Synopsis:
High pressure will continue to nose in from central Canada today. This will result in mainly sunny skies and below average temperatures. The average high for NYC is 51º.
The latest computer guidance has at least come so some sort of consensus for the first area of low pressure to affect parts of the area on Tuesday. A developing storm will move out of the Tennessee Valley on Monday and move off the Virginia coast and to the East Northeast and out to sea. There remains a threat of a bit of snow or rain mainly to the South of the City on Tuesday. There will be a sharp cutoff to the precipitation on the Northern edge. Where this cutoff sets up is still in question. Will it clip the City and vicinity or will it remain South? An accumulating snow is possible if the heavier rates of snow occur, but it looks like this will be a minor event as the heaviest precipitation stays well South. Also, the sun angle will play into the equation of how much snow will stick during the daylight hours (it has to snow at a very good rate for snow to accumulate during the day). The possible amounts are above by Tuesday night. This is for storm #1 and think the lower end of the those numbers.
A second storm now looks to develop with additional energy in the jet stream diving South into the Carolina’s. The storm will form East of the Outer Banks on Wednesday. Will the upper level winds sharpen up enough to have this storm affect the area. The possibility has increased some. There is the potential for a period of wet snow and or rain with gusty winds and coastal flooding if this storm comes close enough on Wednesday and Wednesday night.
In summary, there will be two separate storms. One that may clip parts of the area (mainly South) on Tuesday the other that will have to be monitored closely for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Please check in frequently to this site. A shift to the West and a potential high impact event would occur. Please keep it here for a no hype, no nonsense forecast.
Stay tuned.
Today:
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.
Tonight:
Clear. Breezy. Lows near 30º in the City, the teens & 20s inland. Northeast wind 5-10mph.
Tuesday:
Chance of rain, wet snow & sleet South of the City. Highs in the upper 30s to around 40º. Breezy.
Wednesday:
A potential of some snow or a mix and windy conditions. Highs in the mid 30s.
Thursday:
Partly sunny and Windy. Highs in the lower 40s.
Friday:
Partly sunny, Breezy. Highs in the mid 40s.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.