Winds Diminish. Chilly Night. A Treat for Halloween…

Synopsis:

As the storm continue to looses it influence over the area winds will diminish tonight. It’ll be chilly with seasonal lows.

More tranquil conditions are expected for Halloween as high pressure begins to work in from the Ohio Valley under partly sunny skies. The weather will cooperate for the trick or treaters.

Mild conditions are expected as we head into the first couple of days of November as winds turn to the Southwest as high pressure slips offshore.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and chilly. Lows in the mid 40s in the City, the 30s inland. Diminishing West wind at 10-15mph.

Halloween:

Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Thursday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. Highs in the mid  60s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Warm. Highs around 70º. The average high is 59º.

Saturday:

Partly sunny, Cooler. Highs around 60º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sun Returns. Windy This Afternoon…

Synopsis:

The storm that gave the area flooding rains and high winds continues to move North into Quebec. The sun will return and the winds will continue to be strong gusting out of the West up to 40mph.

As the storm continue to looses it influence over the area winds will diminish later today and tonight.

More tranquil conditions are expected for Halloween as high pressure begins to work in from the Ohio Valley.

Mild conditions are expected as we head into the first couple of days of November as winds turn to the Southwest.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 4omph. The winds will diminish later in the day.

Tonight:

Mostly clear and chilly. Lows in the mid 40s in the City, the 30s inland. West wind at 10-15mph.

Halloween:

Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy, spotty showers. Mild. Highs in the mid  60s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Powerful Storm First Part of the Night. Flooding Rains/High Winds…

 

 

Synopsis:

High impact storm will affect the region through late tonight.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in heavy rain and high winds through just after midnight tonight. 1″-3″ of rain is possible with locally up to 5″. Don’t drive through a flooded roadway. You don’t know how deep the water is. Turn around-don’t drown. Bombogenesis (rapidly deepening storm) will occur tonight. The storm will track from the Southern NJ Coast, into the immediate NYC area by midnight, and then head into NY state by sunrise.

With the storm intensifying so rapidly strong Southeast to South winds will occur along the coast and especially over Long Island and coastal Connecticut this evening into tonight. Gusts could reach 60mph in the City. Possible gusts to hurricane force over Long Island. High Wind Warnings and advisories have been posted. Secure any loose objects outdoors. Scattered power outages are possible.

Behind the storm strong Northwest winds are likely Monday. Scattered showers are possible Monday morning. Skies will become partly sunny with strong winds continuing during the day. Gusts to 50mph are likely.

More tranquil conditions are expected for Halloween.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Rain, heavy at times through midnight or so, then scattered showers. Windy. Southeast winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40-50mph inland until midnight. Winds will gust to 55-75mph until midnight from the City North and East. Winds will then switch to the West and gusts to 50mph at times throughout overnight.

Monday:

Morning showers otherwise becoming partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. West winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 50mph.

Halloween:

Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy, spotty showers. Mild. Highs in the mid  60s.

Friday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Sunday Soaker. Stormy Times Mid-Afternoon-Midnight…

 

 

Synopsis:

High impact storm will affect the region from mid-afternoon through late tonight.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain developing today. The rain will be heavy at times during the afternoon and evening. 1″-3″ of rain is possible with locally up to 5″+ by late tonight. At this time, the thinking is the heaviest rainfall may occur along the storm track. The exact track of the storm is in disagreement between the Euro and the NAM model (by only 50 miles or so).  The top rainfall map is the European model. The Euro tracks the storm from the Delaware coast to the Eastern Poconos, hence the heaviest rain falls over Western areas. The bottom map is the NAM model. This model depicts the storm tracking along the immediate NJ coast into NYC. High rainfall totals occur along this corridor. Whatever the exact track significant rainfall is likely and a Flash Flood Watch has been posted for the entire tri-state area. Don’t drive through a flooded roadway. You don’t know how deep the water is. Turn around-don’t drown.

