Synopsis:
A moisture laden Southerly flow ahead of an upper level trough with produce scattered showers today, mainly in the afternoon- much of the time it will be dry. It’ll be humid.
The trough will pivot through the area Monday morning. At this time a period of heavier and steadier rain is possible. The first map above shows possible rainfall amounts by Monday night. Most areas are expected to receive over an inch of rain. This maybe overdone but it would be welcomed. The last time over a half inch of rain fell, and this occurred only for a few areas, was around the August 20th date. The last widespread heavy rain event that included the entire area was the last two days of July!
There should be a break in the action during the day Monday. By late afternoon spotty storms are possible. The system will swing off the coast as high pressure works in for the remaining days of Summer. Autumn arrives on Thursday.
The drought situation continues to worsen. Most areas are in a moderate to severe drought. The rainfall deficit for the year ranges from five to ten inches, with the highest deficit being over Long Island and parts of Connecticut. The rain won’t put a dent in the dry conditions, but I guess every bit helps.
Today:
Mostly cloudy with spotty showers, mainly in the afternoon. Highs will be near 80º. South wind 10-15mph.
Tonight:
Cloudy and muggy with scattered showers. A period of steady and heavier rain is possible in the wee hours of the morning. Lows near 70º in the City, mid 60s inland. South wind at 5mph.
Monday:
A period of heavy rain is possible in the morning, otherwise mostly cloudy and humid with scattered afternoon showers, more likely during the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s.
Tuesday:
Partly sunny. Highs around 80º.
Wednesday:
Sunny and warm with readings in the lower 80s.
Thursday:
Sunny with highs around 80º.
Stay Tuned.
Keep it here for a no nonsense, no hype forecast.