Spring Gem on Tuesday…

Synopsis:

Spring has sprung! The Vernal Equinox occurred yesterday at 5:24pm EDT. This was the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays were over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

Much of this upcoming week will make most smile as high pressure begins to modify. Strong March sun and lack of cold air in the East will attribute to our nice Spring start. A warm front will approach from the South on Thursday with more clouds and just the chance of a few showers-it’ll be unseasonably warm.

The threat of showers is in the forecast for Friday as cool front may get hung up over the region. Friday’s forecast could turn out for the better.

On Saturday Low pressure will develop over the Ohio Valley with a secondary low most likely develop near our region. Showers are likely with readings below the average high of 51º.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs upper 50s to lower 60s. Readings will be cooler over Long Island. West to Southwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Lows in the mid 40s along the urban corridor, the upper 20s and 30s  inland. Southwest winds less than 5mph.

Wednesday:

Sun to late clouds. Mild.  Highs in the lower 60s.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Warm. Spotty showers possible. Highs in the mid 60s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun.Spotty showers possible. Highs in the mid 50s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s.

Spring Arrives Today. Bright & Seasonable…

Synopsis:

The beginning and mid portion of the upcoming week will make most smile. Near seasonable readings are anticipated for today as high pressure begins to modify. Today is the beginning of Spring! The Vernal Equinox occurs at 5:24pm EDT. This is the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays are over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

The rest of the week will feature readings well above the average high of around 50º.  Strong March sun and lack of cold air in the East will attribute to our nice Spring start. A weakening front will approach from the West on Thursday with more clouds and just the chance of a few showers. The threat of showers will continue Friday as the front get hung up. Friday’s forecast could turn out for the better.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs around 50º. West to Southwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Clear. Lows around 40º along the urban corridor, the 20s and 30s  inland. Southwest to West winds at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs upper 50s to around 60º.

Wednesday:

Sun to late clouds. Mild.  Highs in the upper 50s.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Warm. Spotty showers possible. Highs in the mid 60s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun Warm. Spotty showers possible. Highs in the lower 60s.

Winter’s Finale-Bright & Chilly…

Synopsis:

The last weekend of Winter will be like the majority of the season- tranquil and bright. Today will be the cooler half as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning and mid portion of the upcoming week will make most smile. Near seasonable readings are anticipated for Monday as high pressure begins to modify. Monday is the beginning of Spring! The Vernal Equinox occurs at 5:24pm EDT. This is the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays are over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

Tuesday through Thursday, readings will once again go above the average high of around 50º with the strong March sun and lack of cold air in the East. A weakening front will approach from the West on Thursday with more clouds and just the chance of a few showers.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.
Sunday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cooler. Highs in the lower 40s. West to Northwest winds at 15-25mph.

Tonight:

Clear and cold. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the upper teens and 20s inland. West to Northwest winds diminishing to 5mph.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs upper 50s to around 60º.

Wednesday:

Sunny. Mild.  Highs around 60º.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Warm. Spotty showers possible. Highs in the mid 60s.

Mix of Clouds & Sun. Seasonable…

Synopsis:

The last weekend of Winter will be like the majority of the season- tranquil. Both days will feature a mix of sun and clouds. Today will be the milder of the two days. Sunday will be the cooler half as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning and mid portion of the upcoming week will make most smile. Near seasonable readings are anticipated for Monday as high pressure begins to modify. Monday is the beginning of Spring! The Vernal Equinox occurs at 5:24pm EDT. This is the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays are over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

By Tuesday and Wednesday, readings will once again go above the average high of around 50º with the strong March sun and lack of cold air in the East.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. West to Northwest winds at 8-15mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Colder then recent nights. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the 20s inland. West to Northwest winds at 8-15mph.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs around 50º.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Sunny. Mild.  Highs in the upper 50s to around 60º.

Irish Eyes are Smilin’…

Synopsis:

The luck of the Irish will be with us on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of clouds and some sun is expected with Springtime readings continuing. A spot shower is possible with an approaching front.

