Author: John Marshall

 

Synopsis:

The workweek will start off mainly grey as high pressure moves off the coast and a weak area of low pressure develops just to our South and moves off the coast Monday night into Tuesday morning. A spot shower is possible today. Scattered showers will be with us tonight into Tuesday morning. The swath of steadiest precipitation will be to our North. There is a slim chance that light snow may fall well inland. If this is the case a coating of snow could fall by Tuesday Morning. It won’t be a big deal. The sun will return soon after.

Getaway Wednesday be bright and chilly. An Arctic front will move through Wednesday night. This will allow the coldest airmass of the season to pour in from Canada on Thanksgiving. Highs on Thursday may remain in the upper 20s. If the temperature dips to 23º at any point during Thursday; it’ll be go down as the top five coldest Thanksgivings on record! At least the sun will shine.

Black Friday will be cold under partly sunny skies.

A low will trek out of the Southern states over the weekend. A periods of rain are possible both days. We’ll fine tune the details.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Clouds, some sun. A spot shower is possible. Highs around 50º.  Winds becoming Northwest at 5mph.

Tonight:

Cloudy with showers likely. A bit of wet snow may fall well North and West of the City. Lows in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. Northeast to Northwest winds at 5mph.

Tuesday:

Morning rain or snow showers, otherwise becoming partly sunny, chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Chilly . Highs around 40º.

Thanksgiving:

Sunny, breezy and frigid . Highs only in the upper 20s.

Friday:

Mostly sunny and cold. Highs around freezing.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

High pressure will dominate today. The high is a “dirty high” meaning the weather will be fair but the clouds will win the battle (most of the time we think of high pressure and sunny skies). It’ll be tranquil with temperatures below the average of 53º.

The workweek will start off grey. A weak low will develop off the coast Monday night into Tuesday morning. A few rain or snow showers are possible. There is a slim chance at this time, that the snow inland could be a bit steadier early Tuesday morning. I’ll continue to monitor the trends.

Getaway Wednesday be bright and chilly. An Arctic front will move through Wednesday night. This will allow the coldest airmass of the season to pour in from Canada on Thanksgiving. Highs on Thursday may remain in the upper 20s. If the temperature dips to 23º at any point during Thursday; it’ll be go down as the top five coldest Thanksgivings on record! At least the sun will shine.

Black Friday will be cold under partly sunny skies.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly cloudy. Chilly. Highs in the mid 40s. Northeast to Southeast winds at 5mph.

Tonight:

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland. Southeast to Southwest winds at 5mph.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy. A spot shower is possible. Highs in the upper 40s.

Tuesday:

Morning rain or snow showers, otherwise becoming partly sunny, chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny. Chilly . Highs in the lower 40s.

Thanksgiving:

Sunny, breezy and frigid . Highs only in the upper 20s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

High pressure will dominate this weekend. It’ll be tranquil with temperatures below the average of 53º. A mix of clouds and sun is expected.

A cold front will move through the area Monday night into Tuesday with a few showers. It’ll turn much colder getaway day Wednesday and Thanksgiving with strong Canadian high pressure moving in. No major storms are on the horizon for the next 7 days.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

A side note:  November 15th’s snow of 6.4″ was the most snow that fell in a day, in November, in NYC, in over a century. You have to go back to November 29, 1880 where 9″ fell in NYC. This also was the earliest that 6″ or more of snow fell in a day. Amazing.

Today:

Sun and clouds. Chilly. Highs in the upper 40s. West to Northwest winds 8-12mph.

Tonight:

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, the upper 20s inland. West winds at 5mph.

Sunday:

Clouds and sun. Chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

Mostly cloudy. A spot shower is possible later in the day. Highs in the mid 40s.

