Synopsis:
The weekend will be grey. A developing coastal low off the Carolinas will move Northeast and throw some light snow, sleet and freezing rain our way later this afternoon and night. A bit of light snow may fall at the onset Saturday afternoon on the Northern fringe of the advancing precipitation (2nd map above) but the majority of the precipitation will be ice.
The weak storm will move up and well off the NJ coast by Sunday morning. Light sleet freezing rain and rain will wind down on Sunday morning. This low will not be a big precipitation producer. A light accumulation of sleet and glaze is possible. A Winter Weather Advisory has been posted for the NYC vicinity, Long Island and most of NJ (1st map above) for slippery conditions. Skies should remain mostly cloudy for Valentine’s Day afternoon.
Presidents’ Day now looks cloudy. The latest computer guidance keeps enough moisture with an active jet stream moving up the Piedmont to produce an on and off light mix. This will be a scattered and light event. Highs will be around freezing.
The next system will be more robust and will affect our weather Monday night into Tuesday with the potential of an ice storm. This storm will be a significant precipitation producer. The track here is key. Arctic high pressure will be to our North. How much warm air works in is yet to be determined. The threat is there for some snow (this now looks to occur well to the North), freezing rain and or sleet for much of the area. Rain may fall for a time over Southern sections as well. This looks to be a quick mover and should be exiting our region during the afternoon.
A well deserved brief break will greet us on Wednesday.
The next storm in this parade will be on Thursday. The potential is there for snow/mix and or some rain. This also looks to be a significant precipitation producer.
Needless to say, we are in a very active pattern.
Stay Tuned.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.
Saturday:
Mostly cloudy. Cold. Chance of a bit of light snow or a mix during the afternoon and evening. Highs in the upper 20s. Northeast winds at 5-10mph.
Tonight:
On and off light sleet and freezing drizzle. Lows in the 20s throughout. Northeast winds at 5mph.
Sunday (Valentine’s Day):
Morning mix, rain depending on location. The precipitation will taper off and skies will remain mostly cloudy during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s.
Monday (Presidents’ Day):
Cloudy with an on and off light mix possible. Highs in the mid 30s.
Tuesday:
Sleet, freezing rain and rain depending on location. Highs around freezing.
Wednesday:
A mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s.