Synopsis:
High pressure will dominate our weather through today with mainly sunny skies and slightly above average temperatures.
A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain Sunday. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. 1″-3″ of rain is possible with locally up to 5″+ by late Sunday night. At this time the thinking is the heaviest rainfall may occur along and just east of the storm center. The exact track of the storm is in disagreement between the Euro and the GFS/NAM model (by only 50 miles or so). The top rainfall map is the European model. The Euro tracks the storm from Cape May into the Poconos, hence the heaviest rain falls over Western areas. The bottom map is the NAM model. This model along with the GFS depicts the storm tracking along the immediate NJ coast into NYC. High rainfall totals occur along this corridor. Whatever the exact track significant rainfall is likely and a Flash Flood Watch has been posted Northern NJ, NYC, Long Island and areas to the North.
With the storm intensifying so rapidly strong Southeast to South winds will occur along the coast and especially over Long Island and coastal Connecticut late day Sunday and into the Night. Gusts could reach 60mph. Behind the storm strong Northwest winds are likely Monday. Coastal flooding may be an issue as well.
The storm will wind down very early Monday morning.
Stay tuned.
Today:
Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. South to Southeast winds at 8-12mph.
Tonight:
Thickening clouds. Scattered showers late. Lows around 60º in the City, the 50s inland. Southeast winds 5-10mph
Sunday:
Periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. Becoming windy at the coast during the afternoon. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Monday:
Becoming partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.
Halloween:
Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.
Wednesday:
Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Highs in the upper 50s.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.