Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

A storm will track up from the South tonight. Light snow and or rain will develop by late afternoon depending on your temperature. All of the latest computer guidance is agreeing on a track for significant wet snow for most of the area, the exception is parts of Southern NJ. The track of the storm looks to run now from Norfolk VA to just Southeast of Cape Cod. The speed for the storm will keep this from being a crippling snowstorm. It’ll be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly.  The storm track has nudge to the Northwest with the latest computer guidance. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? Due to the new development of the track, the rain/snow/mix  line will be slightly farther to the North and there will be slightly higher snow amounts. A mix with the snow will occur over parts of central NJ and possibly parts of the Southern boroughs of the City and the South shore of Long Island. Mainly snow is expected from the I-95 corridor and to the North and West. Most areas including the City have the potential for 4″-8″ of snow. There will be a 4-6 hour window where heavy snow is anticipated to fall at the rate of almost 1″/hr later this evening to just after midnight. Well North precipitation will be lighter, resulting in a lighter snowfall. To the South mixing will occur keeping amounts there lower as well.

The snow will have ended before sunrise Monday and the sun will return. Readings will be near 40º as the “dig out” takes place. It would be wise to have all snow removal done by tomorrow afternoon as very cold air will work in Tuesday through Thursday. Temperatures will be below freezing the entire time, at least the sun will shine.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Light snow, mix or rain becoming heavy snow in and around the NYC vicinity through 3am. Lighter snow will fall well inland. A mix and or rain is expected well to the South. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. Southeast to North winds increasing to 10-20mph late.

Monday:

Early morning light snow mainly East otherwise, party sunny, wind and cold. Highs around 40º. Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around freezing.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, very cold. Highs in the mid 20s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny, cold. Highs around 30º.

Friday:

Partly sunny, not as cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

 

Synopsis:

March will continue to roar. The system that gave parts of the area an accumulating snow early this morning will move off the coast. A dusting to almost 5″ of snow fell in spots while to the South of NYC and along the South shore of Long Island mainly rain fell. The rest of the day will feature mainly cloudy skies.

A ridge of high pressure will nose in from the Great Lakes. Skies may become partly cloudy tonight.

Sunday may start off with a glimpse of sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 2). Light rain will develop during the afternoon along the coast. North and West it’ll be snow or a mix. All of the latest computer guidance has the storm track farther to the South and slightly weaker. This is a colder solution. Even the European caved to the other models with an offshore track. The track of the storm looks to run now from Norfolk VA to just Southeast of Cape Cod. This is a classic track for heavy snow for the area. Two elements that will most likely not result in a significant snow for the entire area are: Arctic high pressure is not present to the North (resulting in mixing at the coast for a time) and two-the speed of the storm. It’ll be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? Due to the new development of the track, the rain snow line will be farther to the South and East. Mainly snow is expected from the I-95 corridor and to the North and West with a mix to the Southeast of there. The storm will move be out of here by sunrise Monday. Winter Storm Watches are up for all areas just North and West of the City for the potential of significant snow. The City and coast will have an accumulating snow but amounts will be lower. This is not etched in stone and please continue to check back to JMW for the latest updates.

It’ll be quite cold for the beginning of the workweek under a mix of sun and clouds.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Early morning snow, mix or rain. Remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º. North to West winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. West to Northwest winds at 5mph.

Sunday:

Partial early morning sunshine, otherwise thickening clouds with light rain, mix or snow developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, a mix to snow is likely at the coast at night. Mainly snow is expected just inland. Significant accumulations are possible where the precipitation stays mostly snow.

Monday:

Party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, very cold. Highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

Synopsis:

March is coming in like a lion. A one…two punch is on the way, the first will be tonight into Saturday, and the 2nd punch will be Sunday night and Monday morning. The potential snow amounts will increase with each system.

System #1 will affect the area tonight and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. The latest computer models have this system more robust. Snow/mix or rain will develop this evening. South of the City it looks like more of a mix or rain. In the NYC vicinity-a couple inches may fall by morning. Just inland and to the North and East will be the jackpot zone with 3″ to isolated 5″ amounts.  The low will pull away during the morning and the steady precipitation will end. Scattered light rain or snow showers are possible during the day under mostly cloudy skies.

Sunday may start off with a glimpse of sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 2). Light rain will develop during the afternoon along the coast. North and West it’ll be snow or a mix. Most of the latest computer guidance has the storm track farther to the South and more robust- a slightly colder solution. The European warmed ever so slightly with the latest run. The track of the storm looks to run now from Richmond VA to just East of Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow (6 or more inches). Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either with possible accumulations. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

It’ll be quite cold for the beginning of the workweek under a mix of sun and clouds.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Snow, mix, rain developing this evening. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph, increasing to 10-20mph late by the coast.