A cool front will pass through the region tpnight basically moisture starved. No rain is expected.

The weekend looks bright. Saturday will owe the Midler of the two days. Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning of the week looks tranquil with near seasonable readings as high pressure begins to modify. Monday is the beginning of Spring! The Vernal Equinox occurs at 5:24pm EDT. This is the exact moment when the sun’s direct rays are over the equator on it’s way Northbound.

By Tuesday, readings will once again go above the average high of around 50º with the strong March sun and lack of cold air in the Northeast.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Southeast to Southwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s along the urban corridor, the 30s inland. Southwest to Northwest winds at 8-12mph.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

Tuesday:

Sunny. Milder.  Highs in the mid 50s.

Much Better Feel. Bright & Mild…

Synopsis:

A more tranquil day is expected today. Bright skies and mild readings are anticipated as high pressure over the Southeast dominates. Yes, it’ll feel like Spring. That season arrives on Monday!

The luck of the Irish will be with us on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with Springtime readings continuing. A spot shower is possible.

Showers are likely Friday night with an approaching cool front.

The weekend looks bright. Saturday will owe the Midler of the two days. Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

The beginning of the week looks tranquil with near seasonable readings as high pressure begins to modify.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest to West winds at 8-12mph with higher gusts during the afternoon.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Milder than recent nights. Lows in the mid 40s along the urban corridor, the 30s inland. Light West to Southeast winds.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Monday:

Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

Winds Howl. Sun Returns. Chilly…

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the region a wide range in snow amounts from nothing over parts of Central & Southern NJ to 15″to 18″ over the highest elevations of the Lower Hudson Valley is finally losing its grip on the area. Winds will be strong around the intense storm East of Maine. Gusts over 40mph are possible out of the Northwest. The sun will dominate the sky. Temperatures will be several degrees below the average high of the upper 40s.

Thursday will be more tranquil. Bright skies and mild readings are anticipated as high pressure works in.

The luck of the Irish will be around on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with Springtime readings. A spot shower is possible.

Showers are likely Friday night with an approaching cool front.

Morning clouds on Saturday, otherwise the sun will return with above average readings.

Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Tonight:

Clear, breezy and cold. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the 20s well inland. Northwest winds at 15-30mph diminishing late.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds, afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Snow Ends Early Tonight. Winds Howls Through Wednesday…

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the region a wide range in snow amounts from nothing over parts of Central & Southern NJ to 15″to 18″ over the highest elevations of the Lower Hudson Valley is finally losing its grip on the area. Any leftover snow will end early tonight. Skies will become partly cloudy late. Winds will will strong around the intense storm East of Maine. Gusts over 45mph are possible out of the Northwest.

Wednesday the sun will dominate and winds will continue to be busy as the storm moves farther out to sea.

Thursday will be more tranquil, bright and mild as high pressure works in.

The luck of the Irish will be around on St. Patrick’s Day. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with Springtime readings. A spot shower is possible.

Showers are likely Friday night with an approaching cool front.

Morning clouds on Saturday, otherwise the sun will return with above average readings.

Sunday will be the cooler half of the weekend as a Canadian airmass pays a visit.

Stay tuned.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tonight:

Evening areas of snow ending. Mostly cloudy. Windy. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the upper 20s well inland. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Saturday:

Morning clouds, afternoon sun. Highs in the lower 50s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Intermittent Snow Today. Windy…

Synopsis:

An intensifying offshore storm will continue to affect the region through today. The lack of Arctic high pressure will be one of the several reasons this will not be a significant snow for the Southern 2/3rd’s of the region.

The upper levels (jet stream level) will have a deepening cutoff low that will move from Southern NJ this morning to East of Long Island by this evening. . This will do two things: Strengthen the first surface low and also bring down colder air from the upper levels of the atmosphere. The second low over Eastern low over Eastern Long Island will consolidate with the main storm. The ocean storm will move onshore over Eastern Massachusetts and do a loop then move back over the Atlantic.

