Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

The remnants of Henri will move from Southern NY State into Southern New England thorough tonight. There will still be banding to the areas of heavy rain around it’s circulation this morning. In between the pivoting bands will be dry times. Overall the coverage of heavy rain will diminish during the day. Major flooding is likely in areas with the heaviest training rain. A Flood Watch continues through today for the entire tri-state area, excluding Ocean county. Never drive through flooded roadways. You don’t know how deep the water is. TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN. The sun will shine from time to time later today.

We’ll finally get to dry out tonight as the entire system exits the region.

Hazy, hot and humid conditions are expected for Tuesday through Thursday as high pressure builds over the Western Atlantic.

A cool front will pass through Thursday night. Relief will arrive Friday as the heat and humidity lowers.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Monday:

Areas of morning rain (locally heavy), otherwise scattered showers. Some afternoon sun is possible. Highs around 80º. Southwest winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s in the City, the upper 60s inland. Northwest winds 5-1omph.

Tuesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Wednesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Not as warm. Less humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

 

Synopsis:

Tropical system Henri will move into Southern NY state overnight and Monday before moving back East and dissipating. This now looks like a potential heavy rain event for the areas from I-95 and to the North and West. An additional several inches of rain is possible in these areas (map above). Devastating flooding is likely in areas with the heaviest training rain. A Flood Watch continues through Monday for the entire tri-state area. Never drive through flooded roadways. You don’t know how deep the water is. TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN.  Over parts of central and Southern NJ and parts of Long Island much lighter rain is expected.

Heavier areas of morning rain Monday should begin to lighten and become more scattered. A bit of afternoon sun is possible.

Hazy, hot and humid conditions are expected for Tuesday through Thursday as high pressure builds over the Western Atlantic.

A cool front will pass through Thursday night. Relief will arrive Friday as the heat and humidity lowers.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

On and off rain. Local downpours with flooding in the persistent bands. Lows in the lower 70s in the City, the upper 60s inland. West to Southwest winds diminishing to 5-1omph.

Monday:

Areas of morning rain, otherwise scattered showers. Some afternoon sun is possible. Highs around 80º.

Tuesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Wednesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Not as warm. Less humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

 

Synopsis:

Tropical Storm Henri will be making landfall near the Rhode Island/Connecticut line in the early afternoon. Tropical Storm force gusts are possible over Eastern Long Island and Southeast Connecticut. Elsewhere winds will be much lighter.

The tri-state are will experience areas of on and off  heavy rain today. Yes, there will be breaks in the rain.  The bands will pivot around Henri. A Flood Watch is in effect for most of the region for today into Monday.  Rainfall of two to ten inches is possible (map above). Flooding of streets, streams, rivers and basements could occur. Several inches of rain has already fallen in the NYC vicinity. Remember, never drive through a flooded roadway. You don’t know how deep it is. TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN. Devastating flooding is possible where rainfall exceeds 5 to 10 inches.  The axis of heavy rain will be across the Northern 2/3rds of the region for today into Monday morning. Parts of central & Southern NJ will see lighter amounts in fact some sunshine is possible in parts of those regions today.

High surf and dangerous rip currents will continue through tonight.

Henri will move slowly out of Southern New England on Monday and weaken. Leftover showers are likely along with some peeks of sun.

Hazy, hot and humid conditions are expected for midweek.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Sunday:

Mostly cloudy. Humid. On and off areas of heavy rain (meaning there will be dry times). Some sun over Southern areas. Highs in the 70s to around 80º. Northwest winds at 5-15mph with higher gusts farther to the East.

Tonight:

Scattered showers and possible storms. Local downpours can be expected. Lows in the lower 70s in the City, the upper 60s inland. Northeast to North winds at 8-12mph.

Monday:

Scattered showers. Clouds, some sun. Highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Wednesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Thursday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Synopsis:

Today will be the calm before the storm. And that “storm” right now is what is to be Hurricane Henri making a most likely landfall over Long Island on Sunday.

A mix of sun and clouds is expected for today. Scattered showers and storms are possible ahead of Henri. It won’t be raining all the time and much of the day will be decent for all areas.

