Synopsis:
March is coming in like a lion. A one…two punch is on the way, the first will be tonight into Saturday, and the 2nd punch will be Sunday night and Monday morning. The potential snow amounts will increase with each system.
System #1 will affect the area tonight and Saturday morning as a low develops off the coast. The latest computer models have this system more robust. Snow/mix or rain will develop this evening. South of the City it looks like more of a mix or rain. In the NYC vicinity-a couple inches may fall by morning. Just inland and to the North and East will be the jackpot zone with 3″ to isolated 5″ amounts. The low will pull away during the morning and the steady precipitation will end. Scattered light rain or snow showers are possible during the day under mostly cloudy skies.
Sunday may start off with a glimpse of sun, but clouds will increase and thicken during the day. A storm will track up from the South (system 2). Light rain will develop during the afternoon along the coast. North and West it’ll be snow or a mix. Most of the latest computer guidance has the storm track farther to the South and more robust- a slightly colder solution. The European warmed ever so slightly with the latest run. The track of the storm looks to run now from Richmond VA to just East of Eastern Long Island. The storm will be progressive, meaning it’ll move quickly. The storm is also loaded with moisture. A shot of moderate to heavy precipitation is expected for 6 hours Sunday night. The million dollar question is where will the rain, snow line setup? At this point in time areas North and West of NYC have the best chance of seeing significant snow (6 or more inches). Closer to the coast it’ll be just warm enough for a mix, but I can’t rule out a changeover to snow here either with possible accumulations. The storm will move away early Monday with any snow or mix ending during the early morning. Stay tuned.
It’ll be quite cold for the beginning of the workweek under a mix of sun and clouds.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.
Tonight:
Snow, mix, rain developing this evening. Lows around freezing in the city, the upper 20s inland. Northeast winds at 5-10mph, increasing to 10-20mph late by the coast.
Saturday:
Early morning snow, mix or rain. Remaining cloudy. Highs around 40º.
Sunday:
Partial early morning sunshine, otherwise thickening clouds with light rain, mix or snow developing during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. At this time, rain or a mix is possible at the coast at night. Snow, mix is possible inland. Significant accumulations are possible where the precipitation stays mostly snow (think inland).
Monday:
Early morning snow/mix, otherwise party sunny, wind and cold. Highs in the mid 30s.
Tuesday:
Partly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs around 30º.
Wednesday:
Partly sunny, very cold. Highs in the mid to upper 20s.