There will be intermittent snow throughout today from all of these systems. Our region is on the Southwest side of the snow bands- the backside of the storm if you will. Since the storm will be consolidating and slowing down the on and off snow will last into this evening. Some of it will come down light at other times it may come down at a fairly good clip.  These total snow amounts will be elevation driven. If you live in a county with drastic changes in elevation within a couple of miles that will result in the difference of a couple of inches of snow. Pavement and concrete surfaces will have a significantly lower slushier amount or none at all.

The winds will also pick up out of the Northwest and gust to over 40mph at times.

Any evening snow will taper off and end. Skies will become partly cloudy overnight and the winds will be strong.

Wednesday the sun will dominate and winds will continue to be busy as the storm moves farther out to sea.

Thursday will be more tranquil, bright and mild as high pressure works in.

The luck of the Irish will be around on St. Patrick’s. A mix of sun and clouds are expected with Springtime readings.

A few morning showers are expected on Saturday, otherwise the sun will return with above average readings.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Tuesday:

On and off snow (rain out East, changing to snow) deepening on location. Windy. Highs in the 30s. West to Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Tonight:

Evening areas of snow ending. Mostly cloudy. Windy. Lows around freezing along the urban corridor, the upper 20s well inland. Northwest winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs in the mid 40s.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs in the mid 50s.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday:

Morning showers, afternoon sun. Highs in the mid 50s.

Rain Monday. Well North Some Mixing…

 

Synopsis:

The highly advertised storm is on the map for today and Tuesday as low pressure develops off the coast of Virginia. The potential track of the storm is above. The latest guidance has the storm a bit farther to the East. The first part of the storm is straight forward. There isn’t a cold high to supply the cold air for the start of the event. For this reason, rain will develop and not snow for today for much of the region. Well to the North wet snow or a mix is likely.

Now, this is where the fun part begins (for meteorologists anyway) for Monday night and Tuesday. The upper levels (jet stream level) will have a deepening cutoff low that will slide Southeast from the Great Lakes to NJ. At the same time surface low pressure will strengthen rapidly off the Virginia coast and move to just to the East of the classic bench mark of 40º North Latitude, 70º West Longitude, South East of Montauk Point Long Island. All the models have the storm coming to a halt then doing a loop near Cape Cod.

A second low looks to develop near the NYC vicinity and then traverse East across Long Island with the upper level cutoff. Depending on where this exactly happens will determine the Western extent of the heavy snow band that will accompany the backside of the storm into NJ and NY State. This is known as the deformation zone. The area of heavy snow. Where the two enhanced areas of heavy snow set up to the the North and West of both surfaces storms will mean all the difference in snow amounts. A full fledge snowstorm is likely where this bands sit. The latest models have moved the sharp cutoff of precipitation to the Northeast. This would most likely result in not much snow accumulation in the City, Long Island and much of the stretch of the 1-95 corridor through NJ. Potential snow amounts above. The last two maps is what JMW is leaning towards.

In summary, the potential has increased for a snowstorm North of NYC. It has become clearer that the sharp cutoff of heavy precipitation will be moved 20 to 30 miles to the Northeast drastically keeping snow amounts quite low. Winds will increase Tuesday as the two storms combine and bomb near Cape Cod.

Wednesday will be bright but windy. Thursday the sun will dominate and winds will abate.

St. Patrick’s day will  be very mild under a mix of sun and clouds.

Stay tuned. Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Monday:

Rain. A mix well North. Highs in the mid 40s. East winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Rain for the I-95 corridor. Mix to snow well inland. Lows around in the mid 30s along the urban corridor, near freezing well inland. East to North winds at 10-20mph.

Tuesday:

Heavy snow Northwest. Rain, mix to some snow at coast.  Windy. Highs 30º-35º.

Wednesday:

Partly sunny. Windy. Highs around 40º.

Thursday:

Sunny. Milder. Highs around 50º.

Friday:

Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.