Sun is Back. Category 5 Hurricane Irma Analysis…

 

Synopsis:

The sun will return today as drier air works in behind a front on a Northwesterly flow. Temperatures will be several degrees below average.

Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 180mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm will move North of the Dominican Republic and Haiti today and will near the Turks and Caicos this evening as the next landfall. Irma caused catastrophic devastation over parts of the Northern Leeward islands.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. The hurricane will continue to move West Northwest and ride just offshore the North coast of Cuba Friday. The storm should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Many of the computer models than take Irma into the Carolinas Monday Night. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point its a very low chance, but we’ll have to monitor the track in the next several days.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cool. Lows around 60º in the City the upper 40s and 50s inland. West winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Sun to afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

On & Off Showers Tonight. Category 5 Hurricane Irma Analysis…

 

Synopsis:

A slow moving front will move slowly through the area tonight with on and off showers. Any showers Thursday morning will give way to mostly sunny skies. It’ll be cool with readings several degrees below average.

Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 185mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm will move North of Puerto Rico overnight. Irma caused catastrophic devastation over parts of the Northern Leeward islands.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. This will cause Irma to track on the Northern shore or just off the coast of the Dominica Republic, Haiti and Cuba Thursday through Saturday. The hurricane should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.  The Southern Bahamas will likely be the next land area to experience a landfall from Irma late Thursday night or Friday morning.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days.

Will our area feel any affects from Irma?  At this point its a very low chance, but we’ll have to monitor the track in the next several days.

Stay Tuned.

Tonight:

On and off showers. Lows around 60º in the City the 50s inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Morning showers will give way to mostly sunny skies later in the morning and afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Sun to afternoon clouds. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

On & Off Showers Through Today. Category 5 Hurricane Irma Analysis…

 

Synopsis:

A slow moving front will basically stall for a time along the East coast causing on and off showers through Thursday morning. It’ll be significantly cooler.

The front will push offshore later Thursday with the sun returning by afternoon. Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend as strong high pressure moves into the Northeast.

Hurricane Irma is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 185mph as of this writing. Irma is now tied as the second strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The storm is moving over the Northern Leeward Islands. Whether Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands get a direct hit is yet to be seen but the hurricane will be perilously close, so at a minimum some affects will be felt.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. This will cause Irma to track on the Northern shore or just off the coast of the Dominica Republic, Haiti and Cuba Thursday through Saturday. The hurricane should maintain at least a category 4 or 5 status during this time frame with winds of 145mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The map below is the National Hurricane Center track. Irma is still 3 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Forecasting track errors can be quite large between 3-5 days.

Stay Tuned.

 

Today:

Cloudy with on and off showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Winds becoming Northeast at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Scattered showers. Lows around 60º in the City the 50s inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Last Warm Day for Some Time. Hurricane Irma now a Category 5…

 

Synopsis:

As we head back to work on today it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s with higher humidity. High pressure off the Southeast coast will pump up the warm airmass under hazy skies. A slow moving front will basically stall for a time along the East coast causing on and off showers and possible storms tonight, Wednesday and into Thursday morning. It’ll be significantly cooler.

The front will push offshore later Thursday with the sun returning by afternoon. Cool sunny days are expected for the close of the workweek into the weekend.

Hurricane Irma is now a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Winds are sustained at 180mph as of this writing. Irma is now the strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin recorded in National Hurricane Center history outside the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. The storm looks to track over the Northeastern Leeward islands tonight and be near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tomorrow. Whether these islands get a direct hit is yet to be seen but the hurricane will be perilously close, so at a minimum some affects will be felt.

The storm will continue to move along the Southern edge of a high pressure system in the Atlantic. This will cause Irma to track on the Northern shore or just off the coast of the Dominica Republic, Haiti and Cuba Thursday through Saturday. The hurricane should maintain at least a category 4 status during this time frame with winds of 140mph+.