With the storm intensifying so rapidly strong Southeast to South winds will occur along the coast and especially over Long Island and coastal Connecticut this evening into tonight. Gusts could reach 60mph in the City. Possible gusts to hurricane force over Long Island. High Wind Warning, Watches and advisories have been posted. Secure any loose objects outdoors. Scattered power outages are possible.

Behind the storm strong Northwest winds are likely Monday. Scattered showers are possible Monday morning. Skies will become partly sunny with strong winds continuing during the day. Gusts to 50mph are likely.

More tranquil conditions are expected for Halloween.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Cloudy with rain developing. The rain will become heavy at times during the afternoon and evening. Southeast winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 50mph by evening at the coast.

Tonight:

Rain, heavy at times through midnight, then scattered showers. Windy. Southeast winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 40-50mph inland until midnight. Winds will gust to 60-75mph until midnight from the City North and East. Winds will then switch to the West and gusts to 50mph at times throughout overnight.

Monday:

Morning showers otherwise becoming partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. West winds at 15-30mph with gusts to 50mph.

Halloween:

Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Highs in the upper 50s.

Thursday:

Clouds and sun. Mild. Highs in the mid 60s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

50/50 Split Weekend. Sunny Saturday-Soaker Sunday…

 

Synopsis:

High pressure will dominate our weather through today with mainly sunny skies and slightly above average temperatures.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain Sunday. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. 1″-3″ of rain is possible with locally up to 5″+ by late Sunday night. At this time the thinking is the heaviest rainfall may occur along and just east of the storm center. The exact track of the storm is in disagreement between the Euro and the GFS/NAM model (by only 50 miles or so).  The top rainfall map is the European model. The Euro tracks the storm from Cape May into the Poconos, hence the heaviest rain falls over Western areas. The bottom map is the NAM model. This model along with the GFS depicts the storm tracking along the immediate NJ coast into NYC. High rainfall totals occur along this corridor. Whatever the exact track significant rainfall is likely and a Flash Flood Watch has been posted Northern NJ, NYC, Long Island and areas to the North.

With the storm intensifying so rapidly strong Southeast to South winds will occur along the coast and especially over Long Island and coastal Connecticut late day Sunday and into the Night. Gusts could reach 60mph. Behind the storm strong Northwest winds are likely Monday.  Coastal flooding may be an issue as well.

The storm will wind down very early Monday morning.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. South to Southeast winds at 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Thickening clouds. Scattered showers late. Lows around 60º in the City, the 50s inland. Southeast winds 5-10mph

Sunday:

Periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. Becoming windy at the coast during the afternoon. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Monday:

Becoming partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.

Halloween:

Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Highs in the upper 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Spot Shower This Evening. Pleasant Close to the Workweek…

 

Synopsis:

An upper level low moving off the coast this evening will cause spotty showers. Most areas North of the City will be dry. Skies will clear during the night and winds will diminish. Temperatures will drop rapidly inland. A Frost advisory is up for Morris, Somerset, Hunterdon and Ocean counties.

High pressure will move in Friday and Saturday with mainly sunny skies and slightly above average temperatures.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain Sunday. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. Strong winds are in the forecast once the storm departs on Monday.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Spotty showers South and East of the City this evening, otherwise, clearing from West to East. Lows in the mid to upper 40s in the City, the 30’s inland with patchy frost. Northwest winds diminishing to at 5-10mph.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s. West to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Sunday:

Rain. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. Breezy. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Monday:

Becoming partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.

Halloween:

Partly sunny, breezy and cool. Highs in the upper 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Cooler Today. Sun & Clouds. Spot Shower East…

 

Synopsis:

A front stalled just off the coast in combination with a a developing low will cause occasional showers today East of the City. A the same time a cool pool of air will work in from the North. Highs will be at or slightly below average for a change a mix of clouds and some sun. The average high is 61º

High pressure will move in Friday and Saturday with mainly sunny skies and slightly above average temperatures.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain developing Sunday. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. Winds could become strong depending on the storm track. Strong winds are in the forecast once the storm departs on Monday.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Clouds and sun. Spotty showers are possible East of the City. More seasonal. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds at 10-15mph.

