Synopsis:
An Arctic blast will continue grip the area through Sunday as Canadian high pressure influences the region.
Tonight will be frigid, especially inland. At least the winds will be near calm.
By Sunday, all eyes will turn to a developing system to our South. Early morning sun will give way to increasing and thickening clouds. Light snow may develop toward dark over Central and Southern NJ. Snow should overspread most of the region Sunday night. The exception maybe the Northern counties.
Confidence continues to increase that a snowstorm will affect much of the region Monday and early Tuesday. The computer models continue agreement that a storm will form off the Mid-Atlantic coast on Monday and only slowly drift up and off our coastline through Tuesday. This is a classic track for a snowstorm in the metropolitan area. The sharp cutoff of the accumulating snow continues to be over Eastern Long Island and coastal NJ. A mix may occur here, even plain rain for a time over Southern NJ. Elsewhere heavy snow is expected.
Winter Storm Warnings and Watches are up now for the entire tri-state area (first map above). The “2nd Call” possible snow amounts have been posted above. A foot of snow and then some is likely for a majority of the region. These amounts will be fine tuned again Sunday.
The storm will likely be of long duration (over 36 hours) and contain high winds. Winds could gusts over 50mph at the coast. I will not use the “B” word-yet. Coastal flooding is also possible.
Again, this is for Sunday night through Tuesday Morning.
Stay Tuned.
Tonight:
Clear. Frigid. Lows around 20º in the City, the single digits and teens inland. North winds at 5mph.
Sunday:
Thickening clouds. Light snow possible toward dark South of the City. Highs around 30º. Northeast 5-10mph.
Monday:
Heavy Snow likely. Mix South changing back to snow later in the day. Windy. Highs within a few degrees of freezing.
Tuesday:
Occasional snow all areas. Windy. Highs around 30º.
Wednesday:
Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 30s.
Thursday:
Partly sunny. Seasonal . Highs in the upper 30s.