Now to Florida. Most of the computer models put the Irma as a dangerous cat 4 near the Southern tip of Florida by Saturday Night. The high gives way and loosens it grip on the storm. This allows the storm to take a dramatic Northerly turn. Where that turn specifically occurs is still up in the air. Will it be heading North just to the East of Fl, directly up the peninsula inland, or off the West coast of Florida? Questions that still need to be answered. The time is now to be prepared for a POSSIBLE landfalling dangerous hurricane in Florida. The first map below is the National Hurricane Center track. The second map is the Euro Ensembles (51 tracks, essentially the spaghetti plot for the European model from the overnight run). The North turn will happen, now we have to continue to ingest the data to specifically find and when and where. Irma is still 4 days away from making the North turn. Much can happen to the anticipated track between now and then. Forecasting track errors can be quite large for 4-5 days away.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Hazy, warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds at 10-20mph with higher gusts.

Tonight:

Scattered showers and isolated storms. Lows around 70º in the City, the 60s inland. Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

 

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the lower 70s.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Saturday:

Sunny. Highs around 70º

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

The Best for Last. Labor Day Winner…

 

Synopsis:

Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected as high pressure ridges into the area from the Southeast. It’ll be a great beach day for the unofficial end of Summer.

As we head back to work on Tuesday it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s with higher humidity.

A slow moving front will basically stall for a time along the East coast causing on and off showers Tuesday night, Wednesday and into Thursday morning.

Hurricane Irma is a strengthening  hurricane in the Atlantic about 550 miles East of the Leeward Islands. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected by late next weekend 9/9-9/12. Yes, many of the models bring the storm at or near the East coast during that time frame but it would be a discredit to show the tracks because it’s a week out and the track continues to change from computer run to computer run. If anyone is giving out a landfall prediction it’s simply unreliable.  It is a good time for those in hurricane prone areas to be prepared.

Stay Tuned.

Labor Day:

Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and warm. Lows around 70º in the City, the 60s inland. Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Warm. Slight chance of a spotty late day storm or evening storm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Showers to Some Sunday PM Sun. Best Saved for Labor Day…

 

Synopsis:

The remnants of Harvey will move through the area for the first part of today with scattered showers. Conditions should dry out during the afternoon and most areas will get to see at least some sun. Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected as high pressure ridges into the area from the Southeast. At least we’ll have 1 out of 3 days!

As we head back to work on Tuesday it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s and higher humidity.

A slow moving front will cause on and off showers later Tuesday evening, Wednesday and into Thursday morning.

Hurricane Irma is a category 3 hurricane in the Atlantic. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected by late next weekend 9/9-9/12. Yes, many of the models bring the storm at or near the East coast during that time frame but it would be a discredit to show the tracks because it’s a week out and the track will change many times. If anyone is giving out a landfall prediction it’s simply unreliable.  It is a good time for those in hurricane prone areas to be prepared.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Scattered showers through mid-day, otherwise the sun should make an appearance in most areas through the afternoon. Unseasonably cool with highs only around 70º. Northeast to West winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s in the City, the 50s inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Labor Day:

Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Warm. Slight chance of a spotty late day storm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

Thursday:

Morning showers, some afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Labor Day Weekend: At Least We’ll Have 1 out of 3…

 

Synopsis:

The Labor Day Weekend will be bookend with weather that will cooperate. Today will start off dry but showers from the remnants of Harvey looked to move in later in the day scattered in nature and mainly to the South of the City. A period of steadier rain is likely tonight with scattered showers through at least the first half of Sunday. Conditions should dry out later Sunday afternoon. Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected. At least we’ll have 1 out of 3 days!

As we head back to work on Monday it’ll feel  more like August with readings well into the 80s.

The next chance of showers will be Wednesday.