Henri is expected to move North up and offshore the Mid-Atlantic coastline through tonight. The projected track is above. Long Island has the greatest potential of a landfall sometime Sunday midday. The weather will deteriorate Sunday especially in the immediate NYC area and to the East. Depending on the exact track, these areas will experience heavy rain and possible tropical force to hurricane force wind gusts Sunday and Sunday night. Father to the West, areas of heavy rain can be expected but the winds will not be severe.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Suffolk County Long Island and South coastal Connecticut for Sunday. A  Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Nassau County, all of New York City, Southern Westchester County and Northeast NJ South to Monmouth County (map above).

A Flood Watch is in effect for most of the region for Sunday into Monday morning.  Rainfall of two to six inches is possible. Flooding of streets, streams, rivers and prone basements could occur.

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Sunday for coastal regions East of NYC. A surge of two to five feet is possible.

High surf and dangerous rip currents are a definite both weekend days.

Now is the time in the Hurricane Warning area to prepare for possible hurricane conditions. Prepare for the worst hope for the best.

Hazy, warm and humid conditions will be with us for early next week.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Saturday:

Hazy sun and clouds. Humid. Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the lower 80s. East South east winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Scattered showers and possible storms. Lows in the lower 70s in urban areas the upper 60s inland. Northeast winds at 10-15mph.

Sunday:

Mostly cloudy. Humid. Heavy rain and high winds likely for the NYC vicinity and  Eastern areas. Areas of heavy rain South and West. Highs around 80º.

Monday:

Partly sunny. Humid. Scattered showers possible. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Tuesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Wednesday:

Hazy, hot and humid. Highs near 90º.

Synopsis:

Today will be a typical August day. It’ll be hazy with seasonal temperatures (mid 80s) with moderate levels of humidity. An isolated PM shower is possible.

Now for the weekend and Tropical Storm Henri. The storm is forecast to become a hurricane and move up the coast. The projected track is above. Eastern Long Island to Southern New England has the greatest potential of a landfall sometime Sunday. High surf and dangerous rip currents are a definite both weekend days.

When tropical offshore systems move up and off our coast many times an area of showers or storms moves ahead of it without a direct hit from the system. This looks to be the case for Saturday as the storm brings up some moisture and an upper level low moves toward the region. Sunday should feature some sun along with the chance of spotty showers from NYC to the West. Areas East of NYC may get into the bands of Henri with heavier rain and gusty winds. It all depends on the track.

Tropical Storm Watches and Hurricane Watches have been posted for areas East of NYC (map above). This is a good time to get hurricane prepared for these regions.

I’ve been forecasting in the NYC tri-state area for many years and I never let my guard down until a tropical system is North of our latitude. Please check back frequently to JMW for updates.

Hazy, warm and humid conditions will be with us for early next week.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Humid. An isolated shower. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Spotty evening shower, otherwise partly cloudy. Muggy. Lows in the lower 70s in urban areas the 60s inland. Light and variable winds.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Humid. Scattered showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

Sunday:

Clouds, some sun. Humid. Spotty showers. Heavier rain and high winds possible for Eastern areas. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. Humid. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Tuesday:

Mostly sunny.Very warm and humid. Highs in the upper 80s.

Synopsis:

The remnants of Tropical Storm Fred moved through the region last night with areas of heavy rain. Today we’ll be left with the tropical airmass from the system. A mix of sun and clouds is expected. It’ll be warm and very humid.

Friday will be a typical August day. It’ll be hazy with seasonal temperatures (mid 80s) with moderate levels of humidity.

Now for the weekend and Tropical Storm Henri. The storm is forecast to become a hurricane and move up and well off our coast. The projected track is above. Southern New England has the greatest potential of seeing any affects from Henri. Our local beaches will experience high surf and dangerous rip currents. Please swim by guarded beaches.

In our region showers are possible Saturday as the storm brings up some moisture and an upper level low moves through. Sunday should feature some sun along with the chance of spotty showers.

I’ve been forecasting in the NYC tri-state area for many years and I never let my guard down until a tropical system is North of our latitude. Please check back frequently to JMW for updates.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Thursday:

Sun and clouds. Warm and humid. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest to West winds at 8-15mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Muggy. Lows in the lower 70s in urban areas the 60s inland. West to Northwest winds at 5mph.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 80s.

Saturday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Sunday:

Sun and clouds. Spotty showers. Highs in the mid 80s.