Saturday:

Early morning snow, mix or rain. Remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Partial early morning sunshine, otherwise thickening clouds with light rain, mix or snow developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. Snow, mix is possible inland. Significant accumulations are possible where the precipitation stays mostly snow (think inland).

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny, very cold. Highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

Synopsis:

March is coming in like a lion. Three systems will have affected the area by Monday with snow threats. The first is this morning, the second will be tonight into Saturday, and the last punch will be Sunday night and Monday morning. The potential snow amounts will increase with each system.

Weak disturbance (system #1) will skirt the area from the South this morning. Light snow will taper off from West to East this morning. A coating to an inch is possible. Up to two inches of snow may accumulate over Ocean county. Skies will remain mostly cloudy for the first day of March.

System #2 will affect the area tonight and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. The latest computer models have this system more robust. Snow/mix or rain will develop this evening. South of the City it looks like more of a mix or rain. In the NYC vicinity-a few inches may fall by morning. Inland areas and to the North and East several inches of snow may accumulate. I will get a potential snowfall map out this afternoon. Please be aware that many will have difficult traveling Saturday. The low will pull away and leave the area with scattered light precipitation during the afternoon as skies remain mostly cloudy.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 3). Light rain will develop during the afternoon along the coast. North and West it’ll be snow or a mix. The latest computer guidance has the storm track farther to the South- a slightly colder solution. The track of the storm looks to run now from Richmond VA to just East of Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow. Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Early morning light snow, otherwise remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º. Northeast to East winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Snow, mix, rain developing. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph, increasing to 10-20mph late by the coast.

Saturday:

Morning snow or a mix. Remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with light rain, mix or snow developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. Snow, mix is possible inland. Significant accumulations are possible where the precipitation stays mostly snow (think inland).

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

 

Synopsis:

Three systems will affect the region the next four days. Two will be minor, the last could be more significant.

Tonight and early Friday morning, another weak disturbance (system #1) will skirt the area from the South. A period of light snow or snow showers is expected-FutureCast radar above. A coating to an inch is possible. Up to two inches of snow may accumulate over Ocean county. The light snow will end during the morning hours. Skies will remain mostly cloudy for the first day of March.

System #2 will affect the area Friday Night and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. Another coating is possible, but areas to the North and East of NYC may receive 1″-4″. The jackpot zone looks to be Eastern Connecticut.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 3). Showers are likely to develop during the afternoon. The track of the storm looks to run from just South of Washington, DC to Southern NJ to Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow. Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either.  The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Light snow will develop after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, the teens inland. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Early morning light snow, otherwise remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º. Northeast to East winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Morning light snow or a mix. Heavier snow/mix possible for a time North and East of NYC. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with showers developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. A mix to snow is possible inland.

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.

 

Synopsis:

Three systems will affect the region the next four days. Two will be minor, the last could be more significant.

Skies will become mainly sunny today as high pressure works in. Readings will be just below the average high of 44º.

Tonight and early Friday morning, another weak disturbance (system #1) will skirt the area from the South. A period of light snow or snow showers is expected-FutureCast radar above. A coating to an inch is possible. The light snow will end during the early morning hours. A mix of sun and clouds is expected for the first day of March.

System #2 will affect the area Saturday as a low develops off the coast. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with showers of rain or snow at times, again not a big deal.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 3). Showers are likely to develop during the afternoon. The track of the system is uncertain Sunday night. The GFS has a colder snowier solution with its latest run-an offshore solution. The European model takes the storm over the area. Taken verbatim this model would give the majority of the region rain with a mix inland. At this time, the potential for an accumulation of snow is greatest inland. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs around 40º. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy. Light snow will develop after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, the teens inland. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Early morning light snow, otherwise a mix of clouds and sun is expected. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and or flurries are possible. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with showers developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast.  A mix to snow is possible inland.

Monday:

Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

 

Synopsis:

A weak disturbance moving through tonight will spark off areas of light snow showers or a light mix. The best chance of any precipitation will be from NYC to the North. Again, this will not be a big deal. A coating is possible North.

Thursday will be mainly sunny and chilly as high pressure works in.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark a few snow flurries, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds is expected.

Saturday’s low now looks very insignificant. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with showers of rain or snow at times, again not a big deal.