Tuesday:

A morning shower, otherwise mostly sunny, chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday:

Sunny and colder. Highs in the mid 30s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

As the upper low moves over the area early this morning the last round of wet snow/sleet and rain will work through. An additional coating of snow or sleet is possible inland as this feature moves rapidly by. Winds will be strong this morning as they back around to the Northwest gusts to 45mph are possible. The the sun will return later in the morning as the storm moves up the coast and temperatures will rebound into the 40s. Snowmelt for sure. Winds will diminish later this afternoon.

Tonight will be mostly clear a refreeze of snow and slush will occur inland as readings will be below freezing. In urban areas readings will remain above freezing.

High pressure will dominate this weekend. It’ll be tranquil with temperatures below the average of 53.

The weekend will be chilly with a decent amount of sunshine.

No major storms are on the horizon as we head into Thanksgiving week.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

A side note:  The snow amounts yesterday were a BUST on my end. The cold air was stubborn to displace, especially in the city and closer to the coast, hence the higher amounts. Also, this was the most snow that fell for a day in NYC in over a CENTURY in November. You have to go back to November 29, 1880 where 9″ fell in NYC. Amazing.

Today:

A quick shot of early morning rain/wet snow or sleet. otherwise the sun will make an appearance. Highs in the mid 40s.  Northwest to West winds 15-30mph with gusts to 45mph at the coast in the morning diminishing to 10-15mph by afternoon.

Tonight:

Becoming mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, the upper 20s inland. West winds at 5-10mph.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Flurries are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny and colder. Highs around 40º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

The latest analysis reveals that the cold air was stubborn to displace, hence the BUST in the snow amount forecast. The snow and sleet amounts were much higher than expected (map above). Please use caution while driving.

Tonight the precipitation will become lighter. Most areas will go over to rain with some freezing rain well inland. Winds will be an issue, especially by the coast. A Wind advisory is in effect for Monmouth and Ocean counties and coastal Connecticut for Northeast winds gusting to 45mph. A High Wind Warning is in effect for Eastern Suffolk County for winds gusts of 60mph. The storm will hug the coast overnight.

As the upper low moves over the area early Friday morning a quick shot of rain and or wet snow is possible. The the sun will return later in the morning as the storm moves up the coast.

The weekend will be chilly with a decent amount of sunshine.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Frozen precipitation will go over to rain with the exception of far Northwestern regions where freezing rain is likely. Lows in the 30s throughout. Northeast winds at 15-30mp with gusts to 45mph at the coast. Gusts up to 60mph over Eastern Long Island.

Friday:

A quick shot of early morning rain or wet snow. otherwise the sun will make an appearance. Highs in the mid 40s.  Northwest to West winds 15-30mph in the morning diminishing to 10-15mph by afternoon.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Flurries are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Tuesday:

Partly sunny and colder. Highs around 40º.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

***UPDATE 1:27PM….Heavy wet snow/sleet and rain will continue to fall this afternoon. Snow could come down at the rate of 1″-2″/hour in the NYC vicinity and to the North and West. The latest analysis reveals that the cold air will be stubborn to displace in these areas. For this reason snow and sleet amounts have been raised (map above). Please use caution while driving. Farther to the South and over parts of Long Island heavy rain will fall causing flooding of streets and highways**** previous discussion below.

A storm will affect the area from midday into Friday morning. The models develop a low over the Southeast and move it up the coast. High pressure will funnel in cold air from New England today into early evening. At the same time, a decent amount of precipitation will working in from the South with the advancing storm. A mix of wet snow, sleet and rain will develop midday and continue into the night. The precipitation will come down heavy at times into the evening. A Flood Watch is in effect for this afternoon and evening for Monmouth and Ocean counties. One to two inches of rain is possible. The mix will go over to rain later in the afternoon and evening along Northern coastal areas and in the City. The potential is there for an accumulation of snow and sleet before the changeover to rain later this afternoon and evening. A slushy coating is possible in and around the NYC vicinity. The highest amounts will be over far Northwestern NJ, the Poconos and Upstate NY where the duration of snow and sleet will be the longest. The map above is the potential amounts.  Freezing rain is possible overnight over the far Northwestern suburbs with icing likely.