Monday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Synopsis:

High pressure off the coast will result in a Southerly wind and a tropical connection. It will quite humid the next 24 hours. Today will feature a mix of clouds and sun. An isolated shower is possible. Readings will be near average high of the mid 80s.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Fred will move up the Appalachians and be at our latitude tonight and early Thursday morning. The potential is there for a period of rain, mainly for the Northern Half of the tri-state area. Once the system moves to our Northeast during the day Thursday any showers will give way to some sun.

Friday through the weekend look warm and moderately humid. A mix of sun and clouds is expected. There will not be a dominate weather system over the East coast. This will result in the chance of spotty showers or storms both weekend days. I wouldn’t cancel my outdoor plans.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Wednesday:

Clouds and sun. Humid. An isolated shower possible. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. Southeast winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Muggy. A few periods of rain possible, mainly for the Northern half of the region. Lows in the lower to mid 70s in urban areas the 60s inland. South to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Thursday:

Early morning showers in spots, otherwise a mix of clouds and sun. Humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Warmer. Humid. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Saturday:

Sun and clouds. Spotty PM storm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Sunday:

Sun and clouds. Spotty PM storm. Highs in the mid 80s.

Synopsis:

High pressure will move off the Eastern seaboard today and a weak disturbance to our West will result in more clouds. An isolated shower is possible, especially inland. Much of today will be dry.

Skies will mainly be grey Tuesday through Thursday as a moist Southerly flow develops around offshore high pressure. It will be more humid. Scattered showers are possible just about anytime.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Fred will move up the Appalachians and be at our latitude Wednesday night and Thursday. At this time, a period of steadier rain is possible. We’ll fine-tune that time period over the next 24 hours.  Temperatures through Thursday will be slightly below the average high of the lower to mid 80s.

The low should push off the coast by Friday resulting in more sunshine and warmer temperatures.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Monday:

Clouds and sun. Isolated shower West. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy, becoming muggy. An isolated shower is possible. Lows around 70º in urban areas the 60s inland. South to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Mostly cloudy. Spotty showers possible. More humid. Highs in the upper 70s.

Wednesday:

Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Humid. Highs around 80º.

Thursday:

Cloudy. A period of rain possible. The rain could be heavy. Humid. Highs in the upper 70s.

Friday:

Sun and clouds. Warmer and more humid. Highs in the mid 80s.

Synopsis:

True relief has arrived. High pressure moving from Southeastern Canada into the Northeast is responsible for our delightful conditions. Readings will be just below the average high of the mid 80s and humidity levels will be way down. Refreshing to say the least. A mix of sun and clouds is expected for our Sunday.

Stellar August conditions will continue into Monday. As the high moves off the Eastern seaboard a return flow of Southerly moist air will work in. This will result in more clouds Tuesday through Thursday with the chance of scattered showers. The humidity will creep up. Temperatures will be near average.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Sun and clouds. Not as warm. Much less humid. Highs in the lower 80s. North to Northeast winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear, cooler. Lows in the upper 60s in urban areas the upper 50s and 60s inland. Northeast winds at 5mph.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Low humidity. Highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday:

Sun and clouds. Spotty shower possible later in the day. More humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Wednesday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered showers possible. Humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Thursday:

Clouds and sun. Scattered showers possible. Humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Synopsis:

A cool front will move through the area today. This will bring some relief from the oppressive conditions. At this time a few showers or storms are possible. It will not be a washout. Humidity levels will decrease later in the day.

By Sunday, true relief will arrive with readings just below the average high of the mid 80s and much lower humidity as Canadian high pressure get our applause. Sunday will by far be the better half of the weekend. Abundant sunshine is expected.

Stellar August conditions will continue into Monday. As the high moves off the Eastern seaboard a return flow of Southerly moist air will work in. This will result in more clouds Tuesday and Wednesday with the chance of spotty showers. Temperatures will be near the average high.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

Stay tuned.

Saturday:

Hazy, very warm and humid. The humidity will drop some during the afternoon. Scattered showers or storms are possible. Most of the time the weather will cooperate. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly clear, cooler and much less humid. Lows in the upper 60s in urban areas the upper 50s and 60s inland. Northwest winds at 5mph.

Sunday:

Sunny. Not as warm. Much less humid. Highs in the lower 80s.

Monday:

Mostly sunny. Low humidity. Highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday:

Sun and clouds. Spotty shower possible. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Wednesday:

Sun and clouds. Spotty shower possible. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.