

High pressure will move toward the East coast. Today will feature mainly sunny skies with readings just above freezing.

Late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night a weak low will move out of the Great Lakes into New England. There is the potential of a bit of light snow. The greatest chance will be North of the City. This is where a coating or so of snow may accumulate.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark off a few snow showers or period of light snow. Again, not a big accumulation maker-another coating or so of snow in spots.

Another low will develop over the East coast on Saturday. It is model mayhem with this system. The GFS the track just to our West, the European has a the system off the coast and a colder solution. At this time, the call is in the middle with the potential of some rain or wet snow. Confidence in Saturday’s forecast is low at this time. Please check back to JMW for further updates.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly cloudy.. Lows in the lower 20s in the city, the teens inland. West to Northwest winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Cloudy. The chance of a bit of light snow, especially North. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Clouds to sun. Chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers or a period of light snow is possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. The potential exists for some rain and or wet snow. Highs around 40º.

Dangerous Winds. Potential Gusts to 60mph…

 

Synopsis:

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire tri-state area through today. Wind gusts from the West have the potential to reach up to 60mph. Weak rooted trees may come down and power outages are possible. Peak wind gusts will occur this morning through midday. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with a few flurries possible this morning.

Why will it be so windy? Strong low pressure will be in Eastern Canada at the same time strong high pressure will be over the Northern Plains. The difference in pressure (the pressure gradient) will cause strong West winds that will possibly cause damage at peak intensity. Please secure any loose objects outdoors; you may never find them again.

Clear, not quite as windy but still brisk tonight. Lows will be well below freezing.

The winds will relax Tuesday as high pressure moves in. Temperatures will be below average as the high remains to the North.

Late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night a weak low will move out of the Great Lakes into New England. There is the potential of a bit of snow. The greatest chance will be North of the City.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark off a few snow showers.

Another rain event looks to be on the way for Saturday as the pattern, like all Winter long, does not support a snowstorm. The storm track is to our West. A storm track just offshore is needed for a snow event.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Partly Sunny and windy. A few flurries are possible this morning. Winds gusts to 60mph are possible. Highs around 40º.

Tonight:

Clear. windy and much colder. Lows in the lower 20s in the city, the upper teens inland. West to Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph. The wind gusts diminish after midnight.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Wednesday:

Sun to clouds. The chance of a bit of snow in the afternoon. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Clouds to sun. Chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers are possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

2 Surges of High Winds. This Evening & Monday AM. Potential Gusts to 60mph…

 

Synopsis:

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire tri-state area through Monday. Wind gusts from the West have the potential to reach up to 60mph. There will be two peak times to the high winds. The first peak will occur between 9pm & Midnight behind the passage of a very strong cold front. The winds won’t be quite as strong during the wee hours of the morning. The second peak will be Monday Morning after sunrise through midday(map above). Weak rooted trees may come down and power outages are possible.

Highs winds will continue into the afternoon and slowly abate later in the day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected.

Why will it be so windy? Strong low pressure will be in Eastern Canada at the same time strong high pressure will be over the Northern Plains. The difference in pressure (the pressure gradient) will cause strong West winds that will possibly cause damage at peak intensity. Please secure any loose objects outdoors; you may never find them again.

The winds will relax Tuesday. It’ll be tranquil and chilly through midweek. In fact, it looks quiet through Thursday as high pressure influences our weather. Temperatures will be below average as the high remains to the North.

By Friday, a weak disturbance moving through may spark off a few snow showers. This doesn’t look to be a big deal.

Another rain event looks to be on the way for Saturday as the pattern, like all Winter long, does not support a snowstorm. The storm track is to our West. A storm track just offshore is needed for a snow event.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy, windy and much colder. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the city, the upper 20s inland. West winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 50-60mph until midnight. The wind gusts will gust up to 45mph through the night.

Monday:

Partly Sunny and windy. Winds gusts to 60mph are possible, especially in the morning. Highs around 40º.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Cold. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny. Chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers are possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

Rain Tapers Off Midday. Peek of Late Day Sun. High Winds by Sunset…

 

Synopsis:

Low pressure developing over the area today will result in on and off which maybe moderate to heavy at times early on. The heaviest rain looks to fall along the coast where up to an inch or so may fall. The rain will taper off midday and the sun should make an appearance during the late afternoon. It’ll be mild by days end with highs reaching the 40s inland and the lower 50s at the coast.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire tri-state area for late this afternoon through Monday. Wind gusts from the West have the potential to gust to 60mph. . There will be two peak times to the high winds around sunset tonight with the passage of a very strong cold front (2nd map above shows winds gusting to 50mph+).  The won’t be quite as strong overnight. The second peak will be of long duration-all day Monday.

Why will it be so windy? Strong low pressure will be in Eastern Canada at the same time strong high pressure will be over the Northern Plains. The difference in pressure (the pressure gradient) will cause strong West winds that will possibly cause damage at peak intensity. Please secure any loose objects outdoors. They may not be there by tonight.

The winds will abate Tuesday. It’ll be tranquil and chilly through midweek. In fact, it looks quiet through Friday as high pressure influences our weather. Temperatures will be below average as the high remains to the North.

Another rain event looks to be on the way for Saturday as the pattern, like all Winter long, does not support a snowstorm.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Rain likely through midday. Becoming partly sunny later in the day. Mild. Winds will increase dramatically toward sunset. Highs in the lower 50s. East to Southwest winds at 5-10mph. Increasing to West at 20-40mph with gusts to 60mph around sunset.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy, windy and much colder. Lows in the lower to mid 30s in the city, the upper 20s inland. West winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph. Winds will gust up to 50mph late tonight.

Monday:

Partly Sunny and windy. Winds gusts to 60mph are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny. Chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Cold. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Sunny. Chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.