It’ll become windy overnight as the storm nears. A Wind advisory is in effect for Monmouth and Ocean counties for Northeast winds gusting to 45mph.

As the upper low moves over the area early Friday morning a quick shot of rain and or wet snow is possible. The the sun will return later in the morning as the storm moves up the coast.

The weekend will be chilly with a decent amount of sunshine.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Thickening clouds-wet snow, sleet and rain will move in by late morning into the midday hours. The precipitation could come down heavy at times. Most areas North of a Trenton-NYC-Coastal Connnecticut line will see frozen precipitation at the onset. To the South and East rain will fall (1st map above). Cold. Highs only in the 30s. Northeast winds at 8-12mph increasing to 15-25mph toward evening.

Tonight:

Frozen precipitation will go over to rain with the exception of far Northwestern regions where freezing rain is likely. Lows in the 30s throughout. Northeast winds at 15-30mp with gusts to 45mph at the coast.

Friday:

A quick shot of early morning rain or wet snow. otherwise the sun will make an appearance. Highs in the mid 40s.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Flurries are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A storm will affect the area from midday into Friday morning. The models develop a low over the Southeast and move it up the coast. High pressure will funnel in cold air from New England today into early evening. At the same time, a decent amount of precipitation will working in from the South with the advancing storm. A mix of wet snow, sleet and rain will develop midday and continue into the night. The precipitation will come down heavy at times into the evening. A Flood Watch is in effect for this afternoon and evening for Monmouth and Ocean counties. One to two inches of rain is possible. The mix will go over to rain later in the afternoon and evening along Northern coastal areas and in the City. The potential is there for an accumulation of snow and sleet before the changeover to rain later this afternoon and evening. A slushy coating is possible in and around the NYC vicinity. The highest amounts will be over far Northwestern NJ, the Poconos and Upstate NY where the duration of snow and sleet will be the longest. The map above is the potential amounts.  Freezing rain is possible overnight over the far Northwestern suburbs with icing likely.

It’ll become windy overnight as the storm nears. A Wind advisory is in effect for Monmouth and Ocean counties for Northeast winds gusting to 45mph.

As the upper low moves over the area early Friday morning a quick shot of rain and or wet snow is possible. The the sun will return later in the morning as the storm moves up the coast.

The weekend will be chilly with a decent amount of sunshine.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Thickening clouds-wet snow, sleet and rain will move in by late morning into the midday hours. The precipitation could come down heavy at times. Most areas North of a Trenton-NYC-Coastal Connnecticut line will see frozen precipitation at the onset. To the South and East rain will fall (1st map above). Cold. Highs only in the 30s. Northeast winds at 8-12mph increasing to 15-25mph toward evening.

Tonight:

Frozen precipitation will go over to rain with the exception of far Northwestern regions where freezing rain is likely. Lows in the 30s throughout. Northeast winds at 15-30mp with gusts to 45mph at the coast.

Friday:

A quick shot of early morning rain or wet snow. otherwise the sun will make an appearance. Highs in the mid 40s.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Monday:

A mix of sun and clouds. Flurries are possible. Highs in the lower 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A strong storm over the Canadian maritimes and high pressure over the Midwest will result in a gusty Northwest wind and cold readings today under a mix of sun and clouds. Readings will only be in the 30s to around 40º. The average high temperature is 55º.

Another storm will affect the area Thursday (toward midday) into Friday morning. The models develop a storm over the Southeast and move it up the coast. The latest computer guidance continues with the idea that high pressure will funnel in cold air from New England Thursday into early Thursday night. At the same time, a decent amount of precipitation will working in from the South with the advancing storm. A mix of wet snow, sleet and rain will develop Thursday afternoon and continue into the night. The precipitation will come down heavy at times for the first few hours. The mix will go over to rain Thursday night along the coast and then inland. The potential is there for an accumulation of snow and sleet before the changeover. A few inches of snow/sleet is possible. The highest amounts will be over far Northwestern NJ, the Poconos and Upstate NY. The map above are the potential amounts.  It’ll become breezy overnight as the storm nears.