Sunday will start off with sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South. Showers are likely to develop during the afternoon. The track of the system is uncertain Sunday night. The GFS has a colder snowier solution with its latest run-an offshore solution. The European model takes the storm over the area. Taken verbatim this model would give the majority of the region rain with a mix inland. The models have been horrible this Winter. Who knows, with the next run the storm may not even be there! Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered areas of snow showers or a mix. Some areas will be precipitation free. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, around 20º inland. Southeast to North winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs around 40º. Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Friday:

A mix of clouds and sun, flurries are possible in the morning. Highs around 40º.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and or flurries are possible. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Morning sun, otherwise thickening clouds with shower developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain is likely for a majority of the area at Sunday night-a mix well inland.

Monday:

Party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.

 

Synopsis:

Today will be cloudy. A weak low will move out of the Great Lakes into New England. There is the potential of a bit of light snow or snow showers (on & off) during the morning and afternoon, especially from the NYC vicinity and to the North. A coating or so of snow may accumulate North of NYC by late tonight.

Thursday will be mainly sunny and chilly as high pressure works in.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark a few snow flurries, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds is expected.

Another low will develop over the East coast on Saturday. The models are all over the place with location and strength with this system. At this time, the call is in the middle with the potential of some rain or wet snow. This shouldn’t be a big deal.

Sunday looks tranquil but another system may affect the area at night. Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Cloudy. A bit of light snow will fall, especially from the NYC vicinity and to the North during the afternoon. Highs around 30º. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Scattered areas of snow showers or a mix, otherwise it’ll be cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s in the city, around 20º inland. Southeast to North winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

A mix of clouds and sun, flurries are possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. The potential exists for some rain and or wet snow. Highs around 40º.

Sunday:

Partly sunny. Highs around 40º.

 

Synopsis:

The wicked winds of the last 24 hours will slowly diminish today. Strong low pressure in Eastern Canada will continue move farther away. This will cause the pressure gradient between that system and strong high pressure to the West to weaken resulting in slowly abating winds.

High pressure will move toward the East coast. Today will feature mainly sunny skies with readings just above freezing.

Late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night a weak low will move out of the Great Lakes into New England. There is the potential of a bit of light snow. The greatest chance will be North of the City. This is where a coating or so of snow may accumulate.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark off a few snow showers or period of light snow. Again, not a big accumulation maker-another coating or so of snow in spots.

Another low will develop over the East coast on Saturday. It is model mayhem with this system. The GFS the track just to our West, the European has a the system off the coast and a colder solution. At this time, the call is in the middle with the potential of some rain or wet snow. Confidence in Saturday’s forecast is low at this time. Please check back to JMW for further updates.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly cloudy.. Lows in the lower 20s in the city, the teens inland. West to Northwest winds diminishing to 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Cloudy. The chance of a bit of light snow, especially North. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Clouds to sun. Chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers or a period of light snow is possible. Highs in the upper 30s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. The potential exists for some rain and or wet snow. Highs around 40º.

 

Synopsis:

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire tri-state area through today. Wind gusts from the West have the potential to reach up to 60mph. Weak rooted trees may come down and power outages are possible. Peak wind gusts will occur this morning through midday. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with a few flurries possible this morning.

Why will it be so windy? Strong low pressure will be in Eastern Canada at the same time strong high pressure will be over the Northern Plains. The difference in pressure (the pressure gradient) will cause strong West winds that will possibly cause damage at peak intensity. Please secure any loose objects outdoors; you may never find them again.

Clear, not quite as windy but still brisk tonight. Lows will be well below freezing.

The winds will relax Tuesday as high pressure moves in. Temperatures will be below average as the high remains to the North.

Late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night a weak low will move out of the Great Lakes into New England. There is the potential of a bit of snow. The greatest chance will be North of the City.

On Friday, another weak disturbance moving through may spark off a few snow showers.

Another rain event looks to be on the way for Saturday as the pattern, like all Winter long, does not support a snowstorm. The storm track is to our West. A storm track just offshore is needed for a snow event.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Today:

Partly Sunny and windy. A few flurries are possible this morning. Winds gusts to 60mph are possible. Highs around 40º.

Tonight:

Clear. windy and much colder. Lows in the lower 20s in the city, the upper teens inland. West to Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph. The wind gusts diminish after midnight.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and chilly. Highs in the mid 30s.

Wednesday:

Sun to clouds. The chance of a bit of snow in the afternoon. Highs around freezing.

Thursday:

Clouds to sun. Chilly. Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday:

Mostly cloudy. Snow showers are possible. Highs in the upper 30s.