Tonight:

Clearing from West to East. Lows in the upper 40s in the City, the 30’s inland with patchy frost. Northwest winds diminishing to at 8-12mph.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Sunday:

Thickening clouds. Rain developing. The rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon. Windy. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Monday:

Morning rain possible. Becoming partly sunny, windy and cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

More Comfortable. Sun & Clouds. Spot Shower East…

 

Synopsis:

The front will continue pushing East today. spotty showers will be confined to Eastern eastern areas in the morning otherwise skies will be partly sunny for the City and farther West. Readings will be five to seven degrees above average. The average high is 61º.

A cool pool of air will work in for Thursday. Highs will be at or slightly below average for a change under partly sunny skies.

High pressure will move in Friday and Saturday with mainly sunny skies and slightly above average temperatures.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain developing Sunday.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Spotty showers East, otherwise partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Northwest 5-10mph.

Tonight:

Showers possible East of the City, otherwise partly cloudy. Lows around 50º in the City, near 40º inland. Northwest winds at 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. More seasonal. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

Sunday:

Thickening clouds. Rain developing. Highs in the mid 60s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

Finally Cools Down in Steps. On & Off Coastal Rain Tonight…

 

Synopsis:

The front that gave parts of the area downpours Tuesday will slowly push East to just off the coast tonight and Wednesday morning. On and off rain will continue for coastal areas into Wednesday morning. Some of the rain maybe locally heavy. Please use caution. Just to the inland it’ll be dry with cooler and more comfortable readings.

The front will continue pushing East Wednesday. Rain will be confined to Eastern eastern areas in the morning otherwise skies will be partly sunny for the City and farther West. Readings will be five to seven degrees above average. The average high is 61º.

A cool pool of air will work in for Thursday. Highs will be at or slightly below average for a change under partly sunny skies.

High pressure will move in Friday and Saturday with mainly sunny skies and slightly above average temperatures.

A potent cold front and developing storm along the coast will result in rain developing Sunday.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

On and off rain East of the City with local downpours. Partly cloudy West. Lows around 60º in the City, the 50s inland. Southeast to West winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Morning rain possible East, otherwise partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Northwest 5-10mph.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. More seasonal. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

Sunday:

Thickening clouds. Rain developing. Highs in the mid 60s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

On & Off Rain. Local Downpours, Tropical. Thunderstorms…

 

Synopsis:

At least some areas will receive significant rainfall today into Wednesday morning. The ingredients are available: 1) a very humid Southerly flow 2) a strong front & 3) a dynamic jet stream.  It’ll feel tropical with the periods of rain and downpours today. Winds will be gust between 35-45mph at times today.

The maps shown are the EXPECTED accumulated rainfall by Wednesday night. The total amounts of rain have decreased with the latest computer guidance. The first map is the NAM model. Yes, it shows 2-4 inches over parts of Long Island and CT. This is possible if the front slows down or stalls for a time. The second map is the GFS which has lighter amounts. Flash Flooding is a possibility with the potential heavy rain. Use caution. It looks like areas to the East of the City will be in the jackpot zone for the heaviest rain while areas to the West won’t see nearly as much rain.

The bottom line is that on and off rain will move in this morning and then push into the City and areas to the East as the day continues. Scattered thunderstorms are expected. Some of the storms may become severe. The rain will continue for a time on Wednesday morning East of the City. The sun will return from West to East as the day goes on.

Cooler and more seasonal conditions are expected mid to late week.

Stay tuned.

Today:

On and off rain. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Windy. Locally heavy rain is possible. Balmy. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds at 10-20mph gusts 35-45mph at times.

Tonight:

Rain will end over Western areas but continue East of the City. Lows in the lower 60s in the City, the 50s inland. Southeast to Southwest winds at 5-10mph.

Wednesday:

Morning rain East. The sun will return for many areas. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s.

Thursday:

Partly sunny. More seasonal. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.