By Friday the rain will taper off by midday as the storm moves up the coast.

The weekend will be chilly with a decent amount of sunshine.

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs only in the 30s to around 40º. Northwest winds at 15-25mph, diminishing later in the day.

Tonight:

Clouds early tonight will give way to partly cloudy skies. Breezy and cold. Lows in the upper 20s in the City, the teens and 20s inland. Northwest to Northeast winds less than 5mph.

Thursday:

Any morning sun will rapidly give way to thickening clouds. Wet snow, sleet and rain will move in during the late morning and midday hours. The precipitation could come down heavy at times for a hew hours. Most areas North of a Trenton-Sandy Hook-Montauk Point line will see frozen precipitation for a few hours. Cold. Highs only in the 30s.

Friday:

Morning rain, a mix possible well inland. The sun may return for a time during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s.

Saturday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Sunday:

Mostly sunny and chilly. Highs in the mid 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A low will move up and off our coast this morning. Rain will end from West to East this morning. The sun will make an appearance soon after the rain ends.

Partly cloudy and cold tonight. Lows will be just above freezing in the City. Elsewhere readings will below the 32º mark. It’ll be breezy as high pressure works in.

Wednesday will be breezy and cold with readings only in the 30s to around 40º-a Winter feel for sure. The average high temperature is 55º.

A second storm will affect the area Thursday afternoon into Friday. The models develop a low over the Southeast and move it up the coast. The latest computer guidance has cold high pressure being more of an influence to our North. With this setup, the potential is now there for wet snow and sleet to mix in with the rain. This will occur especially inland but can’t be ruled out for the City. A mix will develop Thursday afternoon with rain likely to the South and continue into a part of Friday. We’ll fine tune the details later today. Could Winter be that far off?

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Today:

Morning rain. The rain will end from West to East by mid to late morning. A mix of sun and clouds is expected once the rain ends. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. East to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Tonight:

Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s in the City, the 20s and 30s inland. Northwest winds increasing to 15-25mph with gusts to 30mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs only in the 30s to around 40º.

Thursday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Rain will move in later in the day. A mix of wet snow, sleet and rain is likely for areas in the NYC vicinity and to the North and West. Chilly. Highs in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland.

Friday:

Morning rain, a mix possible inland. The sun may return for a time during the afternoon. Highs in the upper 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synopsis:

A low will move up the Eastern Seaboard tonight into Tuesday Morning resulting in quick shot of steady rain starting later this evening and continuing into Tuesday morning. The rain will end rapidly during the morning hours from West to East. On average an inch of rain is expected (1st map above). The sun will return soon after the rain ends.

Wednesday will be windy and cold with readings only in the 30s to around 40º-a Winter feel for sure. The average high temperature is 55º.

A second storm will affect the area Thursday afternoon into Friday. The models develop a low over the Southeast and move it up the coast. The latest computer guidance has cold high pressure being more of an influence to our North. With this setup, the potential is now there for wet snow to mix in with the rain inland from Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. No accumulation is expected at this time. Rain will fall along the coast. Could Winter be that far off?

You know where to find a no hype, no nonsense forecast.

Stay tuned.

Tonight:

Rain developing by late evening. Lows in the mid 40s in the City, the 30s inland. South to East winds at 5-10mph.

Tuesday:

Morning rain. The rain will end from West to East by mid to late morning. A mix of sun and clouds is expected once the rain ends. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. East to Northwest winds at 10-20mph.

Wednesday:

Mostly sunny, breezy and cold. Highs only in the 30s to around 40º.

Thursday:

Morning sun, afternoon clouds. Rain will move in later in the day. A mix of wet snow and rain is likely inland. Chilly. Highs in the lower 40s in the City, the 30s inland.

Friday:

Morning rain, a mix possible well inland. The sun may return for a time during the afternoon. Highs in the upper 40s.

Saturday:

Partly sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 40s.

Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.