Hurricane Irma is a category 3 hurricane in the far Eastern Atlantic. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected by late next weekend 9/9-9/11. If anyone is giving out a landfall prediction it’s simply unreliable. It is a good time for those in hurricane prone areas to be prepared.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Beaconing mainly cloudy. Spotty showers later today mainly South of NYC. Unseasonably cool with highs in the 60s to around 70º. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Showers will most likely become a steadier rain. Lows in the lower 60s in the City, the upper 50s inland. East winds at 8-12mph.

Sunday:

Scattered showers into early afternoon. Drier late day with some sun possible.  Highs in the lower 70s.

Labor Day:

Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny. Warm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with showers. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

September’s Debut: Mostly Sunny but Cool…

 

Synopsis:

September’s debut will feature mainly sunny skies as high pressure moves in from the Northwest. It’ll be unseasonably cool with temperatures nearly ten degrees below average. The average high is around 80º.

The Labor Day Weekend will be bookend with weather that will cooperate. Saturday will start off dry but showers from the remnants of Harvey looked to move in later in the day and continue on and off into Sunday morning. Conditions should dry out Sunday afternoon. Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected.

Hurricane Irma is a category 3 hurricane in the far Eastern Atlantic. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected later next week. If anyone is giving out a landfall prediction it’s simply unreliable.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny (high clouds may filter the sun at times) and much cooler. Highs around 70º. Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Cool. Lows in the mid 50s’s in the City, the 40s inland. Northwest to Northeast winds at 5mph.

Saturday:

Any morning sun will give way to clouds. Showers are likely later in the day.  Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Scattered showers through mid-day, otherwise more clouds than sun during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s.

Labor Day:

Sunny and warm. Highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny and warm. Highs in the lower 80s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Warm August Finale. Spot PM Storm…

 

Synopsis:

August’s finale will be warm with plenty of sunshine. A cold front will approach the region later today sparking spotty storms. Not all areas will get wet. Once the front passes it will set the stage for a cool but bright September debut tomorrow.

The Labor Day Weekend will be bookend with weather that will cooperate. Saturday will start off dry but showers from the remnants of Harvey looked to move in later in the day and continue on and off into Sunday morning. Conditions should dry out Sunday afternoon. Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected.

Tropical Storm Irma has formed in the far Atlantic. Irma will become a hurricane today. This system will trek across the Atlantic for days. There will be plenty of time to watch it. It’s anybody’s guess on what land areas if any will be affected later next week.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny and warm. Spotty PM Storm is possible. Highs in the lower 80s. West to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Clear and much cooler. Lows in the mid 50s’s in the City, the 40s inland. Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and much cooler. Highs around 70º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered afternoon showers. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Morning showers, otherwise more clouds than sun. Highs in the mid 70s.

Labor Day:

Sunny and warm. Highs around 80º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sun Returns. Seasonal Temps. Harvey Over Louisiana. Flooding Continues…

 

Synopsis:

The low pressure system that gave the region rain and unseasonably cool temperatures has moved well East into the Atlantic. In it’s wake, a drier Northwest flow will result in abundant sunshine today and more seasonal readings. The average high is around 80º.

August’s finale on Thursday will be warm with plenty of sunshine. A cold front will move into the region at night and set the stage for a cool but bright September debut on Friday.

The Labor Day Weekend will be bookend with weather that will cooperate. Saturday will start off dry but showers from the remnants of Harvey looked to move in later in the day and continue on and off into Sunday morning. Conditions should dry out Sunday afternoon. Labor Day is the pick day of the three for the holiday weekend. Sunny and warm conditions are expected.

Tropical Storm Harvey has moved inland over Louisiana.  Historic flooding is and will continue to occur for areas Texas and Louisiana. The storm will become a depression in the next 24 hours but the threat of heavy rain around its center will remain.

Stay Tuned.

Today:

Becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds will become West late at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Lows in the mid 60’s in the City, the 50’s inland. West winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the lower 80s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and much cooler. Highs around 70º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy with scattered afternoon showers. Highs in the lower 70s.

Sunday:

Morning showers otherwise becoming partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.